Pittsburgh at North Carolina - 2016 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -7 (67.0) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 37 - Pittsburgh: 36 (ACC)

Panthers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 35 (38 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 91° (39% Hum)
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 4th straight game
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ UNC -3)
Projected Score: PITT: 32 - UNC: 39 (71)
UNC Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 318 miles

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Pittsburgh vs Villanova	-27.0
Sat 9/10	Pittsburgh vs Penn State	-4.5	44.0	W 42 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/17	Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State	+6.0	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/24	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	+7.0	67.0	L 36 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Pittsburgh vs Marshall	-14.0	57.0	W 43 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-8.0	53.0	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/15	Pittsburgh at Virginia	-5.0	60.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech	+4.0	53.5	L 36 - 39	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Pittsburgh at Miami	+6.0	58.0	L 28 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/12	Pittsburgh at Clemson	+19.0	61.0	W 43 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Pittsburgh vs Duke	-6.5	61.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-23.5	65.5	W 76 - 61	O	N
Wed 12/28	Pittsburgh vs Northwestern	-3.0	63.0	L 24 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

North Carolina's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Carolina vs Georgia	+3.5	60.0	L 24 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Carolina at Illinois	-7.0	59.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/17	North Carolina vs James Madison	-24.5
Sat 9/24	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	67.0	W 37 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/1	North Carolina at Florida State	+12.0	72.5	W 37 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/8	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	49.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/15	North Carolina at Miami	+7.0	67.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	North Carolina at Virginia	-9.0	68.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-9.5	63.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Thu 11/10	North Carolina at Duke	-10.5	66.5	L 27 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/19	North Carolina vs The Citadel	-24.0
Fri 11/25	North Carolina vs NC State	-10.0	63.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/30	North Carolina vs Stanford	+2.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.29	46%	40.9	46%	2.91	225	45%	222	4.46	.21	43%	35.2	41%	44%	3.86	49.8	1.4	1.5
UNC	.29	46%	32.3	45%	2.89	146	46%	293	4.13	.17	45%	24.9	47%	42%	3	61.3	1.2	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2
UNC	#65 (.2)	42% (80)		47% (34)	3.32 (22)	175	37% (114)	216	4.08 (52)	#70 (.17)	41% (53)		44% (82)	37% (26)	4.01 (90)	59.8	1.2	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	40.9	38	45.9%	4.46	1.4	20	447	225	222	5.4	60%	38%	46%	45%	16%	.29
UNC Defense	13	24.9	25.5	45.5%	3	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	62%	37%	47%	42%	14%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	35.2	41.2	43.4%	3.86	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	40%	58%	41%	44%	16%	.21
UNC Offense	13	32.3	34.3	46.3%	4.13	1.2	22	439	146	293	4.7	43%	55%	45%	46%	17%	.29

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	30:53	20.4	45%	54%	5.7	49.8	1.4	1.5	6.9	3.3	7	31.8
North Carolina	13	24:23	21.7	45%	40%	7.6	61.3	1.2	0.8	5.2	1.9	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	60%	46%	41.7	225.1	5.4	36	.2	2.91	73%	10%	1.04
UNC Defense	13	62%	47%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.09	68%	10%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	40%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.69	72%	11%	1.07
UNC Offense	13	43%	45%	30.8	145.8	4.7	21	.12	2.89	64%	11%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	38%	45%	14.5	24.9	221.7	8.9	15.3	28	9	.45	1.9	30%	33%	.33	6%	2.1
UNC Defense	13	37%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	.21	1.5	29%	35%	.22	5%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	58%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.7	34%	37%	.4	5%	2.1
UNC Offense	13	55%	46%	24.1	35.2	293.2	8.3	12.2	30	6	.45	1.7	33%	41%	.57	6%	2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2016 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #23
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.0 #4
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: North Carolina: 10.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 13.1 North Carolina: 15.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 10.45 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #21
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 40.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 35.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.2

Pittsburgh's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 39
Pittsburgh 32

Total Points: 71

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 42
Pittsburgh 32

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 36
Pittsburgh 32

Total Points: 68

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 24.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

North Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	North Carolina	24	Pittsburgh	34	Pittsburgh -2.5	Pittsburgh	63.0	Under
2023	09/23	Pittsburgh	24	North Carolina	41	North Carolina -7	North Carolina	49.5	Over
2022	10/29	North Carolina	42	Pittsburgh	24	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	65.5	Over
2021	11/11	Pittsburgh	30	North Carolina	23	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	72.0	Under
2019	11/14	Pittsburgh	34	North Carolina	27	Pittsburgh -4	Pittsburgh	49.0	Over
2018	09/22	North Carolina	38	Pittsburgh	35	Pittsburgh -3	North Carolina	48.0	Over
2017	11/09	Pittsburgh	31	North Carolina	34	Pittsburgh -10	North Carolina	50.5	Over
2016	09/24	North Carolina	37	Pittsburgh	36	North Carolina -7	Pittsburgh	67.0	Over
2015	10/29	Pittsburgh	19	North Carolina	26	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	59.0	Under
2014	11/15	North Carolina	40	Pittsburgh	35	North Carolina -1.5	North Carolina	0
2013	11/16	Pittsburgh	27	North Carolina	34	North Carolina -1	North Carolina	53.0	Over
2009	12/26	North Carolina	17	Pittsburgh	19
2000	11/03	Pittsburgh	17	North Carolina	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	9	7	7 Overs
Pittsburgh	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 6	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4

(#) PITT at (#) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#17
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#35	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91°

Rematch from Week 4
North Carolina -7.0 (67.0)
North Carolina won vs Pittsburgh this year (37-36)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat North Carolina last year (34-24)
North Carolina beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (41-24)
North Carolina beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (42-24)

PITT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD