Buffalo at Boston College - 2016 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (1:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -20 (40.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boston College 35 - Buffalo: 3

 
Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (9 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
BC 2nd straight Home Game
BC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ BC -17)
Projected Score: BUFF: 18 - BC: 31 (49)
BC Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
BUFF Travel: 389 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (24 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Nevada+9.049.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/24 Buffalo vs Army+16.050.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo at Boston College+20.040.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/8 Buffalo vs Kent State-2.042.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 10/15 Buffalo vs Ball State+9.052.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+20.061.0L 7 - 44UN
Thu 10/27 Buffalo vs Akron+14.563.0W 41 - 20UY
Thu 11/3 Buffalo at Ohio+19.051.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 11/12 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+12.050.5L 24 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Buffalo at Western Michigan+34.055.5L 0 - 38UN
Fri 11/25 Buffalo at Bowling Green+11.060.0L 19 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Boston College's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+3.042.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/10 Boston College at Massachusetts-16.537.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 Boston College at Virginia Tech+7.039.0L 0 - 49ON
Sat 9/24 Boston College vs Wagner-35.0
Sat 10/1 Boston College vs Buffalo-20.040.0W 35 - 3UY
Fri 10/7 Boston College vs Clemson+17.043.0L 10 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Boston College vs Syracuse-4.549.5L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/29 Boston College at NC State+15.542.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/5 Boston College vs Louisville+24.552.0L 7 - 52ON
Fri 11/11 Boston College at Florida State+23.047.0L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/19 Boston College vs UConn-7.036.0W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Boston College at Wake Forest+2.034.5W 17 - 14UY
Mon 12/26 Boston College vs Maryland-1.044.0W 36 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.0739%16.539%2.8715336%2012.43.1646%32.347%41%3.38431.61.1
BC.0335%20.434%2.4614934%1442.65.0434%2530%37%357.41.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1216.58.838.5%2.431.6183541532014.348%51%39%36%16%.07
BC Defense132524.834.1%32.1 - - - - - 46%54%30%37%24%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1232.33645.8%3.381.1 - - - - - 64%34%47%41%13%.16
BC Offense1320.42435.1%2.651.5152931491443.460%38%34%34%18%.03

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1226:5818.336%44%5.3431.61.15.11.8030.7
Boston College1333:2814.531%50%6.957.41.52.18.23.6233.1
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1248%39%35.5153.34.312.042.8773%8%0.96
BC Defense1346%30% - - - - -.082.1847%16%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1264%47% - - - - .153.1169%9%0.95
BC Offense1360%34%43.5149.13.416-2.4670%13%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1251%36%17.733.1200.56.111.41111.11.535%30%.128%1.6
BC Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 12.151.738%23%.138%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1234%41% - - - - - - 5.231.629%29%.164%1.6
BC Offense1338%34%11.522.8143.86.312.5148.11.736%26%.225%2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8  #123
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8  #124
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #94

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Boston College: 1.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -18.8   Boston College: -1.6




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 1.7 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6  #73
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #116
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.8
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Buffalo's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 31
Buffalo 18

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 33
Buffalo 17

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 28
Buffalo 19

Total Points: 47
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Boston College's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201610/01Boston College35Buffalo3Boston College -20Boston College40.0Under
200610/28Boston College41Buffalo0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College210 Overs
Buffalo001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFBC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #60
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #24
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boston College on Offense
CategoryCatBC OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boston College Run Game
CategoryCat
BC OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boston College Pass Game
CategoryCatBC OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 54° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.012
Rematch from Week 5
Boston College -20.0 (40.0)
Boston College won vs Buffalo this year (35-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD