Boston College at Florida State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Florida State Seminoles

Friday, November 11th 2016 (7:30 PM EST)
Florida State -23 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 45 - Boston College: 7 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (14 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ FSU -26)
Projected Score: BC: 20 - FSU: 28 (48)
FSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
BC Travel: 1097 miles

Seminoles (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	42.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Boston College at Massachusetts	-16.5	37.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+7.0	39.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/24	Boston College vs Wagner	-35.0
Sat 10/1	Boston College vs Buffalo	-20.0	40.0	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/7	Boston College vs Clemson	+17.0	43.0	L 10 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boston College vs Syracuse	-4.5	49.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boston College at NC State	+15.5	42.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Boston College vs Louisville	+24.5	52.0	L 7 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/11	Boston College at Florida State	+23.0	47.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Boston College vs UConn	-7.0	36.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Boston College at Wake Forest	+2.0	34.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Mon 12/26	Boston College vs Maryland	-1.0	44.0	W 36 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Florida State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Florida State vs Ole Miss	-5.0	57.5	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida State vs Charleston Southern	-59.5
Sat 9/17	Florida State at Louisville	-4.5	65.0	L 20 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida State at South Florida	-5.5	64.0	W 55 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida State vs North Carolina	-12.0	72.5	L 35 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/8	Florida State at Miami	+1.5	61.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-25.5	51.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida State vs Clemson	+3.0	58.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida State at NC State	-6.5	58.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/11	Florida State vs Boston College	-23.0	47.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida State at Syracuse	-20.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida State vs Florida	-5.0	47.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Florida State vs Michigan	+6.5	51.0	W 33 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.03	35%	20.4	34%	2.46	149	34%	144	2.65	.04	34%	25	30%	37%	3	57.4	1.5	2.1
FSU	.28	49%	35.1	50%	2.92	202	45%	264	4.14	.11	38%	25	37%	37%	3.2	72.9	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	20.4	14.2	35.1%	2.65	1.5	15	293	149	144	3.4	60%	38%	34%	34%	18%	.03
FSU Defense	13	25	18	38.3%	3.2	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	37%	37%	19%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	25	25.8	34.1%	3	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	30%	37%	24%	.04
FSU Offense	13	35.1	35.7	48.7%	4.14	1.5	25	466	202	264	5.1	50%	48%	50%	45%	18%	.28

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	33:28	14.5	31%	50%	6.9	57.4	1.5	2.1	8.2	3.6	2	33.1
Florida State	13	32:55	24.7	44%	60%	7.7	72.9	1.5	1.8	7.1	3.8	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	60%	34%	43.5	149.1	3.4	16	-	2.46	70%	13%	0.94
FSU Defense	13	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.74	76%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	46%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.18	47%	16%	1.14
FSU Offense	13	50%	50%	39.8	202.3	5.1	33	.23	2.92	79%	11%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	38%	34%	11.5	22.8	143.8	6.3	12.5	14	8	.1	1.7	36%	26%	.22	5%	2
FSU Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.17	1.6	36%	30%	.28	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.7	38%	23%	.13	8%	2.1
FSU Offense	13	48%	45%	18.8	32.4	264.1	8.2	14.1	23	8	.35	1.6	31%	43%	.41	7%	1.7

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6 #73
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #116
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: Florida State: 14.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -1.6 Florida State: 24.0

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 14.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #5
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #17

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Boston College's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 28
Boston College 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 25
Boston College 19

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 30
Boston College 20

Total Points: 50

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Florida State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/02	Florida State	13	Boston College	28	Florida State -16.5	Boston College	50.0	Under
2023	09/16	Boston College	29	Florida State	31	Florida State -25.5	Boston College	48.0	Over
2022	09/24	Florida State	44	Boston College	14	Florida State -18.5	Florida State	48.5	Over
2021	11/20	Boston College	23	Florida State	26	Boston College -3	Florida State	55.5	Under
2019	11/09	Boston College	31	Florida State	38	Boston College -1	Florida State	64.5	Over
2018	11/17	Florida State	22	Boston College	21	Boston College -2.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2017	10/27	Boston College	35	Florida State	3	Florida State -6	Boston College	46.5	Under
2016	11/11	Florida State	45	Boston College	7	Florida State -23	Florida State	47.0	Over
2015	09/18	Boston College	0	Florida State	14	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2014	11/22	Florida State	20	Boston College	17	Florida State -20.5	Boston College	0
2013	09/28	Boston College	34	Florida State	48	Florida State -23	Boston College	0
2012	10/13	Florida State	51	Boston College	7
2011	11/03	Boston College	7	Florida State	38
2010	10/16	Florida State	24	Boston College	19
2009	10/03	Boston College	28	Florida State	21
2008	11/15	Florida State	17	Boston College	27
2007	11/03	Boston College	17	Florida State	27
2006	10/21	Florida State	19	Boston College	24
2005	09/17	Boston College	17	Florida State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	14	6	4 Overs
Boston College	5	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 11	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 8	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#) BC at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#7
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#60	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63°

Rematch from Week 11
Florida State -23.0 (47.0)
Florida State won vs Boston College this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Florida State last year (28-13)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2023 (31-29)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2022 (44-14)

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD