Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nittany Lions 
Saturday, November 26th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Penn State -13.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Penn State 45 - Michigan State: 12 (Big Ten)
Spartans (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
MSU is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ PSU -12)
Projected Score: MSU: 21 - PSU: 32 (53)
PSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MSU Travel: 366 miles
MSU is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ PSU -12)
Projected Score: MSU: 21 - PSU: 32 (53)
PSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MSU Travel: 366 miles
Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Michigan State's 2016 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 9/2 | Michigan State vs Furman | -45.0 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/17 | Michigan State at Notre Dame | +7.0 | 49.0 | W 36 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/24 | Michigan State vs Wisconsin | -6.0 | 42.5 | L 6 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/1 | Michigan State at Indiana | -8.0 | 52.5 | L 21 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/8 | Michigan State vs BYU | -5.0 | 48.5 | L 14 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/15 | Michigan State vs Northwestern | -6.5 | 41.0 | L 40 - 54 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/22 | Michigan State at Maryland | -2.5 | 49.0 | L 17 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/29 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +21.0 | 49.5 | L 23 - 32 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/5 | Michigan State at Illinois | -7.0 | 47.5 | L 27 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/12 | Michigan State vs Rutgers | -15.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/19 | Michigan State vs Ohio State | +23.5 | 50.0 | L 16 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/26 | Michigan State at Penn State | +13.5 | 53.5 | L 12 - 45 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Penn State's 2016 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/3 | Penn State vs Kent State | -19.0 | 44.0 | W 33 - 13 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/10 | Penn State at Pittsburgh | +4.5 | 44.0 | L 39 - 42 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/17 | Penn State vs Temple | -7.0 | 48.0 | W 34 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/24 | Penn State at Michigan | +15.5 | 56.0 | L 10 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/1 | Penn State vs Minnesota | -4.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 26 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/8 | Penn State vs Maryland | -3.0 | 56.0 | W 38 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/22 | Penn State vs Ohio State | +20.0 | 55.0 | W 24 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/29 | Penn State at Purdue | -10.5 | 58.5 | W 62 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/5 | Penn State vs Iowa | -6.5 | 52.0 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/12 | Penn State at Indiana | -6.5 | 60.0 | W 45 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/19 | Penn State at Rutgers | -22.5 | 55.0 | W 39 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/26 | Penn State vs Michigan State | -13.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/3 | Penn State vs Wisconsin | +1.0 | 47.0 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Mon 1/2 | Penn State vs USC | +6.5 | 60.0 | L 49 - 52 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2015)
Overall Stats 2015
Additional Stats 2015
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | .15 | 43% | 24.6 | 43% | 2.76 | 151 | 42% | 234 | 3.78 | .12 | 41% | 29.9 | 43% | 39% | 3.08 | 42.9 | 1 | 2 |
| PSU | .1 | 38% | 31 | 38% | 2.54 | 134 | 35% | 214 | 3.12 | .08 | 38% | 20.5 | 38% | 37% | 3.04 | 40.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| PSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2015
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 14 | 24.6 | 21.6 | 43.1% | 3.78 | 1 | 21 | 386 | 151 | 234 | 3.8 | 53% | 46% | 43% | 42% | 2% | .15 |
| PSU Defense | 13 | 20.5 | 15.1 | 38.4% | 3.04 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 46% | 38% | 37% | 2% | .08 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 14 | 29.9 | 32.8 | 41.5% | 3.08 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 43% | 39% | 3% | .12 |
| PSU Offense | 13 | 31 | 34 | 37.8% | 3.12 | 1.4 | 16 | 349 | 134 | 214 | 4.1 | 45% | 53% | 38% | 35% | 2% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2015
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 14 | 32:51 | 21.4 | 48% | 42% | 5.4 | 42.9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31.7 |
| Penn State | 13 | 29:29 | 16.5 | 27% | 52% | 5.2 | 40.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32.3 |
Run Game Stats (2016)
Pass Game Stats (2016)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 14 | 53% | 43% | 39.4 | 151.3 | 3.8 | 24 | .02 | 2.76 | 79% | 0% | 0.85 |
| PSU Defense | 13 | 53% | 38% | - | - | - | - | .06 | 2.6 | 80% | 0% | 1.04 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 14 | 46% | 43% | - | - | - | - | .01 | 2.74 | 66% | 0% | 0.79 |
| PSU Offense | 13 | 45% | 38% | 32.7 | 134.2 | 4.1 | 15 | .03 | 2.54 | 57% | 0% | 1.08 |
Pass Game Stats (2016)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 14 | 46% | 42% | 17.4 | 31.4 | 234.2 | 7.5 | 13.4 | 26 | 8 | .35 | 1.8 | 33% | 38% | .42 | 2% | 2 |
| PSU Defense | 13 | 46% | 37% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | .11 | 1.5 | 37% | 25% | .14 | 2% | 1.8 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 14 | 53% | 39% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | .22 | 1.7 | 34% | 34% | .4 | 3% | 2 |
| PSU Offense | 13 | 53% | 35% | 16.5 | 31.1 | 214.5 | 6.9 | 13 | 20 | 6 | .18 | 1.7 | 37% | 27% | .2 | 2% | 1.9 |
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #50
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #55
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #50
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #55
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Penn State: 12
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 7.4 Penn State: 19.0
Michigan State: Penn State: 12
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 7.4 Penn State: 19.0
Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #25
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Penn State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #25
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Michigan State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Michigan State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Michigan State 21
Projected Total Points: 53
Penn State 32
Michigan State 21
Projected Total Points: 53
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1
Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1
Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/15 | Michigan State | 10 | Penn State | 28 | Penn State -7 | Penn State | 48.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 0 | Penn State | 42 | Penn State -20 | Penn State | 42.0 | Push |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Penn State | 35 | Michigan State | 16 | Penn State -19 | Push | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Michigan State | 30 | Penn State | 27 | Penn State -3.5 | Michigan State | 51.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Penn State | 39 | Michigan State | 24 | Penn State -14.5 | Penn State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Michigan State | 7 | Penn State | 28 | Penn State -5.5 | Penn State | 41.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 21 | Penn State -13.5 | Michigan State | 53.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Michigan State | 27 | Penn State | 24 | Penn State -10 | Michigan State | 46.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Penn State | 45 | Michigan State | 12 | Penn State -13.5 | Penn State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Michigan State | 55 | Penn State | 16 | Michigan State -11 | Michigan State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Penn State | 10 | Michigan State | 34 | Michigan State -11.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2010 | 11/27 | Penn State | 22 | Michigan State | 28 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Michigan State | 14 | Penn State | 42 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | Penn State | 49 | Michigan State | 18 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Michigan State | 35 | Penn State | 31 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 13 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Michigan State | 22 | Penn State | 31 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Penn State | 37 | Michigan State | 13 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Michigan State | 41 | Penn State | 10 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 37 | Penn State | 42 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Penn State | 42 | Michigan State | 23 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 13 | 5 | 5 Overs |
| Michigan State | 8 | 5 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 9 | 5 - 5 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 12 | 5 - 5 | 4 - 2 | 1 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | PSU |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #50 | #11 |
| Perf GradeGrade | NR | NR |
| OffenseOff | NR | NR |
| DefenseDef | NR | NR |
| Spec TeamsST | NR | NR |
| TalentTal | #22 | #20 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| MSU Off | PSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #55 | #25 |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| MSU Off | PSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| MSU Off | PSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | PSU Off | MSU Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #23 | #39 |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| PSU Off | MSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| CategoryCat | PSU Off | MSU Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Penn State -13.5 (53.5)
Penn State won vs Michigan State this year (45-12)
Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Michigan State last year (28-10)
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2023 (42-0)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|