Ohio State at Penn State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -20 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Penn State 24 - Ohio State: 21 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OSU 2nd straight Road Game
PSU coming off BYE
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ OSU -3.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 25 - PSU: 21 (46)
OSU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
OSU Travel: 277 miles

Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ohio State vs Bowling Green	-27.0	64.0	W 77 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Ohio State vs Tulsa	-28.5	72.0	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ohio State at Oklahoma	-2.5	58.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Ohio State vs Rutgers	-37.0	59.5	W 58 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Ohio State vs Indiana	-32.0	60.5	W 38 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-9.5	46.0	W 30 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/22	Ohio State at Penn State	-20.0	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/29	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-24.0	53.5	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/5	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-15.5	53.5	W 62 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Ohio State at Maryland	-28.0	58.5	W 62 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Ohio State at Michigan State	-23.5	50.0	W 17 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/26	Ohio State vs Michigan	-7.0	44.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/31	Ohio State vs Clemson	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Penn State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Penn State vs Kent State	-19.0	44.0	W 33 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Penn State at Pittsburgh	+4.5	44.0	L 39 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Penn State vs Temple	-7.0	48.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/24	Penn State at Michigan	+15.5	56.0	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/1	Penn State vs Minnesota	-4.0	54.5	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/8	Penn State vs Maryland	-3.0	56.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Penn State vs Ohio State	+20.0	55.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Penn State at Purdue	-10.5	58.5	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Penn State vs Iowa	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Penn State at Indiana	-6.5	60.0	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Penn State at Rutgers	-22.5	55.0	W 39 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Penn State vs Michigan State	-13.5	53.5	W 45 - 12	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Penn State vs Wisconsin	+1.0	47.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/2	Penn State vs USC	+6.5	60.0	L 49 - 52	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	.26	50%	33.4	52%	3.36	245	45%	189	3.85	.04	35%	9.3	38%	31%	2.71	50.5	1.4	1.6
PSU	.1	38%	31	38%	2.54	134	35%	214	3.12	.08	38%	20.5	38%	37%	3.04	40.7	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	33.4	30.6	49.9%	3.85	1.4	22	434	245	189	5.6	61%	38%	52%	45%	3%	.26
PSU Defense	13	20.5	15.1	38.4%	3.04	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	38%	37%	2%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	9.3	8.2	35.2%	2.71	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	38%	31%	2%	.04
PSU Offense	13	31	34	37.8%	3.12	1.4	16	349	134	214	4.1	45%	53%	38%	35%	2%	.1

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:15	21.5	41%	58%	5.8	50.5	1.4	1.6	0	0	3	33.5
Penn State	13	29:29	16.5	27%	52%	5.2	40.7	1.4	1.7	0	0	0	32.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	61%	52%	43.6	245.2	5.6	39	.28	3.36	79%	0%	1.04
PSU Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.6	80%	0%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.7	65%	0%	0.93
PSU Offense	13	45%	38%	32.7	134.2	4.1	15	.03	2.54	57%	0%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	38%	45%	15.7	25	188.8	7.6	12	19	9	.23	1.5	27%	36%	.38	3%	1.8
PSU Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.11	1.5	37%	25%	.14	2%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.06	1.7	37%	26%	.17	2%	1.8
PSU Offense	13	53%	35%	16.5	31.1	214.5	6.9	13	20	6	.18	1.7	37%	27%	.2	2%	1.9

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4 #10
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #32
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: Penn State: 12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 22.4 Penn State: 19.0

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 25
Penn State 21

Projected Total Points: 46

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Ohio State	38	Penn State	14	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	45.5	Over
2024	11/02	Penn State	13	Ohio State	20	Ohio State -3	Ohio State	47.5	Under
2023	10/21	Ohio State	20	Penn State	12	Ohio State -4.0	Ohio State	47.0	Under
2022	10/29	Penn State	31	Ohio State	44	Ohio State -15.5	Penn State	60.5	Over
2021	10/30	Ohio State	33	Penn State	24	Ohio State -18.5	Penn State	60.5	Under
2020	10/31	Penn State	25	Ohio State	38	Ohio State -13.0	NA	0
2019	11/23	Ohio State	28	Penn State	17	Ohio State -20.0	Penn State	59.0	Under
2018	09/29	Penn State	26	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -3	Penn State	68.5	Under
2017	10/28	Ohio State	39	Penn State	38	Ohio State -7	Penn State	57.5	Over
2016	10/22	Penn State	24	Ohio State	21	Ohio State -20	Penn State	55.0	Under
2015	10/17	Ohio State	38	Penn State	10	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	49.0	Under
2014	10/25	Penn State	24	Ohio State	31	Ohio State -11.5	Penn State	0
2013	10/26	Ohio State	63	Penn State	14	Ohio State -14	Ohio State	0
2012	10/27	Penn State	23	Ohio State	35
2011	11/19	Ohio State	14	Penn State	20
2010	11/13	Ohio State	38	Penn State	14
2009	11/07	Penn State	7	Ohio State	24
2008	10/25	Ohio State	6	Penn State	13
2007	10/27	Penn State	17	Ohio State	37
2006	09/23	Ohio State	28	Penn State	6
2005	10/08	Penn State	17	Ohio State	10
2004	10/30	Ohio State	21	Penn State	10
2003	11/01	Penn State	20	Ohio State	21
2002	10/26	Ohio State	13	Penn State	7
2001	10/27	Penn State	29	Ohio State	27
2000	09/22	Ohio State	45	Penn State	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	5	7	3 Overs
Ohio State	21	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	8 - 4	4 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	4 - 8	1 - 4	3 - 4

(#) OSU at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#11
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#5	#20
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ohio State Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#25
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

OSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Ohio State 20.0 (55.0)
Penn State won vs Ohio State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Penn State last year (38-14)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2024 (20-13)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2023 (20-12)

OSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD