Boston College at Massachusetts - 2016 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, September 10th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -16.5 (37.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boston College 26 - Massachusetts: 7

Eagles (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ BC -13.5)
Projected Score: BC: 31 - UMASS: 23 (54)
BC Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
BC Travel: 18 miles

Minutemen (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	42.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Boston College at Massachusetts	-16.5	37.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+7.0	39.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/24	Boston College vs Wagner	-35.0
Sat 10/1	Boston College vs Buffalo	-20.0	40.0	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/7	Boston College vs Clemson	+17.0	43.0	L 10 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boston College vs Syracuse	-4.5	49.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boston College at NC State	+15.5	42.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Boston College vs Louisville	+24.5	52.0	L 7 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/11	Boston College at Florida State	+23.0	47.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Boston College vs UConn	-7.0	36.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Boston College at Wake Forest	+2.0	34.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Mon 12/26	Boston College vs Maryland	-1.0	44.0	W 36 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Massachusetts at Florida	+37.0	51.5	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Massachusetts vs Boston College	+16.5	37.5	L 7 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Massachusetts vs Florida International	+1.0	48.0	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Massachusetts vs Mississippi State	+25.0	49.5	L 35 - 47	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Massachusetts vs Tulane	+2.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Fri 10/7	Massachusetts at Old Dominion	+7.0	55.0	L 16 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/15	Massachusetts vs Louisiana Tech	+16.0	64.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/22	Massachusetts at South Carolina	+21.0	46.0	L 28 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Massachusetts vs Wagner	-21.0
Sat 11/5	Massachusetts at Troy	+23.0	56.5	L 31 - 52	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Massachusetts at BYU	+30.0	54.0	L 9 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/26	Massachusetts at Hawai'i	+10.5	57.0	L 40 - 46	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	-.04	33%	25.4	34%	2.41	164	27%	111	2.97	-.08	31%	32.8	27%	32%	2.37	56.8	1.7	1.9
UMASS	.09	40%	11.1	44%	2.86	142	36%	258	3.28	.18	46%	38.6	43%	48%	3.87	63.9	1.6	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	12	25.4	25	32.6%	2.97	1.7	15	276	164	111	3.9	64%	35%	34%	27%	2%	-.04
UMASS Defense	12	38.6	34.7	46.2%	3.87	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	48%	2%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	12	32.8	34	31.3%	2.37	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	27%	32%	2%	-.08
UMASS Offense	12	11.1	12.8	39.8%	3.28	1.6	21	400	142	258	4.4	41%	57%	44%	36%	2%	.09

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	12	29:55	14.5	27%	38%	6.5	56.8	1.7	1.9	0	0	2	29.9
Massachusetts	12	26:59	21.3	34%	38%	7.4	63.9	1.6	1.5	0	0	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	12	64%	34%	41.8	164.4	3.9	17	-.04	2.41	65%	0%	1.02
UMASS Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	65%	0%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	12	50%	27%	-	-	-	-	-.19	1.91	58%	0%	0.83
UMASS Offense	12	41%	44%	32.7	142.3	4.4	15	.15	2.86	72%	0%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	12	35%	27%	9.3	20.8	111.2	5.4	12	8	9	-.02	1.7	40%	29%	.18	2%	1.7
UMASS Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.34	1.5	30%	38%	.4	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	12	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.05	1.7	42%	24%	.02	2%	1.7
UMASS Offense	12	57%	36%	23.4	41.3	257.5	6.2	11	18	13	.08	1.5	35%	30%	.18	2%	1.7

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6 #73
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #116
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: Massachusetts: -5.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -1.6 Massachusetts: -15.3

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -5.15 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2016 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #117
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #101
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #108

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 31
Massachusetts 23

Projected Total Points: 54

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Massachusetts	28	Boston College	45	Boston College -39	Massachusetts	57.0	Over
2018	09/01	Boston College	55	Massachusetts	21	Boston College -20.5	Boston College	62.5	Over
2016	09/10	Massachusetts	7	Boston College	26	Boston College -16.5	Boston College	37.5	Under
2014	08/30	Massachusetts	7	Boston College	30	Boston College -12.5	Boston College	0
2011	09/24	Boston College	45	Massachusetts	17
2007	09/29	Boston College	24	Massachusetts	14
2004	10/02	Boston College	29	Massachusetts	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	0	1	2 Overs
Boston College	7	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1

(#) BC at (#) UMASS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	UMASS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#117
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#60	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

Massachusetts Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	UMASS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Boston College 16.5 (37.5)
Boston College won at Massachusetts this year (26-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UMASS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD