Minnesota at Penn State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (3:40 PM EDT)
Penn State -4 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 29 - Minnesota: 26  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ PSU -6)
Projected Score: MINN: 17 - PSU: 32 (49)
PSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Minnesota vs Oregon State-7.556.0W 30 - 23UN
Sat 9/10 Minnesota vs Indiana State-44.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Minnesota vs Colorado State-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Minnesota at Penn State+4.054.5L 26 - 29OY
Sat 10/8 Minnesota vs Iowa+1.550.0L 7 - 14UN
Sat 10/15 Minnesota at Maryland+3.047.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 Minnesota vs Rutgers-21.045.0W 34 - 32ON
Sat 10/29 Minnesota at Illinois-10.046.5W 40 - 17OY
Sat 11/5 Minnesota vs Purdue-16.554.0W 44 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Minnesota at Nebraska+8.048.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/19 Minnesota vs Northwestern-2.046.0W 29 - 12UY
Sat 11/26 Minnesota at Wisconsin+14.042.5L 17 - 31OY
Tue 12/27 Minnesota vs Washington State+5.561.0W 17 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Penn State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Penn State vs Kent State-19.044.0W 33 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State at Pittsburgh+4.544.0L 39 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State vs Temple-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/24 Penn State at Michigan+15.556.0L 10 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Minnesota-4.054.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 Penn State vs Maryland-3.056.0W 38 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Ohio State+20.055.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/29 Penn State at Purdue-10.558.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State vs Iowa-6.552.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State at Indiana-6.560.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-22.555.0W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-13.553.5W 45 - 12OY
Sat 12/3 Penn State vs Wisconsin+1.047.0W 38 - 31OY
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN.1241%2338%2.8614443%2153.3.1243%22.945%39%3.445.51.71.4
PSU.138%3138%2.5413435%2143.12.0838%20.538%37%3.0440.71.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.341.1%3.31.7183591442154.249%49%38%43%3%.12
PSU Defense1320.515.138.4%3.041.7 - - - - - 53%46%38%37%2%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93843.3%3.41.4 - - - - - 54%44%45%39%2%.12
PSU Offense13313437.8%3.121.4163491342144.145%53%38%35%2%.1

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1329:0017.639%35%5.645.51.71.400228.2
Penn State1329:2916.527%52%5.240.71.41.700032.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1349%38%34.3144.14.217-.012.8667%0%0.8
PSU Defense1353%38% - - - - .062.680%0%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1354%45% - - - - .13.174%0%0.84
PSU Offense1345%38%32.7134.24.115.032.5457%0%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1349%43%19.332.8214.86.511.11511.251.534%35%.233%1.5
PSU Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.111.537%25%.142%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 10.161.531%34%.32%1.7
PSU Offense1353%35%16.531.1214.56.913206.181.737%27%.22%1.9

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2016 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.6  #24
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    Penn State: 12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 12.6   Penn State: 19.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0  #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Minnesota 17

Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Minnesota25Penn State26Penn State -11Minnesota45.0Over
202210/22Penn State45Minnesota17Penn State -5.5Penn State43.0Over
201911/09Minnesota31Penn State26Penn State -7.0Minnesota49.0Over
201610/01Penn State29Minnesota26Penn State -4Minnesota54.5Over
201311/09Minnesota24Penn State10Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Under
201010/23Minnesota21Penn State33
200910/17Penn State20Minnesota0
200610/07Minnesota27Penn State28
200510/01Penn State44Minnesota14
200410/02Minnesota16Penn State7
200309/27Penn State14Minnesota20
200010/06Minnesota25Penn State16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State714 Overs
Minnesota541 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#) MINN at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #11
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #59 #20
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCat
MINN OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Penn State -4.0 (54.5)
Penn State won vs Minnesota this year (29-26)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Minnesota in 2024 (26-25)

  
MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD