UConn at South Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview
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UConn Huskies at South Florida Bulls

South Florida logo
Saturday, October 15th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -17 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 42 - UConn: 27  (American Athletic)

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 2nd straight Home Game
USF is playing their 7th straight game
CONN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -13  (SP+ USF -21)
Projected Score: CONN: 26 - USF: 38 (64)
USF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
CONN Travel: 1103 miles
Bulls (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UConn vs Maine-27.0
Sat 9/10 UConn at Navy+7.543.5L 24 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 UConn vs Virginia-6.547.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/24 UConn vs Syracuse-6.058.0L 24 - 31UN
Thu 9/29 UConn at Houston+24.549.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 10/8 UConn vs Cincinnati+2.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 10/15 UConn at South Florida+17.053.5L 27 - 42OY
Sat 10/22 UConn vs UCF+2.046.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 10/29 UConn at East Carolina+7.554.0L 3 - 41UN
Fri 11/4 UConn vs Temple+9.544.0L 0 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 UConn at Boston College+7.036.0L 0 - 30UN
Sat 11/26 UConn vs Tulane-2.036.5L 13 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
South Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 South Florida vs Towson-17.0
Sat 9/10 South Florida vs Northern Illinois-11.555.0W 48 - 17OY
Sat 9/17 South Florida at Syracuse-13.574.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 9/24 South Florida vs Florida State+5.564.0L 35 - 55ON
Sat 10/1 South Florida at Cincinnati-6.064.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 South Florida vs East Carolina-20.068.5W 38 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 South Florida vs UConn-17.053.5W 42 - 27ON
Fri 10/21 South Florida at Temple-6.058.5L 30 - 46ON
Fri 10/28 South Florida vs Navy-9.066.0W 52 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 South Florida at Memphis-3.076.5W 49 - 42OY
Sat 11/19 South Florida at SMU-12.573.0W 35 - 27UN
Sat 11/26 South Florida vs UCF-9.566.0W 48 - 31OY
Thu 12/29 South Florida vs South Carolina-11.058.0W 46 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN.0540%35.340%2.5712539%1862.62.0941%2739%40%2.5845.81.21.9
USF.2444%40.545%3.1524740%1953.7.0939%23.437%38%2.8954.91.22
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1335.333.540.4%2.621.2173101251863.453%45%40%39%2%.05
USF Defense1323.414.338.7%2.892 - - - - - 50%48%37%38%4%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense132732.240.6%2.581.9 - - - - - 53%46%39%40%2%.09
USF Offense1340.55144.2%3.71.2204422471955.463%36%45%40%3%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1330:4916.531%30%5.745.81.21.900130.3
South Florida1328:1320.237%58%6.154.91.2200231.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1353%40%36.7124.83.414-.012.5763%0%0.86
USF Defense1350%37% - - - - .042.5169%0%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1353%39% - - - - .052.6253%0%0.96
USF Offense1363%45%45.5246.55.428.193.1573%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1345%39%15.526.3185.57.1121010.141.635%32%.22%1.6
USF Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 18.161.636%29%.194%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 18.161.532%35%.352%1.8
USF Offense1336%40%13.823.2195.18.414.2269.331.931%33%.433%2.1

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2016 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6  #106
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #117
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #82

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn:    South Florida: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -11.6   South Florida: 9.8




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #40
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4  #2
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 38
UConn 26

Projected Total Points: 64
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21UConn21South Florida24Connecticut -1South Florida57.0Under
201910/05UConn22South Florida48South Florida -10.5South Florida48.5Over
201810/20South Florida38UConn30South Florida -33UConn67.5Over
201711/04UConn20South Florida37South Florida -24UConn64.5Under
201610/15South Florida42UConn27South Florida -17UConn53.5Over
201510/17UConn20South Florida28Connecticut -1.5South Florida44.0Over
201409/19South Florida17UConn14South Florida -2.5South Florida0
201310/12UConn10South Florida13Connecticut -6South Florida0
201211/03South Florida13UConn6
201110/15UConn16South Florida10
201012/04South Florida16UConn19
200912/05UConn29South Florida27
200811/23South Florida17UConn13
200710/27UConn22South Florida15
200610/07South Florida38UConn16
200511/26UConn15South Florida10
200110/13South Florida40UConn21
200010/27UConn13South Florida21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida1354 Overs
UConn532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 72 - 61 - 51 - 1
Road Teams7 - 116 - 21 - 15 - 1

(#) CONN at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #40
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #87 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCat
CONN OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
South Florida -17.0 (53.5)
South Florida won vs UConn this year (42-27)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UConn in 2023 (24-21)

  
CONN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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CONN's DC ()
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USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD