Navy at South Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Navy Midshipmen at South Florida Bulls

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Friday, October 28th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -9 (66.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 52 - Navy: 45  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ USF -3)
Projected Score: NAVY: 24 - USF: 37 (61)
USF Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
NAVY Travel: 835 miles
Bulls (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Fordham-24.0
Sat 9/10 Navy vs UConn-7.543.5W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/17 Navy at Tulane-10.542.0W 21 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Houston+17.052.0W 46 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Memphis+2.057.0W 42 - 28OY
Fri 10/28 Navy at South Florida+9.066.0L 45 - 52OY
Sat 11/5 Navy vs Notre Dame-4.563.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Tulsa-1.071.5W 42 - 40OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at East Carolina-8.064.0W 66 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Navy at SMU-8.065.5W 75 - 31OY
Sat 12/3 Navy vs Temple-1.559.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-11.546.5L 17 - 21UN
Fri 12/23 Navy vs Louisiana Tech-1.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
South Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 South Florida vs Towson-17.0
Sat 9/10 South Florida vs Northern Illinois-11.555.0W 48 - 17OY
Sat 9/17 South Florida at Syracuse-13.574.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 9/24 South Florida vs Florida State+5.564.0L 35 - 55ON
Sat 10/1 South Florida at Cincinnati-6.064.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 South Florida vs East Carolina-20.068.5W 38 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 South Florida vs UConn-17.053.5W 42 - 27ON
Fri 10/21 South Florida at Temple-6.058.5L 30 - 46ON
Fri 10/28 South Florida vs Navy-9.066.0W 52 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 South Florida at Memphis-3.076.5W 49 - 42OY
Sat 11/19 South Florida at SMU-12.573.0W 35 - 27UN
Sat 11/26 South Florida vs UCF-9.566.0W 48 - 31OY
Thu 12/29 South Florida vs South Carolina-11.058.0W 46 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.3449%31.551%3.5132735%984.81.1644%2542%45%3.3826.10.62.1
USF.2444%40.545%3.1524740%1953.7.0939%23.437%38%2.8954.91.22
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.849.5%4.810.621425327985.782%16%51%35%2%.34
USF Defense1323.414.338.7%2.892 - - - - - 50%48%37%38%4%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.244.1%3.382.1 - - - - - 50%48%42%45%1%.16
USF Offense1340.55144.2%3.71.2204422471955.463%36%45%40%3%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1332:4820.950%92%3.126.10.62.100033
South Florida1328:1320.237%58%6.154.91.2200231.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1382%51%57.5326.75.753.343.5190%0%1.09
USF Defense1350%37% - - - - .042.5169%0%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1350%42% - - - - .042.9664%0%0.95
USF Offense1363%45%45.5246.55.428.193.1573%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1316%35%4.99.498.510.52092.42.425%32%.382%1.8
USF Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 18.161.636%29%.194%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1348%45% - - - - - - 12.31.530%36%.431%1.9
USF Offense1336%40%13.823.2195.18.414.2269.331.931%33%.433%2.1

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #52
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #16
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    South Florida: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 6.8   South Florida: 9.8




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #40
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4  #2
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 37
Navy 24

Projected Total Points: 61
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Navy41South Florida38South Florida -8.5Navy62.5Over
202411/09South Florida7Navy28Navy -4.5Navy59.5Under
202309/30Navy30South Florida44Navy -4South Florida54.0Over
201910/19Navy35South Florida3Navy -15.5Navy52.0Under
201610/28South Florida52Navy45South Florida -9Navy66.0Over
201510/31Navy29South Florida17Navy -11Navy51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida213 Overs
Navy453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 23 - 32 - 21 - 1
Road Teams2 - 43 - 31 - 12 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #40
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #117 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
South Florida -9.0 (66.0)
South Florida won vs Navy this year (52-45)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat South Florida last year (41-38)
Navy beat South Florida in 2024 (28-7)
South Florida beat Navy in 2023 (44-30)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD