Ole Miss at Florida State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida State Seminoles

Monday, September 5th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -5 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 45 - Ole Miss: 34

Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -6 (SP+ FSU -12)
Projected Score: MISS: 28 - FSU: 31 (59)
FSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 625 miles, 1 hrs behind

Seminoles (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Ole Miss vs Florida State	+5.0	57.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44.5
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+9.5	53.0	L 43 - 48	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Georgia	-6.0	61.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Memphis	-15.5	71.5	W 48 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-6.5	65.0	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+4.5	59.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss vs Auburn	+2.0	65.5	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	63.0	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	+11.0	62.0	W 29 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-8.0	67.5	L 20 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Florida State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Florida State vs Ole Miss	-5.0	57.5	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida State vs Charleston Southern	-59.5
Sat 9/17	Florida State at Louisville	-4.5	65.0	L 20 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida State at South Florida	-5.5	64.0	W 55 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida State vs North Carolina	-12.0	72.5	L 35 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/8	Florida State at Miami	+1.5	61.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-25.5	51.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida State vs Clemson	+3.0	58.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida State at NC State	-6.5	58.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/11	Florida State vs Boston College	-23.0	47.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida State at Syracuse	-20.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida State vs Florida	-5.0	47.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Florida State vs Michigan	+6.5	51.0	W 33 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.27	50%	36.9	47%	2.82	183	51%	335	4.19	.07	39%	21.1	37%	38%	2.8	54	1.8	1.8
FSU	.21	45%	33	43%	2.84	168	44%	256	3.72	.08	38%	22	39%	35%	2.8	54	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	36.9	34.3	50.2%	4.19	1.8	26	518	183	335	5.1	44%	54%	47%	51%	2%	.27
FSU Defense	13	22	16.1	38%	2.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	39%	35%	2%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	21.1	27.8	39.2%	2.8	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	43%	54%	37%	38%	2%	.07
FSU Offense	13	33	43.3	44.8%	3.72	1.2	21	424	168	256	5.2	45%	52%	43%	44%	4%	.21

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:31	26.2	41%	47%	6.1	54	1.8	1.8	0	0	4	32
Florida State	13	29:24	20.6	38%	44%	6.8	54	1.2	1.2	0	0	0	32.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	44%	47%	35.6	183.1	5.1	29	.11	2.82	51%	0%	0.92
FSU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.02	78%	0%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	43%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.05	2.62	59%	0%	0.77
FSU Offense	13	45%	43%	32.7	168.2	5.2	27	.12	2.84	58%	0%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	54%	51%	24.5	37.6	334.7	8.9	13.7	35	14	.43	1.5	27%	42%	.45	2%	1.6
FSU Defense	13	50%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.1	1.5	35%	31%	.22	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	37%	31%	.17	2%	1.6
FSU Offense	13	52%	44%	20.3	32.2	255.8	7.9	12.6	22	9	.35	1.6	34%	41%	.43	4%	1.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Florida State: 12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 12.4 Florida State: 24.0

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #5
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #17

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 31
Ole Miss 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/05	Florida State	45	Ole Miss	34	Florida State -5	Florida State	57.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	1	1	1 Overs
Ole Miss	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) MISS at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#7
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#15	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Florida State -5.0 (57.5)
Florida State won vs Ole Miss this year (45-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD