Florida State at South Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#7)Florida State Seminoles at South Florida Bulls

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -5.5 (64.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 55 - South Florida: 35

Seminoles (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (33 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU 2nd straight Road Game
USF is playing their 4th straight game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ FSU -14)
Projected Score: FSU: 29 - USF: 43 (72)
FSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FSU Travel: 202 miles

Bulls (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 44 - 32 (46 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Florida State vs Ole Miss	-5.0	57.5	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida State vs Charleston Southern	-59.5
Sat 9/17	Florida State at Louisville	-4.5	65.0	L 20 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida State at South Florida	-5.5	64.0	W 55 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida State vs North Carolina	-12.0	72.5	L 35 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/8	Florida State at Miami	+1.5	61.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-25.5	51.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida State vs Clemson	+3.0	58.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida State at NC State	-6.5	58.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/11	Florida State vs Boston College	-23.0	47.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida State at Syracuse	-20.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida State vs Florida	-5.0	47.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Florida State vs Michigan	+6.5	51.0	W 33 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

South Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs Towson	-17.0
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	55.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Syracuse	-13.5	74.5	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida vs Florida State	+5.5	64.0	L 35 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida at Cincinnati	-6.0	64.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/8	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.0	68.5	W 38 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs UConn	-17.0	53.5	W 42 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/21	South Florida at Temple	-6.0	58.5	L 30 - 46	O	N
Fri 10/28	South Florida vs Navy	-9.0	66.0	W 52 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	South Florida at Memphis	-3.0	76.5	W 49 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/19	South Florida at SMU	-12.5	73.0	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	-9.5	66.0	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/29	South Florida vs South Carolina	-11.0	58.0	W 46 - 39	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.28	49%	35.1	50%	2.92	202	45%	264	4.14	.11	38%	25	37%	37%	3.2	72.9	1.5	1.8
USF	.37	47%	43.8	48%	3.44	285	44%	226	4.45	.22	49%	31.6	49%	46%	3.81	58.7	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	35.1	32.8	48.7%	4.14	1.5	25	466	202	264	5.1	50%	48%	50%	45%	18%	.28
USF Defense	13	31.6	31	48.7%	3.81	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	49%	46%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	25	30.2	38.3%	3.2	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	37%	37%	19%	.11
USF Offense	13	43.8	45.6	46.9%	4.45	1.3	23	512	285	226	6.5	60%	39%	48%	44%	13%	.37

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	32:55	24.7	44%	60%	7.7	72.9	1.5	1.8	7.1	3.8	1	30.2
South Florida	13	26:48	23.1	44%	89%	6.4	58.7	1.3	2	6.1	2.4	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	50%	50%	39.8	202.3	5.1	33	.23	2.92	79%	11%	1.06
USF Defense	13	50%	49%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.15	71%	9%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.74	76%	12%	1.08
USF Offense	13	60%	48%	43.8	285.3	6.5	47	.41	3.44	78%	10%	1.38

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	45%	18.8	32.4	264.1	8.2	14.1	23	8	.35	1.6	31%	43%	.41	7%	1.7
USF Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.29	1.5	27%	38%	.23	4%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.17	1.6	36%	30%	.28	6%	2
USF Offense	13	39%	44%	17.3	27.5	226.2	8.2	13.1	26	8	.34	1.7	30%	36%	.38	3%	1.7

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #5
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #17

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: South Florida: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 24.0 South Florida: 9.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #40
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4 #2
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 43
Florida State 29

Total Points: 72

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 50
Florida State 25

Total Points: 75

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 36
Florida State 32

Total Points: 68

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 43.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.6
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

South Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/24	South Florida	35	Florida State	55	Florida State -5.5	Florida State	64.0	Over
2015	09/12	Florida State	34	South Florida	14	Florida State -29	South Florida	53.5	Under
2012	09/29	South Florida	17	Florida State	30
2009	09/26	Florida State	7	South Florida	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	1	1	1 Overs
Florida State	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) FSU at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#40
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#4	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 89°

Rematch from Week 4
Florida State 5.5 (64.0)
Florida State won at South Florida this year (55-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD