Ole Miss at Florida State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#6)Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida State SeminolesFlorida State logo
Monday, September 5th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -5 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida State 45 - Ole Miss: 34

 
Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (24 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6  (SP+ FSU -12)
Projected Score: MISS: 25 - FSU: 33 (58)
FSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 625 miles, 1 hrs behind
Seminoles (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/5 Ole Miss vs Florida State+5.057.5L 34 - 45ON
Sat 9/10 Ole Miss vs Wofford-44.5
Sat 9/17 Ole Miss vs Alabama+9.553.0L 43 - 48OY
Sat 9/24 Ole Miss vs Georgia-6.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Ole Miss vs Memphis-15.571.5W 48 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Ole Miss at Arkansas-6.565.0L 30 - 34UN
Sat 10/22 Ole Miss at LSU+4.559.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/29 Ole Miss vs Auburn+2.065.5L 29 - 40ON
Sat 11/5 Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern-20.563.0W 37 - 27ON
Sat 11/12 Ole Miss at Texas A&M+11.062.0W 29 - 28UY
Sat 11/19 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/26 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-8.067.5L 20 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Florida State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/5 Florida State vs Ole Miss-5.057.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 9/10 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-59.5
Sat 9/17 Florida State at Louisville-4.565.0L 20 - 63ON
Sat 9/24 Florida State at South Florida-5.564.0W 55 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Florida State vs North Carolina-12.072.5L 35 - 37UN
Sat 10/8 Florida State at Miami+1.561.5W 20 - 19UY
Sat 10/15 Florida State vs Wake Forest-25.551.0W 17 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida State vs Clemson+3.058.5L 34 - 37OY
Sat 11/5 Florida State at NC State-6.558.0W 24 - 20UN
Fri 11/11 Florida State vs Boston College-23.047.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/19 Florida State at Syracuse-20.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 Florida State vs Florida-5.047.0W 31 - 13UY
Fri 12/30 Florida State vs Michigan+6.551.0W 33 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.246%32.643%2.9314945%3153.65.2444%3444%42%3.8343.31.61.3
FSU.2849%35.150%2.9220245%2644.14.1138%2537%37%3.272.91.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1232.624.345.7%3.651.6254641493154.343%55%43%45%16%.2
FSU Defense13251838.3%3.21.8 - - - - - 44%54%37%37%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense123434.544.4%3.831.3 - - - - - 57%40%44%42%15%.24
FSU Offense1335.135.748.7%4.141.5254662022645.150%48%50%45%18%.28

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1225:5624.840%38%4.943.31.61.35.71.7230.4
Florida State1332:5524.744%60%7.772.91.51.87.13.8130.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1243%43%35.2149.44.317.112.9365%7%0.93
FSU Defense1344%37% - - - - .082.7476%12%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1257%44% - - - - .253.0962%10%1.25
FSU Offense1350%50%39.8202.35.133.232.9279%11%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1255%45%24.140.3314.97.813.12714.311.631%40%.389%1.7
FSU Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 15.171.636%30%.286%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1240%42% - - - - - - 8.271.731%38%.415%1.9
FSU Offense1348%45%18.832.4264.18.214.1238.351.631%43%.417%1.7

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Florida State: 12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 12.4   Florida State: 24.0




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0  #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6  #5
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #17

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.5

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 33
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 32
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 35
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 60
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Florida State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/05Florida State45Ole Miss34Florida State -5Florida State57.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State111 Overs
Ole Miss000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) MISS at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #7
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #15 #4
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Florida State -5.0 (57.5)
Florida State won vs Ole Miss this year (45-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MISS's OC ()
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MISS's DC ()
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FSU's OC ()
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FSU's DC ()
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