Penn State at Michigan - 2016 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo   Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -15.5 (56.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 49 - Penn State: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 4th straight Home Game
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
PSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ MICH -5)

Projected Score: PSU: 24 - MICH: 27 (51)
MICH Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
PSU Travel: 321 miles
Wolverines (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Penn State vs Kent State-19.044.0W 33 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State at Pittsburgh+4.544.0L 39 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State vs Temple-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/24 Penn State at Michigan+15.556.0L 10 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Minnesota-4.054.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 Penn State vs Maryland-3.056.0W 38 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Ohio State+20.055.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/29 Penn State at Purdue-10.558.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State vs Iowa-6.552.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State at Indiana-6.560.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-22.555.0W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-13.553.5W 45 - 12OY
Sat 12/3 Penn State vs Wisconsin+1.047.0W 38 - 31OY
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Michigan's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Michigan vs Hawai'i-40.555.0W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/10 Michigan vs UCF-34.553.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/17 Michigan vs Colorado-20.055.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 Michigan vs Penn State-15.556.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/1 Michigan vs Wisconsin-10.044.5W 14 - 7UN
Sat 10/8 Michigan at Rutgers-26.552.5W 78 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Michigan vs Illinois-28.051.5W 41 - 8UY
Sat 10/29 Michigan at Michigan State-21.049.5W 32 - 23ON
Sat 11/5 Michigan vs Maryland-26.554.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/12 Michigan at Iowa-18.551.0L 13 - 14UN
Sat 11/19 Michigan vs Indiana-28.050.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/26 Michigan at Ohio State+7.044.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 12/30 Michigan vs Florida State-6.551.0L 32 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.138%3138%2.5413435%2143.12.0838%20.538%37%3.0440.71.41.7
MICH.2247%27.545%315846%2383.93.0335%20.436%31%2.559.81.20.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense133128.637.8%3.121.4163491342144.145%53%38%35%2%.1
MICH Defense1320.413.334.9%2.50.9 - - - - - 49%49%36%31%3%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.530.238.4%3.041.7 - - - - - 53%46%38%37%2%.08
MICH Offense1327.529.246.8%3.931.2203961582384.249%49%45%46%2%.22

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1329:2916.527%52%5.240.71.41.700032.3
Michigan1333:2720.446%38%6.759.81.20.900232.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1345%38%32.7134.24.115.032.5457%0%1.08
MICH Defense1349%36% - - - - .12.6681%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1353%38% - - - - .062.680%0%1.04
MICH Offense1349%45%37.8158.24.227.15379%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1353%35%16.531.1214.56.913206.181.737%27%.22%1.9
MICH Defense1349%31% - - - - - - 10-.031.638%27%.063%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.111.537%25%.142%1.8
MICH Offense1349%46%19.831.9237.77.5122110.331.630%41%.462%1.8

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0  #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Michigan: 14.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 19.0   Michigan: 24.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 14.7 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4  #6
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #35
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.1  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 27
Penn State 24


Projected Total Points: 51
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Penn State15Michigan24Michigan -4.0Michigan44.5Under
202210/15Michigan41Penn State17Michigan -7Michigan49.0Over
202111/13Penn State17Michigan21Michigan -2.5Michigan48.0Under
202011/28Michigan17Penn State27Michigan -1.0Penn State56.0Under
201910/19Penn State28Michigan21Penn State -7.5Michigan47.0Over
201811/03Michigan42Penn State7Michigan -13.5Michigan48.0Over
201710/21Penn State42Michigan13Penn State -7.5Penn State42.5Over
201609/24Michigan49Penn State10Michigan -15.5Michigan56.0Over
201511/21Penn State16Michigan28Michigan -5Michigan43.0Over
201410/11Michigan18Penn State13Penn State -2Michigan0
201310/12Penn State43Michigan40Michigan -1Penn State0
201010/30Penn State41Michigan31
200910/24Michigan10Penn State35
200810/18Penn State46Michigan17
200709/22Michigan14Penn State9
200610/14Penn State10Michigan17
200510/15Michigan27Penn State25
200210/12Michigan27Penn State24
200110/06Penn State0Michigan20
200011/10Michigan33Penn State11
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1386 Overs
Penn State733 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams7 - 135 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #6
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #20 #8
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Michigan -15.5 (56.0)
Michigan won vs Penn State this year (49-10)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)

  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD