Florida State at NC State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -6.5 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 24 - NC State: 20 (ACC)

Seminoles (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (33 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 2nd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ FSU -14.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 24 - NCST: 22 (46)
FSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
FSU Travel: 491 miles

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (27 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Florida State vs Ole Miss	-5.0	57.5	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida State vs Charleston Southern	-59.5
Sat 9/17	Florida State at Louisville	-4.5	65.0	L 20 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida State at South Florida	-5.5	64.0	W 55 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida State vs North Carolina	-12.0	72.5	L 35 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/8	Florida State at Miami	+1.5	61.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-25.5	51.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida State vs Clemson	+3.0	58.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida State at NC State	-6.5	58.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/11	Florida State vs Boston College	-23.0	47.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida State at Syracuse	-20.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida State vs Florida	-5.0	47.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Florida State vs Michigan	+6.5	51.0	W 33 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

NC State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	NC State vs William & Mary	-30.5
Sat 9/10	NC State at East Carolina	-3.5	59.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Old Dominion	-20.5	58.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	NC State vs Wake Forest	-9.0	48.0	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Notre Dame	+2.5	56.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	60.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/22	NC State at Louisville	+20.0	65.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	NC State vs Boston College	-15.5	42.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Florida State	+6.5	58.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State at Syracuse	-7.0	62.0	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	NC State vs Miami	+2.5	52.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+10.0	63.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/26	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.28	49%	35.1	50%	2.92	202	45%	264	4.14	.11	38%	25	37%	37%	3.2	72.9	1.5	1.8
NCST	.17	43%	27	42%	2.78	156	43%	260	2.9	.08	38%	22.8	36%	38%	2.86	62.3	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	35.1	32.8	48.7%	4.14	1.5	25	466	202	264	5.1	50%	48%	50%	45%	18%	.28
NCST Defense	13	22.8	18.1	38.3%	2.86	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	36%	38%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	25	30.2	38.3%	3.2	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	37%	37%	19%	.11
NCST Offense	13	27	26.7	43.3%	2.9	1.5	22	416	156	260	4	51%	48%	42%	43%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	32:55	24.7	44%	60%	7.7	72.9	1.5	1.8	7.1	3.8	1	30.2
NC State	13	31:50	21.8	44%	44%	6	62.3	1.5	1.7	6.8	2.8	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	50%	50%	39.8	202.3	5.1	33	.23	2.92	79%	11%	1.06
NCST Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.38	67%	12%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.74	76%	12%	1.08
NCST Offense	13	51%	42%	38.8	156.2	4	23	.04	2.78	61%	8%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	45%	18.8	32.4	264.1	8.2	14.1	23	8	.35	1.6	31%	43%	.41	7%	1.7
NCST Defense	13	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.15	1.5	38%	33%	.3	7%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.17	1.6	36%	30%	.28	6%	2
NCST Offense	13	48%	43%	20.2	33.7	260.2	7.7	12.9	20	12	.32	1.7	33%	38%	.37	6%	1.8

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #5
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #17

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 24.0 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 24
NC State 22

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 21
NC State 17

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 27
NC State 27

Total Points: 54

NC State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/21	NC State	21	Florida State	11	Florida State -7	NC State	58.5	Under
2022	10/08	NC State	19	Florida State	17	NC State -3.5	Florida State	50.5	Under
2021	11/06	Florida State	14	NC State	28	NC State -3	NC State	55.0	Under
2020	11/14	NC State	38	Florida State	22	NC State -12.0	NC State	61.0	Under
2019	09/28	Florida State	31	NC State	13	Florida State -7	Florida State	62.0	Under
2018	11/03	NC State	47	Florida State	28	NC State -9.5	NC State	52.0	Over
2017	09/23	Florida State	21	NC State	27	Florida State -11.5	NC State	50.0	Under
2016	11/05	NC State	20	Florida State	24	Florida State -6.5	NC State	58.0	Under
2015	11/14	Florida State	34	NC State	17	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	55.0	Under
2014	09/27	NC State	41	Florida State	56	Florida State -23	NC State	0
2013	10/26	Florida State	49	NC State	17	Florida State -27.5	Florida State	0
2012	10/06	NC State	17	Florida State	16
2011	10/29	Florida State	34	NC State	0
2010	10/28	NC State	28	Florida State	24
2009	10/31	Florida State	45	NC State	42
2008	10/16	NC State	17	Florida State	26
2007	10/06	Florida State	27	NC State	10
2006	10/05	NC State	24	Florida State	20
2005	11/05	Florida State	15	NC State	20
2004	11/11	NC State	10	Florida State	17
2003	11/15	Florida State	50	NC State	44
2001	11/10	Florida State	28	NC State	34
2000	10/27	NC State	14	Florida State	58

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	11	7	1 Overs
Florida State	12	4	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	8 - 3	5 - 2	3 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 14	3 - 8	1 - 3	2 - 5

(#) FSU at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#4	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54°

Rematch from Week 10
Florida State 6.5 (58.0)
Florida State won at NC State this year (24-20)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Florida State in 2022 (19-17)

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD