USC at Alabama - 2016 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans vs Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -9 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 52 - USC: 6

 
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4  (SP+ ALA -8)
Projected Score: USC: 24 - ALA: 30 (54)
ALA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
USC Travel: 1224 miles, 2 hrs behind
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs USC-9.051.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 9/10 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-24.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Alabama at Ole Miss-9.553.0W 48 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Kent State-41.549.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama vs Kentucky-32.554.5W 34 - 6UN
Sat 10/8 Alabama at Arkansas-13.048.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.054.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-16.559.0W 33 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-7.046.0W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Alabama vs Mississippi State-28.552.5W 51 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-20.047.0W 30 - 12UN
Sat 12/3 Alabama vs Florida-21.540.5W 54 - 16OY
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7UY
Mon 1/9 Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
ALA.2146%29.546%3.1320042%2273.56-.0132%19.230%31%2.2255.71.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1435.827.445.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23
ALA Defense1519.211.431.8%2.221.8 - - - - - 41%57%30%31%2%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense142328.844.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
ALA Offense1529.539.345.7%3.561.1224272002274.754%44%46%42%2%.21

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
Alabama1533:3221.937%50%5.955.71.11.8001032.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03
ALA Defense1541%30% - - - - -.092.3364%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
ALA Offense1554%46%42.8199.94.733.163.1379%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2
ALA Defense1557%31% - - - - - - 19.051.841%27%.162%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
ALA Offense1544%42%20.129.7227.17.611.32210.331.632%33%.312%1.8

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Alabama: 15.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 23.6   Alabama: 31.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 15.85 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 30
USC 24

Projected Total Points: 54
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/03Alabama52USC6Alabama -9Alabama51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama111 Overs
USC000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) USC at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #1
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Alabama -9.0 (51.5)
Alabama won vs USC this year (52-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USC's OC ()
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ALA's OC ()
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ALA's DC ()
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