USC at UCLA - 2016 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins  UCLA logo
Saturday, November 19th 2016 (10:30 PM EST)
USC -10.5 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 36 - UCLA: 14  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC 2nd straight Road Game
UCLA 2nd straight Home Game
USC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ USC -14.5)
Projected Score: USC: 33 - UCLA: 23 (56)
USC Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
USC Travel: 12 miles
Bruins (4 - 8) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
UCLA's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UCLA at Texas A&M+1.055.0L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/10 UCLA vs UNLV-25.557.5W 42 - 21ON
Sat 9/17 UCLA at BYU-4.050.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 9/24 UCLA vs Stanford+2.547.0L 13 - 22UN
Sat 10/1 UCLA vs Arizona+3.058.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/8 UCLA at Arizona State-4.558.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/15 UCLA at Washington State+2.051.0L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/22 UCLA vs Utah-7.042.5L 45 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/3 UCLA at Colorado+10.056.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 UCLA vs Oregon State-10.048.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 UCLA vs USC+10.553.0L 14 - 36UN
Sat 11/26 UCLA at California-5.570.5L 10 - 36UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
UCLA.2347%18.248%2.7317844%2884.01.1144%33.447%39%3.1670.51.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1435.827.445.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23
UCLA Defense1333.434.744.3%3.161.5 - - - - - 52%46%47%39%1%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense142328.844.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
UCLA Offense1318.219.546.6%4.011.523466178288543%54%48%44%3%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
UCLA1325:5523.245%62%8.370.51.51.500231.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03
UCLA Defense1352%47% - - - - .122.9885%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
UCLA Offense1343%48%35.3177.5526.152.7370%0%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2
UCLA Defense1346%39% - - - - - - 12.141.430%30%.161%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
UCLA Offense1354%44%23.139.2288.47.412.52313.331.632%43%.453%1.8

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    UCLA: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 23.6   UCLA: 9.1




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCLA's 2016 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #44
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #79
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 33
UCLA 23

Projected Total Points: 56
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29USC29UCLA10USC -21.0UCLA59.0Under
202411/23UCLA13USC19USC -5USC53.0Under
202311/18USC20UCLA38USC -6UCLA65.5Under
202211/19UCLA45USC48USC -2.5USC76.5Over
202111/20USC33UCLA62UCLA -4.5UCLA66.5Over
202012/12UCLA38USC43USC -3.5USC64.0Over
201911/23USC52UCLA35USC -12.5USC66.0Over
201811/17UCLA34USC27USC -2.5UCLA55.0Over
201711/18USC28UCLA23USC -14.5UCLA70.5Under
201611/19UCLA14USC36USC -10.5USC53.0Under
201511/28USC40UCLA21USC -3.5USC61.0Push
201411/22UCLA38USC20UCLA -3UCLA0
201311/30USC14UCLA35USC -3.5UCLA0
201211/17UCLA38USC28
201111/26USC50UCLA0
201012/04UCLA14USC28
200911/28USC28UCLA7
200812/06UCLA7USC28
200712/01USC24UCLA7
200612/02UCLA13USC9
200512/03USC66UCLA19
200412/04UCLA24USC29
200311/22USC47UCLA22
200111/17USC27UCLA0
200011/17UCLA35USC38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA775 Overs
USC1865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 114 - 93 - 41 - 5
Road Teams11 - 149 - 45 - 14 - 3

(#) USC at (#) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCUCLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #44
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #12
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCLA on Offense
CategoryCatUCLA OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCLA Run Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCLA Pass Game
CategoryCatUCLA OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
USC 10.5 (53.0)
USC won at UCLA this year (36-14)

Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (29-10)
USC beat UCLA in 2024 (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)

  
USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD