Iowa at Penn State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Iowa Hawkeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -6.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Penn State 41 - Iowa: 14 (Big Ten)

Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IOWA coming off BYE
Our Line: -7 (SP+ PSU -9)
Projected Score: IOWA: 24 - PSU: 25 (49)
PSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
IOWA Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs behind

Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Iowa vs Miami (OH)	-32.0	52.5	W 45 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/10	Iowa vs Iowa State	-18.0	49.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Iowa vs North Dakota State	-14.5
Sat 9/24	Iowa at Rutgers	-13.5	56.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/1	Iowa vs Northwestern	-12.0	44.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/8	Iowa at Minnesota	-1.5	50.0	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Iowa at Purdue	-13.0	52.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Iowa vs Wisconsin	+2.5	43.0	L 9 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Iowa at Penn State	+6.5	52.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/12	Iowa vs Michigan	+18.5	51.0	W 14 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Iowa at Illinois	-10.0	45.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Iowa vs Nebraska	-2.5	45.5	W 40 - 10	O	Y
Mon 1/2	Iowa vs Florida	+2.0	41.0	L 3 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Penn State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Penn State vs Kent State	-19.0	44.0	W 33 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Penn State at Pittsburgh	+4.5	44.0	L 39 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Penn State vs Temple	-7.0	48.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/24	Penn State at Michigan	+15.5	56.0	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/1	Penn State vs Minnesota	-4.0	54.5	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/8	Penn State vs Maryland	-3.0	56.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Penn State vs Ohio State	+20.0	55.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Penn State at Purdue	-10.5	58.5	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Penn State vs Iowa	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Penn State at Indiana	-6.5	60.0	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Penn State at Rutgers	-22.5	55.0	W 39 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Penn State vs Michigan State	-13.5	53.5	W 45 - 12	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Penn State vs Wisconsin	+1.0	47.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/2	Penn State vs USC	+6.5	60.0	L 49 - 52	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	.2	44%	29.3	44%	2.8	182	41%	204	3.79	.07	41%	16.1	42%	38%	3.14	48.8	1.1	1.9
PSU	.1	38%	31	38%	2.54	134	35%	214	3.12	.08	38%	20.5	38%	37%	3.04	40.7	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	14	29.3	29.8	43.8%	3.79	1.1	20	386	182	204	4.5	56%	42%	44%	41%	2%	.2
PSU Defense	13	20.5	15.1	38.4%	3.04	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	38%	37%	2%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	14	16.1	17.2	41%	3.14	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	42%	38%	2%	.07
PSU Offense	13	31	34	37.8%	3.12	1.4	16	349	134	214	4.1	45%	53%	38%	35%	2%	.1

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	14	31:37	20.2	42%	64%	5.2	48.8	1.1	1.9	0	0	4	33.2
Penn State	13	29:29	16.5	27%	52%	5.2	40.7	1.4	1.7	0	0	0	32.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	14	56%	44%	40.6	181.7	4.5	35	.1	2.8	71%	0%	0.95
PSU Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.6	80%	0%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	14	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.05	70%	0%	0.81
PSU Offense	13	45%	38%	32.7	134.2	4.1	15	.03	2.54	57%	0%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	14	42%	41%	16.2	26.4	204.4	7.8	12.6	17	5	.32	1.7	30%	40%	.48	2%	1.9
PSU Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.11	1.5	37%	25%	.14	2%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.08	1.5	33%	33%	.26	2%	1.8
PSU Offense	13	53%	35%	16.5	31.1	214.5	6.9	13	20	6	.18	1.7	37%	27%	.2	2%	1.9

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa's 2016 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #37
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #68
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #18

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: Penn State: 12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 10.3 Penn State: 19.0

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 25
Iowa 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Iowa	25	Penn State	24	Iowa -3.5	Penn State	41.5	Over
2023	09/23	Penn State	31	Iowa	0	Penn State -14	Penn State	38.5	Under
2021	10/09	Iowa	23	Penn State	20	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	41.0	Over
2020	11/21	Penn State	21	Iowa	41	Iowa -1.0	Iowa	45.5	Over
2019	10/12	Iowa	12	Penn State	17	Penn State -3.5	Penn State	43.5	Under
2018	10/27	Penn State	30	Iowa	24	Penn State -5.5	Penn State	52.0	Over
2017	09/23	Iowa	19	Penn State	21	Penn State -13	Iowa	53.0	Under
2016	11/05	Penn State	41	Iowa	14	Penn State -6.5	Penn State	52.0	Over
2012	10/20	Iowa	14	Penn State	38
2011	10/08	Penn State	13	Iowa	3
2010	10/02	Iowa	24	Penn State	3
2009	09/26	Penn State	10	Iowa	21
2008	11/08	Iowa	24	Penn State	23
2007	10/06	Penn State	27	Iowa	7
2004	10/23	Penn State	4	Iowa	6
2003	10/25	Iowa	26	Penn State	14
2002	09/28	Penn State	35	Iowa	42
2001	09/29	Iowa	24	Penn State	18
2000	11/03	Penn State	23	Iowa	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	8	5	5 Overs
Iowa	11	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 3	4 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 11	3 - 5	2 - 1	1 - 4

(#) IOWA at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#11
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#55	#20
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#25
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Penn State -6.5 (52.0)
Penn State won vs Iowa this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Penn State last year (25-24)
Penn State beat Iowa in 2023 (31-0)

IOWA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD