Pittsburgh at Northwestern - 2016 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Northwestern Wildcats

Wednesday, December 28th 2016 (2:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -3 (63.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Northwestern 31 - Pittsburgh: 24 (NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL)

Panthers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 35 (38 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -5 (SP+ PITT -10)
Projected Score: PITT: 27 - NW: 26 (53)
PITT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
PITT Travel: 320 miles

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 22 (20 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
PITT Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Pittsburgh vs Villanova	-27.0
Sat 9/10	Pittsburgh vs Penn State	-4.5	44.0	W 42 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/17	Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State	+6.0	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/24	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	+7.0	67.0	L 36 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Pittsburgh vs Marshall	-14.0	57.0	W 43 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-8.0	53.0	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/15	Pittsburgh at Virginia	-5.0	60.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech	+4.0	53.5	L 36 - 39	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Pittsburgh at Miami	+6.0	58.0	L 28 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/12	Pittsburgh at Clemson	+19.0	61.0	W 43 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Pittsburgh vs Duke	-6.5	61.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-23.5	65.5	W 76 - 61	O	N
Wed 12/28	Pittsburgh vs Northwestern	-3.0	63.0	L 24 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Northwestern's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Northwestern vs Western Michigan	-6.5	53.5	L 21 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/10	Northwestern vs Illinois State	-12.5
Sat 9/17	Northwestern vs Duke	-4.0	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Northwestern vs Nebraska	+6.5	48.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Northwestern at Iowa	+12.0	44.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Northwestern at Michigan State	+6.5	41.0	W 54 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Northwestern vs Indiana	-2.5	54.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Northwestern at Ohio State	+24.0	53.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+6.5	41.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Northwestern at Purdue	-10.5	58.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Northwestern at Minnesota	+2.0	46.0	L 12 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/26	Northwestern vs Illinois	-15.0	48.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Wed 12/28	Northwestern vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.29	46%	40.9	46%	2.91	225	45%	222	4.46	.21	43%	35.2	41%	44%	3.86	49.8	1.4	1.5
NW	.12	40%	26	37%	2.66	153	43%	245	3.28	.09	42%	22.2	42%	41%	2.78	29.9	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	40.9	38	45.9%	4.46	1.4	20	447	225	222	5.4	60%	38%	46%	45%	16%	.29
NW Defense	13	22.2	17.7	42.4%	2.78	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	42%	41%	16%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	35.2	41.2	43.4%	3.86	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	40%	58%	41%	44%	16%	.21
NW Offense	13	26	19.7	40.3%	3.28	1.2	22	398	153	245	4	46%	53%	37%	43%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	30:53	20.4	45%	54%	5.7	49.8	1.4	1.5	6.9	3.3	7	31.8
Northwestern	13	28:38	21.6	39%	53%	3.6	29.9	1.2	1.9	5.9	2.1	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	60%	46%	41.7	225.1	5.4	36	.2	2.91	73%	10%	1.04
NW Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.68	77%	9%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	40%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.69	72%	11%	1.07
NW Offense	13	46%	37%	38.5	153.2	4	22	.05	2.66	76%	11%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	38%	45%	14.5	24.9	221.7	8.9	15.3	28	9	.45	1.9	30%	33%	.33	6%	2.1
NW Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.4	33%	28%	.1	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	58%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.7	34%	37%	.4	5%	2.1
NW Offense	13	53%	43%	21.7	37.2	245.1	6.6	11.3	22	9	.19	1.5	34%	30%	.25	8%	2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2016 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #23
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.0 #4
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: Northwestern: 1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 13.1 Northwestern: 2.9

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.45 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 40.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 35.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.2

Pittsburgh's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 27
Northwestern 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 24
Northwestern 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 31
Pittsburgh 30

Total Points: 61

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Northwestern's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	12/28	Northwestern	31	Pittsburgh	24	Pittsburgh -3	Northwestern	63.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	1	1	0 Overs
Pittsburgh	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Pittsburgh Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Pinstripe Bowl	Pittsburgh vs Northwestern	-3.0	63.0	L 24 - 31
2015	Military Bowl	Pittsburgh vs Navy	+5.0		L 28 - 44
2014	Forces Bowl	Pittsburgh vs Houston	-5.5	54.0	L 34 - 35
2013	Caesars Bowl	Pittsburgh vs Bowling Green	+7.0	49.5	W 30 - 27
2012	Compass Bowl	Pittsburgh vs Ole Miss			L 17 - 38
2011	Compass Bowl	Pittsburgh vs SMU			L 6 - 28
2010	Compass Bowl	Pittsburgh vs Kentucky			W 27 - 10

Northwestern Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Pinstripe Bowl	Northwestern vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 24
2015	Outback Bowl	Northwestern vs Tennessee	+9.0		L 6 - 45
2012	Gator Bowl	Northwestern vs Mississippi State			W 34 - 20
2011	Care Bowl	Northwestern vs Texas A&M			L 22 - 33
2010	Ticketcity Bowl	Northwestern vs Texas Tech			L 38 - 45

(#) PITT at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#61
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#35	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 38° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Pittsburgh 3.0 (63.0)
Northwestern won vs Pittsburgh this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

PITT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD