Wisconsin at Penn State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo   Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, December 3rd 2016 (8:00 PM EST)
Wisconsin -1 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 38 - Wisconsin: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (11 - 3) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 7th straight game
WIS is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ PSU -3)
Projected Score: WIS: 15 - PSU: 28 (43)
WIS Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WIS Travel: 284 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.543.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Wisconsin vs Akron-24.045.5W 54 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Wisconsin vs Georgia State-30.051.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/24 Wisconsin at Michigan State+6.042.5W 30 - 6UY
Sat 10/1 Wisconsin at Michigan+10.044.5L 7 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+9.546.0L 23 - 30OY
Sat 10/22 Wisconsin at Iowa-2.543.0W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/29 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.544.0W 23 - 17UN
Sat 11/5 Wisconsin at Northwestern-6.541.5W 21 - 7UY
Sat 11/12 Wisconsin vs Illinois-26.542.0W 48 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Wisconsin at Purdue-26.548.5W 49 - 20OY
Sat 11/26 Wisconsin vs Minnesota-14.042.5W 31 - 17ON
Sat 12/3 Wisconsin vs Penn State-1.047.0L 31 - 38ON
Mon 1/2 Wisconsin vs Western Michigan-6.554.0W 24 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Penn State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Penn State vs Kent State-19.044.0W 33 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State at Pittsburgh+4.544.0L 39 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State vs Temple-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/24 Penn State at Michigan+15.556.0L 10 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Minnesota-4.054.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 Penn State vs Maryland-3.056.0W 38 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Ohio State+20.055.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/29 Penn State at Purdue-10.558.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State vs Iowa-6.552.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State at Indiana-6.560.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-22.555.0W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-13.553.5W 45 - 12OY
Sat 12/3 Penn State vs Wisconsin+1.047.0W 38 - 31OY
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS.1244%12.839%2.6715047%2283.83.0435%21.635%33%2.06531.41.6
PSU.138%3138%2.5413435%2143.12.0838%20.538%37%3.0440.71.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1312.8944%3.831.4213791502283.850%47%39%47%2%.12
PSU Defense1320.515.138.4%3.041.7 - - - - - 53%46%38%37%2%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1321.626.234.6%2.061.6 - - - - - 46%53%35%33%3%.04
PSU Offense13313437.8%3.121.4163491342144.145%53%38%35%2%.1

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1333:5121.141%75%5.8531.41.600135
Penn State1329:2916.527%52%5.240.71.41.700032.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1350%39%39.4150.33.827.022.6782%0%0.88
PSU Defense1353%38% - - - - .062.680%0%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1346%35% - - - - -2.6865%0%0.86
PSU Offense1345%38%32.7134.24.115.032.5457%0%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1347%47%19.432.2228.37.111.81413.231.431%38%.262%1.5
PSU Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.111.537%25%.142%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1353%33% - - - - - - 12.071.535%24%.123%1.8
PSU Offense1353%35%16.531.1214.56.913206.181.737%27%.22%1.9

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1  #16
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8  #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin:    Penn State: 9.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 16.1   Penn State: 19.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 9.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0  #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 28
Wisconsin 15

Projected Total Points: 43
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Wisconsin13Penn State28Penn State -6.5Penn State47.0Under
202109/04Wisconsin10Penn State16Wisconsin -5.5Penn State48.5Under
201811/10Penn State22Wisconsin10Penn State -7.5Penn State52.0Under
201612/03Penn State38Wisconsin31Wisconsin -1Penn State47.0Over
201311/30Wisconsin24Penn State31Wisconsin -23.5Penn State0
201211/24Penn State24Wisconsin21
201111/26Wisconsin45Penn State7
200810/11Wisconsin7Penn State48
200710/13Penn State38Wisconsin7
200611/04Wisconsin13Penn State3
200511/05Penn State35Wisconsin14
200409/25Wisconsin16Penn State3
200310/04Penn State23Wisconsin30
200210/05Wisconsin31Penn State34
200109/22Penn State6Wisconsin18
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1051 Overs
Wisconsin503 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 72 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams7 - 83 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#) WIS at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWISPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #11
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #37 #20
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCat
WIS OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffWIS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffWIS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffWIS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Wisconsin 1.0 (47.0)
Penn State won vs Wisconsin this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Wisconsin in 2024 (28-13)

  
WIS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WIS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD