South Florida at Memphis - 2016 Matchup Preview

South Florida Bulls at Memphis Tigers

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
South Florida -3 (76.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Florida 49 - Memphis: 42 (American Athletic)

Bulls (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF coming off BYE
MEM is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ USF -2)
Projected Score: USF: 31 - MEM: 31 (62)
USF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 661 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 24 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs Towson	-17.0
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	55.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Syracuse	-13.5	74.5	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida vs Florida State	+5.5	64.0	L 35 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida at Cincinnati	-6.0	64.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/8	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.0	68.5	W 38 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs UConn	-17.0	53.5	W 42 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/21	South Florida at Temple	-6.0	58.5	L 30 - 46	O	N
Fri 10/28	South Florida vs Navy	-9.0	66.0	W 52 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	South Florida at Memphis	-3.0	76.5	W 49 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/19	South Florida at SMU	-12.5	73.0	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	-9.5	66.0	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/29	South Florida vs South Carolina	-11.0	58.0	W 46 - 39	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Memphis's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Memphis vs Southeast Missouri State	-24.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Memphis vs Kansas	-20.0	60.0	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Memphis vs Bowling Green	-16.5	67.5	W 77 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Memphis at Ole Miss	+15.5	71.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Thu 10/6	Memphis vs Temple	-6.5	57.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Fri 10/14	Memphis at Tulane	-10.5	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Memphis at Navy	-2.0	57.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/29	Memphis vs Tulsa	-7.5	74.5	L 30 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/5	Memphis at SMU	-6.5	65.0	W 51 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Memphis vs South Florida	+3.0	76.5	L 42 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/18	Memphis at Cincinnati	-7.5	61.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Memphis vs Houston	+3.0	60.5	W 48 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/20	Memphis vs Western Kentucky	+6.5	79.0	L 31 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.24	44%	40.5	45%	3.15	247	40%	195	3.7	.09	39%	23.4	37%	38%	2.89	54.9	1.2	2
MEM	.25	46%	32.5	43%	2.82	179	47%	307	4.19	.18	44%	23.2	44%	43%	3.83	72.8	1.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	13	40.5	35	44.2%	3.7	1.2	20	442	247	195	5.4	63%	36%	45%	40%	3%	.24
MEM Defense	13	23.2	24.2	44.1%	3.83	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	43%	3%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	13	23.4	32.3	38.7%	2.89	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	38%	4%	.09
MEM Offense	13	32.5	34.2	46.3%	4.19	1.1	25	487	179	307	4.1	49%	48%	43%	47%	1%	.25

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	13	28:13	20.2	37%	58%	6.1	54.9	1.2	2	0	0	2	31.7
Memphis	13	30:21	24.8	48%	56%	7.5	72.8	1.1	1.7	0	0	3	32.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	13	63%	45%	45.5	246.5	5.4	28	.19	3.15	73%	0%	1.03
MEM Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.91	55%	0%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.51	69%	0%	1.03
MEM Offense	13	49%	43%	43.3	179.5	4.1	29	.12	2.82	78%	0%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	13	36%	40%	13.8	23.2	195.1	8.4	14.2	26	9	.33	1.9	31%	33%	.43	3%	2.1
MEM Defense	13	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.7	31%	36%	.37	3%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.16	1.6	36%	29%	.19	4%	1.8
MEM Offense	13	48%	47%	23.9	35.8	307.5	8.6	12.9	30	5	.39	1.6	33%	39%	.36	1%	1.5

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #40
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4 #2
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Memphis: 6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 9.8 Memphis: 7.7

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 6.35 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2016 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #43
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 31
Memphis 31

Projected Total Points: 62

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Memphis's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Memphis	34	South Florida	31	South Florida -3.5	Memphis	58.5	Over
2024	10/12	South Florida	3	Memphis	21	Memphis -10	Memphis	61.0	Under
2023	11/04	Memphis	59	South Florida	50	Memphis -13.5	South Florida	68.5	Over
2020	11/07	Memphis	34	South Florida	33	Memphis -17.5	South Florida	67.0	Push
2019	11/23	South Florida	10	Memphis	49	Memphis -15.5	Memphis	60.0	Under
2016	11/12	Memphis	42	South Florida	49	South Florida -3	South Florida	76.5	Over
2015	10/02	South Florida	17	Memphis	24	Memphis -10.5	South Florida	58.5	Under
2014	11/22	Memphis	31	South Florida	20	Memphis -19	South Florida	0
2013	11/16	South Florida	10	Memphis	23	Memphis -2.5	Memphis	0
2008	12/20	South Florida	41	Memphis	14
2004	11/27	South Florida	15	Memphis	31
2003	11/29	Memphis	16	South Florida	21
2002	11/09	South Florida	31	Memphis	28
2001	09/22	Memphis	17	South Florida	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	10	4	3 Overs
South Florida	4	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	2 - 7	0 - 3	2 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 7	7 - 2	4 - 2	3 - 0

(#) USF at (#) MEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	MEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#49
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#54	#79
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Memphis Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	MEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#74
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
South Florida 3.0 (76.5)
South Florida won at Memphis this year (49-42)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat South Florida last year (34-31)
Memphis beat South Florida in 2024 (21-3)
Memphis beat South Florida in 2023 (59-50)

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MEM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD