Pittsburgh at Virginia - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia Cavaliers

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Saturday, October 15th 2016 (12:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Pittsburgh 45 - Virginia: 31  (ACC)

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
PITT is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ PITT -17)

Projected Score: PITT: 26 - UVA: 29 (55)
PITT Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
PITT Travel: 185 miles
Cavaliers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Pittsburgh vs Villanova-27.0
Sat 9/10 Pittsburgh vs Penn State-4.544.0W 42 - 39ON
Sat 9/17 Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State+6.057.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 9/24 Pittsburgh at North Carolina+7.067.0L 36 - 37OY
Sat 10/1 Pittsburgh vs Marshall-14.057.0W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech-8.053.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/15 Pittsburgh at Virginia-5.060.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech+4.053.5L 36 - 39OY
Sat 11/5 Pittsburgh at Miami+6.058.0L 28 - 51ON
Sat 11/12 Pittsburgh at Clemson+19.061.0W 43 - 42OY
Sat 11/19 Pittsburgh vs Duke-6.561.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/26 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-23.565.5W 76 - 61ON
Wed 12/28 Pittsburgh vs Northwestern-3.063.0L 24 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Virginia's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs Richmond-14.0
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Oregon+20.571.5L 26 - 44UY
Sat 9/17 Virginia at UConn+6.547.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 9/24 Virginia vs Central Michigan+2.051.5W 49 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Virginia at Duke+5.060.5W 34 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Virginia vs Pittsburgh+5.060.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 10/22 Virginia vs North Carolina+9.068.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 10/29 Virginia vs Louisville+27.069.5L 25 - 32UY
Sat 11/5 Virginia at Wake Forest+2.545.0L 20 - 27ON
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Miami+11.055.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/19 Virginia at Georgia Tech+10.554.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/26 Virginia at Virginia Tech+18.553.5L 10 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1746%33.747%2.9318743%1913.59.1741%24.841%36%3.940.81.21.2
UVA.1542%30.840%2.7114542%2383.48.1946%19.647%42%3.7163.821.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1333.73345.9%3.591.2203781871914.856%42%47%43%3%.17
UVA Defense1219.617.745.9%3.711.3 - - - - - 48%49%47%42%2%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1324.824.640.5%3.91.2 - - - - - 49%48%41%36%1%.17
UVA Offense1230.836.442.1%3.482203831452384.148%50%40%42%3%.15

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1331:4219.744%85%540.81.21.200430.8
Virginia1232:4120.342%53%7.663.821.300126.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1356%47%39.2186.94.819.122.9381%0%0.89
UVA Defense1248%47% - - - - .092.7176%0%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1349%41% - - - - .162.6172%0%1.13
UVA Offense1248%40%35.3144.84.113.052.7165%0%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1342%43%16.326.4190.67.211.7219.251.629%34%.323%1.8
UVA Defense1249%42% - - - - - - 4.321.730%40%.422%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1348%36% - - - - - - 10.211.835%37%.431%1.8
UVA Offense1250%42%2134.4238.36.911.42118.271.734%32%.313%2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2016 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #23
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.0  #4
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Virginia: 0.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 13.1   Virginia: -3.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 0.6 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2016 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8  #83
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #88
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 29
Pittsburgh 26


Projected Total Points: 55
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Pittsburgh19Virginia24Pittsburgh -7.5Virginia56.5Under
202211/12Virginia7Pittsburgh37Pittsburgh -5.5Pittsburgh41.5Over
202111/20Pittsburgh48Virginia38Pittsburgh -12.5Virginia69.0Over
201908/31Pittsburgh14Virginia30Virginia -2.5Virginia46.5Under
201811/02Virginia13Pittsburgh23Virginia -7Pittsburgh45.5Under
201710/28Pittsburgh31Virginia14Pittsburgh -1Pittsburgh49.0Under
201610/15Virginia31Pittsburgh45Pittsburgh -5Pittsburgh60.5Over
201510/10Pittsburgh26Virginia19Pittsburgh -10Virginia45.0Push
201410/04Virginia24Pittsburgh19Virginia -4Virginia0
201309/28Pittsburgh14Virginia3Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh0
200709/29Virginia44Pittsburgh14
200609/02Pittsburgh38Virginia13
200312/27Virginia23Pittsburgh16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia553 Overs
Pittsburgh854 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 53 - 73 - 40 - 3
Road Teams5 - 87 - 33 - 04 - 3

(#) PITT at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #83
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #35 #42
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #88 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Pittsburgh 5.0 (60.5)
Pittsburgh won at Virginia this year (45-31)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Pittsburgh in 2024 (24-19)

  
PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD