USC at Arizona - 2016 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, October 15th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
USC -7 (65.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 48 - Arizona: 14  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ is playing their 7th straight game
USC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ USC -28)
Projected Score: USC: 25 - ARIZ: 29 (54)
USC Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 442 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (3 - 9) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Arizona's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arizona vs BYU-2.563.5L 16 - 18UN
Sat 9/10 Arizona vs Grambling-45.5
Sat 9/17 Arizona vs Hawai'i-23.063.0W 47 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 Arizona vs Washington+10.058.5L 28 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Arizona at UCLA-3.058.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Arizona at Utah+9.053.5L 23 - 36ON
Sat 10/15 Arizona vs USC+7.065.0L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Arizona vs Stanford-3.049.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 11/5 Arizona at Washington State+16.567.5L 7 - 69ON
Sat 11/12 Arizona vs Colorado+16.561.0L 24 - 49ON
Sat 11/19 Arizona at Oregon State+5.061.5L 17 - 42UN
Fri 11/25 Arizona vs Arizona State+6.065.0W 56 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
ARIZ.2346%31.546%2.8122243%2734.01.2545%19.345%43%4.3548.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1435.827.445.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23
ARIZ Defense1319.315.645.1%4.351.2 - - - - - 52%46%45%43%2%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense142328.844.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
ARIZ Offense1331.534.945.6%4.011.5254952222735.547%51%46%43%2%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
Arizona1326:1824.641%37%5.748.71.51.200328.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03
ARIZ Defense1352%45% - - - - .142.8884%0%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
ARIZ Offense1347%46%40.52225.531.192.8168%0%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2
ARIZ Defense1346%43% - - - - - - 11.391.731%34%.432%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
ARIZ Offense1351%43%2135.8272.97.6132710.281.630%38%.462%2.1

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Arizona: 0.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 23.6   Arizona: -4.5




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 0.25 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5  #87
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #63
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 29
USC 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07USC43Arizona41USC -21Arizona69.5Over
202210/29Arizona37USC45USC -14Arizona74.0Over
202110/30USC41Arizona34USC -22Arizona55.5Over
202011/14Arizona30USC34USC -15Arizona67.0Under
201910/19USC41Arizona14USC -10USC68.0Under
201809/29Arizona20USC24USC -3.5USC61.0Under
201711/04USC49Arizona35USC -6.5USC76.0Over
201610/15Arizona14USC48USC -7USC65.0Under
201511/07USC38Arizona30USC -16.5Arizona69.5Under
201410/11Arizona26USC28USC -2.5Arizona0
201310/10USC38Arizona31USC -5USC0
201210/27Arizona39USC36
201110/01USC48Arizona41
201011/13Arizona21USC24
200912/05USC17Arizona21
200810/25Arizona10USC17
200710/13USC20Arizona13
200609/23Arizona3USC20
200510/08USC42Arizona21
200411/13USC49Arizona9
200311/15Arizona0USC45
200110/27Arizona34USC41
200010/06USC15Arizona31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona364 Overs
USC2055 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 126 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#) USC at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #87
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffARIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
USC 7.0 (65.0)
USC won at Arizona this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona in 2023 (43-41)

  
USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD