Notre Dame at NC State - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#21)Notre Dame Fighting Irish at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -2.5 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 10 - Notre Dame: 3

Fighting Irish (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (26 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Predicted
Wind: 21.9 MPH
ND 2nd straight Road Game
NCST 3rd straight Home Game
ND is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ ND -6.5)
Projected Score: ND: 22 - NCST: 28 (50)
ND Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ND Travel: 574 miles

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (27 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ND Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Notre Dame's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/4	Notre Dame at Texas	-2.5	54.5	L 47 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/10	Notre Dame vs Nevada	-26.0	62.0	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Notre Dame vs Michigan State	-7.0	49.0	L 28 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/24	Notre Dame vs Duke	-20.0	60.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/1	Notre Dame vs Syracuse	-12.0	74.5	W 50 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Notre Dame at NC State	-2.5	56.5	L 3 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/15	Notre Dame vs Stanford	-3.5	53.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Notre Dame vs Miami	-1.0	58.5	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Notre Dame vs Navy	+4.5	63.0	L 27 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Notre Dame vs Army	-11.5	55.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Notre Dame vs Virginia Tech	-3.0	53.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/26	Notre Dame at USC	+17.0	59.5	L 27 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

NC State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	NC State vs William & Mary	-30.5
Sat 9/10	NC State at East Carolina	-3.5	59.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Old Dominion	-20.5	58.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	NC State vs Wake Forest	-9.0	48.0	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Notre Dame	+2.5	56.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	60.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/22	NC State at Louisville	+20.0	65.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	NC State vs Boston College	-15.5	42.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Florida State	+6.5	58.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State at Syracuse	-7.0	62.0	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	NC State vs Miami	+2.5	52.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+10.0	63.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/26	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	.2	46%	30.9	46%	2.98	163	43%	254	4.1	.17	44%	27.8	42%	47%	2.86	53.2	1.5	1.2
NCST	.17	43%	27	42%	2.78	156	43%	260	2.9	.08	38%	22.8	36%	38%	2.86	62.3	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)		47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)		43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Offense	12	30.9	25.7	45.5%	4.1	1.5	21	418	163	254	4.5	48%	50%	46%	43%	16%	.2
NCST Defense	13	22.8	18.1	38.3%	2.86	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	38%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Defense	12	27.8	35	44.3%	2.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	61%	38%	42%	47%	15%	.17
NCST Offense	13	27	26.7	43.3%	2.9	1.5	22	416	156	260	4	51%	48%	42%	43%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Notre Dame	12	28:55	21.2	40%	65%	6.5	53.2	1.5	1.2	5.3	1.2	2	29.7
NC State	13	31:50	21.8	44%	44%	6	62.3	1.5	1.7	6.8	2.8	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Offense	12	48%	46%	36.5	163.3	4.5	18	.17	2.98	76%	10%	0.95
NCST Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.38	67%	12%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Defense	12	61%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.65	68%	10%	0.97
NCST Offense	13	51%	42%	38.8	156.2	4	23	.04	2.78	61%	8%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Offense	12	50%	43%	18.7	32.3	254.3	7.9	13.6	27	9	.28	1.7	32%	38%	.4	6%	1.8
NCST Defense	13	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.15	1.5	38%	33%	.3	7%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Defense	12	38%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.33	1.5	26%	33%	.35	5%	2
NCST Offense	13	48%	43%	20.2	33.7	260.2	7.7	12.9	20	12	.32	1.7	33%	38%	.37	6%	1.8

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Notre Dame's 2016 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.7 #18
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #34

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 15.7 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.7
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Notre Dame's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 28
Notre Dame 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 27
Notre Dame 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
NC State 29
Notre Dame 24

Total Points: 53

NC State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Notre Dame	36	NC State	7	Notre Dame -23.5	Notre Dame	59.5	Under
2023	09/09	NC State	24	Notre Dame	45	Notre Dame -7	Notre Dame	49.5	Over
2017	10/28	Notre Dame	35	NC State	14	Notre Dame -7	Notre Dame	61.0	Under
2016	10/08	NC State	10	Notre Dame	3	Notre Dame -2.5	NC State	56.5	Under
2002	01/01	Notre Dame	6	NC State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	2	1	1 Overs
Notre Dame	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2

(#) ND at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ND	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#10	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Notre Dame Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Notre Dame on Offense


CategoryCat	ND Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Notre Dame Run Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Notre Dame Pass Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#34
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ND 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 69° - Wind: 22 mph
Rain: 0.48

Rematch from Week 6
Notre Dame 2.5 (56.5)
NC State won vs Notre Dame this year (10-3)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat NC State in 2023 (45-24)

ND's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD