Wake Forest at NC State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, October 1st 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
NC State -9 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 33 - Wake Forest: 16 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 22 (18 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
NCST coming off BYE
WAKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ NCST -10)
Projected Score: WAKE: 23 - NCST: 30 (53)
NCST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
WAKE Travel: 89 miles

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (27 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Wake Forest vs Tulane	-16.0	43.0	W 7 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/10	Wake Forest at Duke	+8.5	45.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Wake Forest vs Delaware	-24.0
Sat 9/24	Wake Forest at Indiana	+5.5	47.5	W 33 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wake Forest at NC State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wake Forest vs Syracuse	-3.0	53.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Wake Forest at Florida State	+25.5	51.0	L 6 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Wake Forest vs Army	-8.0	42.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wake Forest vs Virginia	-2.5	45.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Wake Forest at Louisville	+33.0	56.5	L 12 - 44	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+23.5	47.5	L 13 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wake Forest vs Boston College	-2.0	34.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Tue 12/27	Wake Forest vs Temple	+12.5	42.0	W 34 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

NC State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	NC State vs William & Mary	-30.5
Sat 9/10	NC State at East Carolina	-3.5	59.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Old Dominion	-20.5	58.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	NC State vs Wake Forest	-9.0	48.0	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Notre Dame	+2.5	56.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	60.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/22	NC State at Louisville	+20.0	65.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	NC State vs Boston College	-15.5	42.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Florida State	+6.5	58.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State at Syracuse	-7.0	62.0	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	NC State vs Miami	+2.5	52.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+10.0	63.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/26	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.03	37%	20.4	35%	2.72	146	35%	166	3.07	.09	41%	22.2	41%	41%	2.44	38.5	1.5	2.1
NCST	.17	43%	27	42%	2.78	156	43%	260	2.9	.08	38%	22.8	36%	38%	2.86	62.3	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	13	20.4	18.2	36.9%	3.07	1.5	17	311	146	166	3.6	54%	43%	35%	35%	17%	.03
NCST Defense	13	22.8	18.1	38.3%	2.86	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	38%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	13	22.2	27.2	41.3%	2.44	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	41%	19%	.09
NCST Offense	13	27	26.7	43.3%	2.9	1.5	22	416	156	260	4	51%	48%	42%	43%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	13	30:49	17.3	35%	41%	4.7	38.5	1.5	2.1	7.2	3.2	2	32
NC State	13	31:50	21.8	44%	44%	6	62.3	1.5	1.7	6.8	2.8	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	13	54%	35%	41	145.8	3.6	17	.05	2.72	65%	10%	1.08
NCST Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.38	67%	12%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.91	69%	13%	0.89
NCST Offense	13	51%	42%	38.8	156.2	4	23	.04	2.78	61%	8%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	13	43%	35%	14.6	27.2	165.7	6.1	11.3	9	13	.03	1.4	36%	28%	.12	7%	1.6
NCST Defense	13	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.15	1.5	38%	33%	.3	7%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	13	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	34%	29%	.19	6%	1.7
NCST Offense	13	48%	43%	20.2	33.7	260.2	7.7	12.9	20	12	.32	1.7	33%	38%	.37	6%	1.8

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #67
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #113
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -0.6 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Wake Forest's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 30
Wake Forest 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 33
Wake Forest 25

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
NC State 26
Wake Forest 20

Total Points: 46

NC State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/11	Wake Forest	24	NC State	34	NC State -7.5	NC State	52.5	Over
2024	10/05	NC State	30	Wake Forest	34	NC State -4	Wake Forest	52.5	Over
2023	11/11	Wake Forest	6	NC State	26	Wake Forest -0.5	NC State	42.5	Under
2022	11/05	NC State	30	Wake Forest	21	Wake Forest -3	NC State	54.0	Under
2021	11/13	Wake Forest	45	NC State	42	Wake Forest -1	Wake Forest	65.0	Over
2020	09/19	NC State	45	Wake Forest	42	Wake Forest -2	NC State	54.0	Over
2019	11/02	Wake Forest	44	NC State	10	Wake Forest -7.5	Wake Forest	60.0	Under
2018	11/08	NC State	23	Wake Forest	27	NC State -17	Wake Forest	69.0	Under
2017	11/18	Wake Forest	30	NC State	24	Wake Forest -3	Wake Forest	62.0	Under
2016	10/01	NC State	33	Wake Forest	16	NC State -9	NC State	48.0	Over
2015	10/24	Wake Forest	17	NC State	35	NC State -8.5	NC State	43.5	Over
2014	11/15	NC State	42	Wake Forest	13	NC State -12	NC State	0
2013	10/05	Wake Forest	28	NC State	13	NC State -8	Wake Forest	0
2012	11/10	NC State	37	Wake Forest	6
2011	09/10	Wake Forest	34	NC State	27
2010	11/13	NC State	38	Wake Forest	3
2009	10/03	Wake Forest	30	NC State	24
2008	11/15	NC State	21	Wake Forest	17
2007	11/17	Wake Forest	38	NC State	18
2006	10/14	NC State	23	Wake Forest	25
2005	10/22	Wake Forest	27	NC State	19
2004	10/02	NC State	27	Wake Forest	21
2003	09/06	Wake Forest	38	NC State	24
2002	09/14	NC State	32	Wake Forest	13
2001	10/06	Wake Forest	14	NC State	17
2000	11/24	NC State	32	Wake Forest	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	14	7	6 Overs
Wake Forest	12	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	19 - 7	8 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 19	5 - 8	2 - 3	3 - 5

(#) WAKE at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#67	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 5
NC State -9.0 (48.0)
NC State won vs Wake Forest this year (33-16)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat NC State last year (34-30)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (26-6)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2022 (30-21)

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD