California at USC - 2016 Matchup Preview
California logo   California Golden Bears at USC Trojans  USC logo
Thursday, October 27th 2016 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -14.5 (73.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 45 - California: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC coming off BYE
Our Line: -13  (SP+ USC -21)
Projected Score: CAL: 22 - USC: 34 (56)
USC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CAL Travel: 347 miles
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/26 California vs Hawai'i-23.066.0W 51 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 California at San Diego State+7.059.5L 40 - 45OY
Sat 9/17 California vs Texas+6.079.5W 50 - 43OY
Sat 9/24 California at Arizona State+6.585.0L 41 - 51ON
Sat 10/1 California vs Utah-2.064.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 10/8 California at Oregon State-10.070.0L 44 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 California vs Oregon-3.090.0W 52 - 49ON
Thu 10/27 California at USC+14.573.0L 24 - 45UN
Sat 11/5 California vs Washington+17.073.5L 27 - 66ON
Sat 11/12 California at Washington State+16.578.0L 21 - 56UN
Sat 11/19 California vs Stanford+11.060.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 11/26 California vs UCLA+5.570.5W 36 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.2951%25.350%3.0115351%3763.94.2147%27.247%44%3.743.71.82.2
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.323.751.4%3.941.8265291533764.539%59%50%51%2%.29
USC Defense142317.944.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1327.229.647%3.72.2 - - - - - 55%43%47%44%3%.21
USC Offense1435.84345.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1329:0826.247%50%5.243.71.82.200229
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1339%50%33.8152.84.516.093.0172%0%0.79
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1355%47% - - - - .173.2276%0%0.92
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1359%51%27.142.3376.38.913.94414.441.629%47%.62%1.8
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1343%44% - - - - - - 16.271.629%34%.253%1.7
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2016 Expected Record: -
California's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4  #62
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #22
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    USC: 14.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 2.4   USC: 23.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 14.3 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 34
California 22

Projected Total Points: 56
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28California49USC50USC -10.5California67.5Over
202211/05USC41California35USC -21.5California60.5Over
202112/04California24USC14California -4.5California57.5Under
201911/16California17USC41USC -4.5USC47.5Over
201811/10USC14California15USC -5.5California45.5Under
201709/23California20USC30USC -17California63.0Under
201610/27USC45California24USC -14.5USC73.0Under
201510/31California21USC27USC -4USC69.0Under
201411/13USC38California30USC -12California0
201311/09California28USC62USC -17USC0
201209/22USC27California9
201110/13California9USC30
201010/16USC48California14
200910/03California3USC30
200811/08USC17California3
200711/10California17USC24
200611/18USC23California9
200511/12California10USC35
200410/09USC23California17
200309/27California34USC31
200210/12USC30California28
200111/10California14USC55
200010/27USC16California28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1943 Overs
California465 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 124 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams12 - 116 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) CAL at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #47 #2
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
USC -14.5 (73.0)
USC won vs California this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
USC beat California in 2023 (50-49)

  
CAL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CAL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD