NC State at Syracuse - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (12:30 PM EST)
NC State -7 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 35 - Syracuse: 20 (ACC)

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (25 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
NCST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ NCST -12)
Projected Score: NCST: 25 - SYR: 28 (53)
NCST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 519 miles

Orange (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 39 (24 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NCST Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	NC State vs William & Mary	-30.5
Sat 9/10	NC State at East Carolina	-3.5	59.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Old Dominion	-20.5	58.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	NC State vs Wake Forest	-9.0	48.0	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Notre Dame	+2.5	56.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	60.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/22	NC State at Louisville	+20.0	65.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	NC State vs Boston College	-15.5	42.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Florida State	+6.5	58.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State at Syracuse	-7.0	62.0	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	NC State vs Miami	+2.5	52.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+10.0	63.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/26	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Syracuse's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-25.5
Fri 9/9	Syracuse vs Louisville	+13.0	69.0	L 28 - 62	O	N
Sat 9/17	Syracuse vs South Florida	+13.5	74.5	L 20 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/24	Syracuse at UConn	+6.0	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Syracuse vs Notre Dame	+12.0	74.5	L 33 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/8	Syracuse at Wake Forest	+3.0	53.5	L 9 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/15	Syracuse vs Virginia Tech	+17.0	65.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Syracuse at Boston College	+4.5	49.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Syracuse at Clemson	+28.0	69.0	L 0 - 54	U	N
Sat 11/12	Syracuse vs NC State	+7.0	62.0	L 20 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/19	Syracuse vs Florida State	+20.0	65.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/26	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+23.5	65.5	L 61 - 76	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.17	43%	27	42%	2.78	156	43%	260	2.9	.08	38%	22.8	36%	38%	2.86	62.3	1.5	1.7
SYR	.14	40%	25.7	34%	2.57	120	45%	321	2.3	.26	46%	38.6	46%	44%	3.74	60.8	1.7	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)		45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)		42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	13	27	24.6	43.3%	2.9	1.5	22	416	156	260	4	51%	48%	42%	43%	15%	.17
SYR Defense	12	38.6	35.2	45.7%	3.74	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	46%	44%	13%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	13	22.8	30.4	38.3%	2.86	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	38%	19%	.08
SYR Offense	12	25.7	24.3	40.5%	2.3	1.7	22	441	120	321	3.2	42%	57%	34%	45%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	13	31:50	21.8	44%	44%	6	62.3	1.5	1.7	6.8	2.8	4	31.3
Syracuse	12	28:41	22.3	39%	63%	8	60.8	1.7	1.6	4.9	1.4	1	32.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	13	51%	42%	38.8	156.2	4	23	.04	2.78	61%	8%	0.88
SYR Defense	12	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.11	72%	9%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.38	67%	12%	1.04
SYR Offense	12	42%	34%	37.4	119.6	3.2	15	-.05	2.57	71%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	13	48%	43%	20.2	33.7	260.2	7.7	12.9	20	12	.32	1.7	33%	38%	.37	6%	1.8
SYR Defense	12	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.34	1.8	30%	39%	.49	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	13	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.15	1.5	38%	33%	.3	7%	1.7
SYR Offense	12	57%	45%	27.7	43.5	321.3	7.4	11.6	24	13	.3	1.5	34%	31%	.36	5%	2.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: Syracuse: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4 Syracuse: -2.7

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Syracuse's Offense Rating: NR
Syracuse's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Syracuse's 2016 Expected Record: -
Syracuse's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #79
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #66
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #84

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 28
NC State 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Syracuse 29
NC State 19

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
NC State 31
Syracuse 26

Total Points: 57

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.2

Syracuse's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	NC State	17	Syracuse	24	Syracuse -1	Syracuse	51.5	Under
2022	10/15	Syracuse	24	NC State	9	Syracuse -3	Syracuse	42.5	Under
2021	11/20	NC State	41	Syracuse	17	NC State -11	NC State	49.5	Over
2020	11/28	Syracuse	29	NC State	36	NC State -17.5	Syracuse	50.5	Over
2019	10/10	NC State	16	Syracuse	10	NC State -4.5	NC State	56.0	Under
2018	10/27	Syracuse	51	NC State	41	NC State -2	Syracuse	65.0	Over
2017	09/30	NC State	33	Syracuse	25	NC State -14	Syracuse	62.0	Under
2016	11/12	Syracuse	20	NC State	35	NC State -7	NC State	62.0	Under
2015	11/21	NC State	42	Syracuse	29	NC State -17	Syracuse	55.0	Over
2014	11/01	Syracuse	17	NC State	24	Syracuse -5	NC State	0
2013	10/12	NC State	10	Syracuse	24	NC State -4.5	Syracuse	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	4	7	4 Overs
NC State	7	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 6	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#) NCST at (#) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	SYR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#79
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#44	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

NC State Injury Report

Syracuse Injury Report

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#66	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 39° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 11
NC State 7.0 (62.0)
NC State won at Syracuse this year (35-20)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat NC State last year (24-17)
Syracuse beat NC State in 2022 (24-9)

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SYR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD