Penn State at Purdue - 2016 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo   Penn State Nittany Lions at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, October 29th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -10.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 62 - Purdue: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ PSU -30)
Projected Score: PSU: 30 - PUR: 23 (53)
PSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
PSU Travel: 476 miles
Boilermakers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Penn State vs Kent State-19.044.0W 33 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State at Pittsburgh+4.544.0L 39 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State vs Temple-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/24 Penn State at Michigan+15.556.0L 10 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Minnesota-4.054.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 Penn State vs Maryland-3.056.0W 38 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Ohio State+20.055.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/29 Penn State at Purdue-10.558.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State vs Iowa-6.552.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State at Indiana-6.560.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-22.555.0W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-13.553.5W 45 - 12OY
Sat 12/3 Penn State vs Wisconsin+1.047.0W 38 - 31OY
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Purdue's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Purdue vs Eastern Kentucky-15.0
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Cincinnati+7.057.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Nevada-5.059.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Maryland+9.055.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Illinois+9.049.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Iowa+13.052.5L 35 - 49ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Nebraska+23.559.0L 14 - 27UY
Sat 10/29 Purdue vs Penn State+10.558.5L 24 - 62ON
Sat 11/5 Purdue at Minnesota+16.554.0L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/12 Purdue vs Northwestern+10.558.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Wisconsin+26.548.5L 20 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana+16.066.5L 24 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.138%3138%2.5413435%2143.12.0838%20.538%37%3.0440.71.41.7
PUR.0840%18.843%2.7913137%2373.73.2146%31.844%46%3.8253.92.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense133128.637.8%3.121.4163491342144.145%53%38%35%2%.1
PUR Defense1231.83046%3.821.8 - - - - - 53%46%44%46%2%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.530.238.4%3.041.7 - - - - - 53%46%38%37%2%.08
PUR Offense1218.820.940.4%3.732.2203691312373.844%55%43%37%3%.08

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1329:2916.527%52%5.240.71.41.700032.3
Purdue1227:4119.835%55%5.453.92.21.800028.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1345%38%32.7134.24.115.032.5457%0%1.08
PUR Defense1253%44% - - - - .122.6172%0%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1353%38% - - - - .062.680%0%1.04
PUR Offense1244%43%34.8131.33.822.082.7977%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1353%35%16.531.1214.56.913206.181.737%27%.22%1.9
PUR Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 12.321.531%36%.332%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.111.537%25%.142%1.8
PUR Offense1255%37%24.242237.35.79.81816.091.434%27%.213%2

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0  #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Purdue: -3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 19.0   Purdue: -11.0




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -3 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2016 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #102

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 30
Purdue 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Purdue10Penn State49Penn State -30Penn State51.5Over
202209/01Purdue31Penn State35Penn State -3.5Penn State53.5Over
201910/05Penn State35Purdue7Penn State -28.5Purdue55.5Under
201610/29Purdue24Penn State62Penn State -10.5Penn State58.5Over
201311/16Penn State45Purdue21Penn State -20.5Penn State0
201211/03Purdue9Penn State34
201110/15Penn State23Purdue18
200810/04Purdue6Penn State20
200711/03Penn State26Purdue19
200610/28Purdue0Penn State12
200510/29Penn State33Purdue15
200410/09Penn State13Purdue20
200310/11Purdue28Penn State14
200009/29Penn State22Purdue20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue213 Overs
Penn State1241 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 71 - 41 - 10 - 3
Road Teams7 - 74 - 13 - 01 - 1

(#) PSU at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #104
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #20 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Penn State 10.5 (58.5)
Penn State won at Purdue this year (62-24)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Purdue in 2024 (49-10)

  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
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PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD