Old Dominion at NC State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, September 17th 2016 (6:00 PM EDT)
NC State -20.5 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 49 - Old Dominion: 22

Monarchs (10 - 3) (8 - 3 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (31 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ODU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ NCST -10)
Projected Score: ODU: 28 - NCST: 28 (56)
NCST Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
ODU Travel: 154 miles

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/4	Old Dominion vs Hampton	-28.0
Sat 9/10	Old Dominion at App State	+21.0	54.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/17	Old Dominion at NC State	+20.5	58.0	L 22 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/24	Old Dominion vs UTSA	-1.5	49.5	W 33 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Old Dominion at Charlotte	-7.5	57.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Fri 10/7	Old Dominion vs Massachusetts	-7.0	55.0	W 36 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Old Dominion at Western Kentucky	+13.0	65.0	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/29	Old Dominion at UTEP	-5.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Old Dominion vs Marshall	-7.0	58.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Old Dominion vs Southern Miss	-2.0	63.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Old Dominion at Florida Atlantic	-7.5	61.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Old Dominion vs Florida International	-14.0	60.0	W 42 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/23	Old Dominion vs Eastern Michigan	-4.0	63.0	W 24 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

NC State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	NC State vs William & Mary	-30.5
Sat 9/10	NC State at East Carolina	-3.5	59.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Old Dominion	-20.5	58.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	NC State vs Wake Forest	-9.0	48.0	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Notre Dame	+2.5	56.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	60.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/22	NC State at Louisville	+20.0	65.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	NC State vs Boston College	-15.5	42.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Florida State	+6.5	58.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State at Syracuse	-7.0	62.0	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	NC State vs Miami	+2.5	52.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+10.0	63.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/26	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	.15	38%	32	39%	2.97	152	36%	220	3	.18	45%	18.5	46%	42%	3.91	36.4	1.6	1.5
NCST	.19	43%	30.2	45%	3.1	202	39%	211	4.06	.13	40%	27.2	38%	40%	3.72	52.8	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	12	32	31	38.3%	3	1.6	19	371	152	220	4.5	44%	55%	39%	36%	2%	.15
NCST Defense	13	27.2	21	39.7%	3.72	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	40%	2%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	12	18.5	30	45.3%	3.91	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	46%	42%	1%	.18
NCST Offense	13	30.2	35.3	42.6%	4.06	1	22	413	202	211	4.9	51%	48%	45%	39%	2%	.19

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	12	27:49	19.2	35%	32%	4.1	36.4	1.6	1.5	0	0	0	28.1
NC State	13	33:03	21.5	41%	61%	5.5	52.8	1	1.7	0	0	3	31.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	12	44%	39%	33.4	151.8	4.5	16	.15	2.97	73%	0%	1.09
NCST Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.44	57%	0%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	12	51%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.21	72%	0%	0.95
NCST Offense	13	51%	45%	41.5	202.1	4.9	36	.22	3.1	75%	0%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	12	55%	36%	19.6	36.1	219.5	6.1	11.2	20	9	.16	1.6	37%	29%	.27	2%	2
NCST Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.6	33%	29%	.17	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.6	30%	36%	.26	1%	1.7
NCST Offense	13	48%	39%	18.9	31.8	210.8	6.6	11.1	20	6	.17	1.6	33%	31%	.23	2%	1.9

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Old Dominion's 2016 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #69
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #62
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #82

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -0.7 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Old Dominion's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Old Dominion 28
NC State 28

Projected Total Points: 56

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/17	NC State	49	Old Dominion	22	NC State -20.5	NC State	58.0	Over
2015	09/19	Old Dominion	14	NC State	38	NC State -15	NC State	57.0	Under
2014	09/06	NC State	46	Old Dominion	34	NC State -17	Old Dominion	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	3	2	1 Overs
Old Dominion	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#) ODU at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#115	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Old Dominion Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ODU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
NC State -20.5 (58.0)
NC State won vs Old Dominion this year (49-22)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ODU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD