Colorado at USC - 2016 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo   Colorado Buffaloes at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, October 8th 2016 (4:00 PM EDT)
USC -4 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 21 - Colorado: 17  (Pac-12)

 
Buffaloes (10 - 4) (9 - 3 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC 2nd straight Home Game
USC is playing their 6th straight game
COLO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ USC -17)
Projected Score: COLO: 20 - USC: 36 (56)
USC Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Colorado vs Colorado State-10.056.0W 44 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Colorado vs Idaho State-41.5
Sat 9/17 Colorado at Michigan+20.055.5L 28 - 45OY
Sat 9/24 Colorado at Oregon+11.069.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/1 Colorado vs Oregon State-16.056.0W 47 - 6UY
Sat 10/8 Colorado at USC+4.062.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/15 Colorado vs Arizona State-8.063.0W 40 - 16UY
Sat 10/22 Colorado at Stanford+3.550.0W 10 - 5UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/3 Colorado vs UCLA-10.056.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/12 Colorado at Arizona-16.561.0W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 Colorado vs Washington State-6.060.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 11/26 Colorado vs Utah-11.053.5W 27 - 22UN
Fri 12/2 Colorado vs Washington+6.055.5L 10 - 41UN
Thu 12/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-2.064.0L 8 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO.1444%20.945%2.9415641%2413.14.1846%30.549%42%3.3850.31.61.7
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1320.916.844.2%3.141.6213971562413.849%50%45%41%3%.14
USC Defense142317.944.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1330.535.446.2%3.381.7 - - - - - 50%48%49%42%1%.18
USC Offense1435.84345.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1328:2920.637%56%5.850.31.61.700128.6
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1349%45%41.7156.23.823.082.9477%0%0.81
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1350%49% - - - - .23.1975%0%0.98
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1350%41%2235.8240.86.710.91312.221.531%32%.253%1.7
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1348%42% - - - - - - 14.181.530%33%.181%1.8
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2016 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #53
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #65
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado:    USC: 14.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 6.3   USC: 23.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 14.3 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 2
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36
Colorado 20

Projected Total Points: 56
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Colorado41USC48USC -22Colorado74.5Over
202211/11USC55Colorado17USC -34USC66.0Over
202110/02Colorado14USC37USC -9USC50.5Over
201910/25Colorado31USC35USC -10.5Colorado65.0Over
201810/13USC31Colorado20USC -7USC57.0Under
201711/11Colorado24USC38USC -14NA63.0Under
201610/08USC21Colorado17USC -4Push62.5Under
201511/13Colorado24USC27USC -14.5Colorado58.5Under
201410/18USC56Colorado28USC -20.5USC0
201311/23Colorado29USC47USC -21.5Colorado0
201210/20USC50Colorado6
201111/04Colorado17USC42
200209/14Colorado3USC40
200009/08USC17Colorado14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1444 Overs
Colorado044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 87 - 13 - 04 - 1
Road Teams8 - 61 - 71 - 40 - 3

(#) COLO at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #62 #2
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCOLO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
USC -4.0 (62.5)
USC won vs Colorado this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Colorado in 2023 (48-41)

  
COLO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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COLO's DC ()
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USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
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