Old Dominion at NC State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Old Dominion logo Old Dominion Monarchs at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (6:00 PM EDT)
NC State -20.5 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 49 - Old Dominion: 22

 
Monarchs (10 - 3) (8 - 3 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (30 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ODU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ NCST -10)
Projected Score: ODU: 25 - NCST: 32 (57)
NCST Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
ODU Travel: 154 miles
Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (27 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Old Dominion's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/4 Old Dominion vs Hampton-28.0
Sat 9/10 Old Dominion at App State+21.054.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/17 Old Dominion at NC State+20.558.0L 22 - 49ON
Sat 9/24 Old Dominion vs UTSA-1.549.5W 33 - 19OY
Sat 10/1 Old Dominion at Charlotte-7.557.0W 52 - 17OY
Fri 10/7 Old Dominion vs Massachusetts-7.055.0W 36 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Old Dominion at Western Kentucky+13.065.0L 24 - 59ON
Sat 10/29 Old Dominion at UTEP-5.554.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 Old Dominion vs Marshall-7.058.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/12 Old Dominion vs Southern Miss-2.063.5W 51 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Old Dominion at Florida Atlantic-7.561.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 11/26 Old Dominion vs Florida International-14.060.0W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/23 Old Dominion vs Eastern Michigan-4.063.0W 24 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
NC State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 NC State vs William & Mary-30.5
Sat 9/10 NC State at East Carolina-3.559.0L 30 - 33ON
Sat 9/17 NC State vs Old Dominion-20.558.0W 49 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 NC State vs Wake Forest-9.048.0W 33 - 16OY
Sat 10/8 NC State vs Notre Dame+2.556.5W 10 - 3UY
Sat 10/15 NC State at Clemson+17.060.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/22 NC State at Louisville+20.065.0L 13 - 54ON
Sat 10/29 NC State vs Boston College-15.542.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/5 NC State vs Florida State+6.558.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 NC State at Syracuse-7.062.0W 35 - 20UY
Sat 11/19 NC State vs Miami+2.552.0L 13 - 27UN
Fri 11/25 NC State at North Carolina+10.063.0W 28 - 21UY
Mon 12/26 NC State vs Vanderbilt-4.047.0W 41 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU.2344%35.143%3.1819744%2343.98.1744%27.244%43%3.97440.81.8
NCST.1743%2742%2.7815643%2602.9.0838%22.836%38%2.8662.31.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Offense1335.129.744.4%3.980.8214311972345.154%45%43%44%12%.23
NCST Defense1322.818.138.3%2.861.7 - - - - - 42%56%36%38%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Defense1327.233.543.9%3.971.8 - - - - - 49%49%44%43%18%.17
NCST Offense132726.743.3%2.91.522416156260451%48%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Old Dominion1329:402137%56%5.1440.81.86.22.6132.8
NC State1331:5021.844%44%662.31.51.76.82.8431.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Offense1354%43%38.5196.85.127.23.1880%8%1.14
NCST Defense1342%36% - - - - .022.3867%12%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Defense1349%44% - - - - .163.0573%11%1.02
NCST Offense1351%42%38.8156.2423.042.7861%8%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Offense1345%44%16.928.82348.113.8316.281.731%29%.244%2
NCST Defense1356%38% - - - - - - 10.151.538%33%.37%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Defense1349%43% - - - - - - 11.211.531%32%.246%1.9
NCST Offense1348%43%20.233.7260.27.712.92012.321.733%38%.376%1.8

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Old Dominion's 2016 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #69
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #62
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #82

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion:    NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -0.7   NC State: 9.4




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

Old Dominion's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 32
Old Dominion 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 34
Old Dominion 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
NC State 29
Old Dominion 26

Total Points: 55
NC State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/17NC State49Old Dominion22NC State -20.5NC State58.0Over
201509/19Old Dominion14NC State38NC State -15NC State57.0Under
201409/06NC State46Old Dominion34NC State -17Old Dominion0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State321 Overs
Old Dominion011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) ODU at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatODUNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #41
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #115 #44
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Old Dominion on Offense
CategoryCat
ODU OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Old Dominion Run Game
CategoryCat
ODU OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Old Dominion Pass Game
CategoryCat
ODU OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffODU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffODU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffODU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 86°
Rematch from Week 3
NC State -20.5 (58.0)
NC State won vs Old Dominion this year (49-22)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ODU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ODU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD