Penn State at Pittsburgh - 2016 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo   Penn State Nittany Lions at Pittsburgh Panthers  Pittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -4.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Pittsburgh 42 - Penn State: 39

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ PSU -6)
Projected Score: PSU: 27 - PITT: 30 (57)
PITT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 116 miles
Panthers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Penn State vs Kent State-19.044.0W 33 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State at Pittsburgh+4.544.0L 39 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State vs Temple-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/24 Penn State at Michigan+15.556.0L 10 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Minnesota-4.054.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 Penn State vs Maryland-3.056.0W 38 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Ohio State+20.055.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/29 Penn State at Purdue-10.558.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State vs Iowa-6.552.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State at Indiana-6.560.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-22.555.0W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-13.553.5W 45 - 12OY
Sat 12/3 Penn State vs Wisconsin+1.047.0W 38 - 31OY
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Pittsburgh vs Villanova-27.0
Sat 9/10 Pittsburgh vs Penn State-4.544.0W 42 - 39ON
Sat 9/17 Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State+6.057.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 9/24 Pittsburgh at North Carolina+7.067.0L 36 - 37OY
Sat 10/1 Pittsburgh vs Marshall-14.057.0W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech-8.053.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/15 Pittsburgh at Virginia-5.060.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech+4.053.5L 36 - 39OY
Sat 11/5 Pittsburgh at Miami+6.058.0L 28 - 51ON
Sat 11/12 Pittsburgh at Clemson+19.061.0W 43 - 42OY
Sat 11/19 Pittsburgh vs Duke-6.561.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/26 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-23.565.5W 76 - 61ON
Wed 12/28 Pittsburgh vs Northwestern-3.063.0L 24 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.138%3138%2.5413435%2143.12.0838%20.538%37%3.0440.71.41.7
PITT.1746%33.747%2.9318743%1913.59.1741%24.841%36%3.940.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense133128.637.8%3.121.4163491342144.145%53%38%35%2%.1
PITT Defense1324.825.140.5%3.91.2 - - - - - 49%48%41%36%1%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.530.238.4%3.041.7 - - - - - 53%46%38%37%2%.08
PITT Offense1333.736.645.9%3.591.2203781871914.856%42%47%43%3%.17

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1329:2916.527%52%5.240.71.41.700032.3
Pittsburgh1331:4219.744%85%540.81.21.200430.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1345%38%32.7134.24.115.032.5457%0%1.08
PITT Defense1349%41% - - - - .162.6172%0%1.13
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1353%38% - - - - .062.680%0%1.04
PITT Offense1356%47%39.2186.94.819.122.9381%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1353%35%16.531.1214.56.913206.181.737%27%.22%1.9
PITT Defense1348%36% - - - - - - 10.211.835%37%.431%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.111.537%25%.142%1.8
PITT Offense1342%43%16.326.4190.67.211.7219.251.629%34%.323%1.8

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0  #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Pittsburgh: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 19.0   Pittsburgh: 13.1




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2016 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #23
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.0  #4
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 30
Penn State 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/14Penn State17Pittsburgh10Penn State -17Pittsburgh53.5Under
201809/08Pittsburgh6Penn State51Penn State -7.5Penn State51.0Over
201709/09Penn State33Pittsburgh14Penn State -20Pittsburgh63.5Under
201609/10Pittsburgh42Penn State39Pittsburgh -4.5Penn State44.0Over
200009/15Pittsburgh12Penn State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh222 Overs
Penn State322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 10 - 40 - 30 - 1
Road Teams1 - 44 - 01 - 03 - 0

(#) PSU at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #23
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #20 #35
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Pittsburgh -4.5 (44.0)
Pittsburgh won vs Penn State this year (42-39)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PSU's OC ()
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PSU's DC ()
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PITT's OC ()
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PITT's DC ()
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