USC at Stanford - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 17th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Stanford -6.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Stanford 27 - USC: 10 (Pac-12)

Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

STAN coming off BYE
Our Line: -1 (SP+ USC -7)
Projected Score: USC: 30 - STAN: 24 (54)
STAN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USC Travel: 321 miles

Cardinal (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USC Players
STAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

USC's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	USC vs Alabama	+9.0	51.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/10	USC vs Utah State	-14.0	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	USC at Stanford	+6.5	48.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/23	USC at Utah	+2.0	44.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	USC vs Arizona State	-8.0	63.5	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	USC vs Colorado	-4.0	62.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	USC at Arizona	-7.0	65.0	W 48 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	USC vs California	-14.5	73.0	W 45 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/5	USC vs Oregon	-14.0	76.5	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/12	USC at Washington	+10.0	59.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/19	USC at UCLA	-10.5	53.0	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	USC vs Notre Dame	-17.0	59.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Mon 1/2	USC vs Penn State	-6.5	60.0	W 52 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Stanford's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Stanford vs Kansas State	-16.5	49.0	W 26 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Stanford vs USC	-6.5	48.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Stanford at UCLA	-2.5	47.0	W 22 - 13	U	Y
Fri 9/30	Stanford at Washington	+3.5	46.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/8	Stanford vs Washington State	-12.5	56.5	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/15	Stanford at Notre Dame	+3.5	53.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Stanford vs Colorado	-3.5	50.0	L 5 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/29	Stanford at Arizona	+3.0	49.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Stanford vs Oregon State	-16.5	42.5	W 26 - 15	U	N
Sat 11/12	Stanford at Oregon	-1.0	57.5	W 52 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Stanford at California	-11.0	60.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Stanford vs Rice	-33.0	50.5	W 41 - 17	O	N
Fri 12/30	Stanford vs North Carolina	-2.5	55.0	W 25 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC	.23	46%	35.8	47%	2.89	168	44%	270	4.05	.12	44%	23	43%	43%	3.44	68.6	0.9	1.6
STAN	.32	52%	18.8	52%	3.31	224	51%	212	4.38	.17	44%	29.2	41%	43%	3.39	46.3	0.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Offense	14	35.8	27.4	45.9%	4.05	0.9	22	438	168	270	4.5	48%	51%	47%	44%	2%	.23
STAN Defense	14	29.2	26	43.7%	3.39	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	41%	43%	3%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Defense	14	23	28.8	44.1%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	43%	43%	1%	.12
STAN Offense	14	18.8	25.2	52.4%	4.38	0.9	22	436	224	212	5.1	61%	37%	52%	51%	2%	.32

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
USC	14	29:13	22	39%	65%	7.4	68.6	0.9	1.6	0	0	4	28
Stanford	14	34:48	22.1	50%	81%	5.6	46.3	0.9	1	0	0	4	32.1

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Offense	14	48%	47%	37.6	168.2	4.5	26	.16	2.89	68%	0%	1.03
STAN Defense	14	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.87	69%	0%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Defense	14	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.87	68%	0%	0.84
STAN Offense	14	61%	52%	43.6	223.7	5.1	33	.23	3.31	77%	0%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Offense	14	51%	44%	22.1	33.1	269.7	8.2	12.2	30	7	.32	1.5	30%	32%	.33	2%	2
STAN Defense	14	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.28	1.5	31%	37%	.33	3%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Defense	14	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.24	1.6	31%	37%	.33	1%	1.7
STAN Offense	14	37%	51%	15.2	22.7	211.8	9.3	13.9	30	8	.5	1.7	26%	39%	.47	2%	1.8

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6 #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2 #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: Stanford: 10.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 23.6 Stanford: 16.4

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: 10.7 NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Stanford's 2016 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #53
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
USC 30
Stanford 24

Projected Total Points: 54

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	USC	56	Stanford	10	USC -28.5	USC	70.5	Under
2022	09/10	Stanford	28	USC	41	USC -9.5	USC	66.5	Over
2021	09/11	USC	28	Stanford	42	USC -17	Stanford	53.0	Over
2019	09/07	USC	45	Stanford	20	USC -3	USC	43.0	Over
2018	09/08	Stanford	17	USC	3	Stanford -4.5	Stanford	54.5	Under
2017	12/01	USC	31	Stanford	28	USC -3.5	Stanford	58.5	Over
2017	09/09	USC	42	Stanford	24	USC -4	USC	54.5	Over
2016	09/17	Stanford	27	USC	10	Stanford -6.5	Stanford	48.5	Under
2015	09/19	USC	31	Stanford	41	USC -8	Stanford	51.0	Over
2015	12/05	Stanford	41	USC	22	Stanford -4	Stanford	59.0	Over
2014	09/06	Stanford	10	USC	13	Stanford -4	USC	0
2013	11/16	USC	20	Stanford	17	Stanford -3	USC	0
2012	09/15	Stanford	21	USC	14
2011	10/29	USC	48	Stanford	56
2010	10/09	Stanford	37	USC	35
2009	11/14	USC	21	Stanford	55
2008	11/15	Stanford	23	USC	45
2007	10/06	USC	23	Stanford	24
2006	11/04	Stanford	0	USC	42
2005	11/05	USC	51	Stanford	21
2004	09/25	Stanford	28	USC	31
2003	10/11	USC	44	Stanford	21
2002	11/09	Stanford	17	USC	49
2001	09/29	USC	16	Stanford	21
2000	10/20	Stanford	32	USC	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	12	6	7 Overs
USC	13	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	7 - 5	6 - 4	1 - 1
Road Teams	12 - 13	5 - 7	1 - 1	4 - 6

(#) USC at (#) STAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USC	STAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#13
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#2	#17
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

USC Injury Report

Stanford Injury Report

USC on Offense


CategoryCat	USC Off	STAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

USC Run Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

USC Pass Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	USC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#9
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	USC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	USC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Stanford -6.5 (48.5)
Stanford won vs USC this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Stanford in 2023 (56-10)

USC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

STAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD