Miami at NC State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#15)Miami Hurricanes at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, November 19th 2016 (12:30 PM EST)
Miami -2.5 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami 27 - NC State: 13  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (31 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
MIAMI 2nd straight Road Game
NCST is playing their 8th straight game
MIAMI is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ MIAMI -9)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 27 - NCST: 23 (50)
MIAMI Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 686 miles
Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (27 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami vs Florida A&M-59.0
Sat 9/10 Miami vs Florida Atlantic-23.063.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Miami at App State-4.050.5W 45 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Miami at Georgia Tech-5.053.5W 35 - 21OY
Sat 10/8 Miami vs Florida State-1.561.5L 19 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Miami vs North Carolina-7.067.0L 13 - 20UN
Thu 10/20 Miami at Virginia Tech+4.552.5L 16 - 37ON
Sat 10/29 Miami at Notre Dame+1.058.5L 27 - 30UN
Sat 11/5 Miami vs Pittsburgh-6.058.0W 51 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 Miami at Virginia-11.055.5W 34 - 14UY
Sat 11/19 Miami at NC State-2.552.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/26 Miami vs Duke-14.055.0W 40 - 21OY
Wed 12/28 Miami vs West Virginia-1.558.0W 31 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
NC State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 NC State vs William & Mary-30.5
Sat 9/10 NC State at East Carolina-3.559.0L 30 - 33ON
Sat 9/17 NC State vs Old Dominion-20.558.0W 49 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 NC State vs Wake Forest-9.048.0W 33 - 16OY
Sat 10/8 NC State vs Notre Dame+2.556.5W 10 - 3UY
Sat 10/15 NC State at Clemson+17.060.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/22 NC State at Louisville+20.065.0L 13 - 54ON
Sat 10/29 NC State vs Boston College-15.542.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/5 NC State vs Florida State+6.558.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 NC State at Syracuse-7.062.0W 35 - 20UY
Sat 11/19 NC State vs Miami+2.552.0L 13 - 27UN
Fri 11/25 NC State at North Carolina+10.063.0W 28 - 21UY
Mon 12/26 NC State vs Vanderbilt-4.047.0W 41 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI.2243%34.338%2.7115244%2743.68.0840%18.539%38%2.6367.40.81.5
NCST.1743%2742%2.7815643%2602.9.0838%22.836%38%2.8662.31.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1334.330.742.9%3.680.8204261522744.546%52%38%44%14%.22
NCST Defense1322.818.138.3%2.861.7 - - - - - 42%56%36%38%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1318.520.839.6%2.631.5 - - - - - 48%50%39%38%20%.08
NCST Offense132726.743.3%2.91.522416156260451%48%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1327:582036%46%7.367.40.81.58.22.7131.8
NC State1331:5021.844%44%662.31.51.76.82.8431.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1346%38%33.5151.84.524.092.7172%9%1.04
NCST Defense1342%36% - - - - .022.3867%12%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1348%39% - - - - .012.4963%14%0.99
NCST Offense1351%42%38.8156.2423.042.7861%8%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1352%44%20.232.8274.28.413.6277.341.633%33%.365%2
NCST Defense1356%38% - - - - - - 10.151.538%33%.37%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 8.161.537%32%.216%1.7
NCST Offense1348%43%20.233.7260.27.712.92012.321.733%38%.376%1.8

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6  #12
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #42
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #10

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 18.6   NC State: 9.4




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Miami's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 27
NC State 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 28
NC State 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Miami 27
NC State 23

Total Points: 50
NC State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Miami41NC State7Miami -16.5Miami54.5Under
202311/04NC State20Miami6Miami -6.5NC State44.0Under
202110/23Miami31NC State30NC State -3.5Miami54.5Over
202011/06NC State41Miami44Miami -10NC State57.5Over
201611/19NC State13Miami27Miami -2.5Miami52.0Under
201209/29Miami44NC State37
200811/29NC State38Miami28
200711/03Miami16NC State19
200410/23NC State31Miami45
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State322 Overs
Miami633 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 44 - 11 - 03 - 1
Road Teams4 - 51 - 41 - 30 - 1

(#) MIAMI at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMINCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #41
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #19 #44
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami on Offense
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami Run Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Miami 2.5 (52.0)
Miami won at NC State this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Miami in 2023 (20-6)

  
MIAMI's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MIAMI's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD