Boston College at NC State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, October 29th 2016 (12:30 PM EDT)
NC State -15.5 (42.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Boston College 21 - NC State: 14 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (14 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ NCST -11)
Projected Score: BC: 17 - NCST: 21 (38)
NCST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BC Travel: 606 miles

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (27 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	42.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Boston College at Massachusetts	-16.5	37.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+7.0	39.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/24	Boston College vs Wagner	-35.0
Sat 10/1	Boston College vs Buffalo	-20.0	40.0	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/7	Boston College vs Clemson	+17.0	43.0	L 10 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boston College vs Syracuse	-4.5	49.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boston College at NC State	+15.5	42.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Boston College vs Louisville	+24.5	52.0	L 7 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/11	Boston College at Florida State	+23.0	47.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Boston College vs UConn	-7.0	36.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Boston College at Wake Forest	+2.0	34.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Mon 12/26	Boston College vs Maryland	-1.0	44.0	W 36 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

NC State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	NC State vs William & Mary	-30.5
Sat 9/10	NC State at East Carolina	-3.5	59.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Old Dominion	-20.5	58.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	NC State vs Wake Forest	-9.0	48.0	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Notre Dame	+2.5	56.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	60.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/22	NC State at Louisville	+20.0	65.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	NC State vs Boston College	-15.5	42.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Florida State	+6.5	58.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State at Syracuse	-7.0	62.0	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	NC State vs Miami	+2.5	52.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+10.0	63.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/26	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.03	35%	20.4	34%	2.46	149	34%	144	2.65	.04	34%	25	30%	37%	3	57.4	1.5	2.1
NCST	.17	43%	27	42%	2.78	156	43%	260	2.9	.08	38%	22.8	36%	38%	2.86	62.3	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	20.4	14.2	35.1%	2.65	1.5	15	293	149	144	3.4	60%	38%	34%	34%	18%	.03
NCST Defense	13	22.8	18.1	38.3%	2.86	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	38%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	25	25.8	34.1%	3	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	30%	37%	24%	.04
NCST Offense	13	27	26.7	43.3%	2.9	1.5	22	416	156	260	4	51%	48%	42%	43%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	33:28	14.5	31%	50%	6.9	57.4	1.5	2.1	8.2	3.6	2	33.1
NC State	13	31:50	21.8	44%	44%	6	62.3	1.5	1.7	6.8	2.8	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	60%	34%	43.5	149.1	3.4	16	-	2.46	70%	13%	0.94
NCST Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.38	67%	12%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	46%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.18	47%	16%	1.14
NCST Offense	13	51%	42%	38.8	156.2	4	23	.04	2.78	61%	8%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	38%	34%	11.5	22.8	143.8	6.3	12.5	14	8	.1	1.7	36%	26%	.22	5%	2
NCST Defense	13	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.15	1.5	38%	33%	.3	7%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.7	38%	23%	.13	8%	2.1
NCST Offense	13	48%	43%	20.2	33.7	260.2	7.7	12.9	20	12	.32	1.7	33%	38%	.37	6%	1.8

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6 #73
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #116
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -1.6 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Boston College's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 21
Boston College 17

Total Points: 38

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 16
Boston College 15

Total Points: 31

Based on Entire Season
NC State 26
Boston College 19

Total Points: 45

NC State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	NC State	20	Boston College	21	NC State -18	Boston College	41.0	Push
2021	10/16	Boston College	7	NC State	33	NC State -3	NC State	51.0	Under
2019	10/19	Boston College	45	NC State	24	NC State -4.5	Boston College	54.0	Over
2018	10/06	NC State	28	Boston College	23	NC State -6.5	Boston College	60.5	Under
2017	11/11	Boston College	14	NC State	17	NC State -3	NA	54.5	Under
2016	10/29	NC State	14	Boston College	21	NC State -15.5	Boston College	42.0	Under
2015	11/07	Boston College	8	NC State	24	NC State -1	NC State	37.0	Under
2014	10/11	NC State	14	Boston College	30	NC State -3.5	Boston College	0
2013	11/16	Boston College	38	NC State	21	Boston College -7.5	Boston College	0
2012	11/24	NC State	27	Boston College	10
2011	11/12	Boston College	14	NC State	10
2010	10/09	NC State	44	Boston College	17
2009	10/17	Boston College	52	NC State	20
2008	10/04	NC State	31	Boston College	38
2007	09/08	Boston College	37	NC State	17
2006	09/23	NC State	17	Boston College	15
2005	11/12	Boston College	30	NC State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	7	2	1 Overs
Boston College	10	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 7	2 - 6	1 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 10	6 - 2	2 - 1	4 - 1

(#) BC at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#60	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 9
NC State -15.5 (42.0)
Boston College won at NC State this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat NC State in 2022 (21-20)

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD