Utah State at USC - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 10th 2016 (2:00 PM EDT)
USC -14 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
USC 45 - Utah State: 7

Aggies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -16.5 (SP+ USC -28)
Projected Score: USU: 24 - USC: 36 (60)
USC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USU Travel: 640 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
USC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Utah State vs Weber State	-21.0
Sat 9/10	Utah State at USC	+14.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Fri 9/16	Utah State vs Arkansas State	-8.0	56.0	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Utah State vs Air Force	+3.0	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Utah State at Boise State	+19.5	60.5	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Utah State at Colorado State	-6.0	53.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Utah State vs Fresno State	-14.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Fri 10/28	Utah State vs San Diego State	+3.0	45.0	L 13 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Utah State at Wyoming	+4.0	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/12	Utah State vs New Mexico	-2.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Utah State at Nevada	-5.0	56.5	L 37 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Utah State at BYU	+17.0	51.5	L 10 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

USC's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	USC vs Alabama	+9.0	51.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/10	USC vs Utah State	-14.0	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	USC at Stanford	+6.5	48.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/23	USC at Utah	+2.0	44.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	USC vs Arizona State	-8.0	63.5	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	USC vs Colorado	-4.0	62.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	USC at Arizona	-7.0	65.0	W 48 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	USC vs California	-14.5	73.0	W 45 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/5	USC vs Oregon	-14.0	76.5	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/12	USC at Washington	+10.0	59.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/19	USC at UCLA	-10.5	53.0	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	USC vs Notre Dame	-17.0	59.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Mon 1/2	USC vs Penn State	-6.5	60.0	W 52 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.12	41%	30.9	41%	2.63	165	39%	206	3.39	.1	39%	28.7	39%	36%	3.65	58.9	1.8	1.7
USC	.23	46%	35.8	47%	2.89	168	44%	270	4.05	.12	44%	23	43%	43%	3.44	68.6	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	30.9	25.2	40.8%	3.39	1.8	19	371	165	206	4.5	50%	49%	41%	39%	2%	.12
USC Defense	14	23	17.9	44.1%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	43%	43%	1%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	28.7	37	38.6%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	39%	36%	1%	.1
USC Offense	14	35.8	43	45.9%	4.05	0.9	22	438	168	270	4.5	48%	51%	47%	44%	2%	.23

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	28:45	19.4	35%	50%	6.4	58.9	1.8	1.7	0	0	4	31.7
USC	14	29:13	22	39%	65%	7.4	68.6	0.9	1.6	0	0	4	28

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	50%	41%	37	165.1	4.5	22	.1	2.63	70%	0%	1.08
USC Defense	14	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.87	68%	0%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	59%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.58	67%	0%	0.97
USC Offense	14	48%	47%	37.6	168.2	4.5	26	.16	2.89	68%	0%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	49%	39%	17.6	31	205.5	6.6	11.7	21	10	.15	1.6	36%	30%	.26	2%	2.1
USC Defense	14	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.24	1.6	31%	37%	.33	1%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	39%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.2	1.7	34%	27%	.22	1%	1.9
USC Offense	14	51%	44%	22.1	33.1	269.7	8.2	12.2	30	7	.32	1.5	30%	32%	.33	2%	2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #86
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #96
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #59

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: USC: 14.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -4.4 USC: 23.6

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 14.3 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6 #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2 #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
USC 36
Utah State 24

Projected Total Points: 60

USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	USC	48	Utah State	0	USC -30.5	USC	62.5	Under
2016	09/10	USC	45	Utah State	7	USC -14	USC	54.5	Under
2013	09/21	USC	17	Utah State	14	USC -7	Utah State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	3	2	0 Overs
Utah State	0	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#) USU at (#) USC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	USC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#8
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#111	#2
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

USC Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	USC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#9
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	USC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	USC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

USC on Offense


CategoryCat	USC Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

USC Run Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

USC Pass Game


CategoryCat	USC Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
USC -14.0 (54.5)
USC won vs Utah State this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Utah State in 2024 (48-0)

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD