South Florida at Syracuse - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#18)South Florida Bulls at Syracuse Orange

Saturday, September 17th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
South Florida -13.5 (74.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Florida 45 - Syracuse: 20

Bulls (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 44 - 32 (41 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
SYR 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ USF -12.5)
Projected Score: USF: 39 - SYR: 24 (63)
USF Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
USF Travel: 1100 miles

Orange (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 39 (24 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs Towson	-17.0
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	55.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Syracuse	-13.5	74.5	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida vs Florida State	+5.5	64.0	L 35 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida at Cincinnati	-6.0	64.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/8	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.0	68.5	W 38 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs UConn	-17.0	53.5	W 42 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/21	South Florida at Temple	-6.0	58.5	L 30 - 46	O	N
Fri 10/28	South Florida vs Navy	-9.0	66.0	W 52 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	South Florida at Memphis	-3.0	76.5	W 49 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/19	South Florida at SMU	-12.5	73.0	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	-9.5	66.0	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/29	South Florida vs South Carolina	-11.0	58.0	W 46 - 39	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Syracuse's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-25.5
Fri 9/9	Syracuse vs Louisville	+13.0	69.0	L 28 - 62	O	N
Sat 9/17	Syracuse vs South Florida	+13.5	74.5	L 20 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/24	Syracuse at UConn	+6.0	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Syracuse vs Notre Dame	+12.0	74.5	L 33 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/8	Syracuse at Wake Forest	+3.0	53.5	L 9 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/15	Syracuse vs Virginia Tech	+17.0	65.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Syracuse at Boston College	+4.5	49.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Syracuse at Clemson	+28.0	69.0	L 0 - 54	U	N
Sat 11/12	Syracuse vs NC State	+7.0	62.0	L 20 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/19	Syracuse vs Florida State	+20.0	65.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/26	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+23.5	65.5	L 61 - 76	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.37	47%	43.8	48%	3.44	285	44%	226	4.45	.22	49%	31.6	49%	46%	3.81	58.7	1.3	2
SYR	.14	40%	25.7	34%	2.57	120	45%	321	2.3	.26	46%	38.6	46%	44%	3.74	60.8	1.7	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)		45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)		42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	13	43.8	40.8	46.9%	4.45	1.3	23	512	285	226	6.5	60%	39%	48%	44%	13%	.37
SYR Defense	12	38.6	35.2	45.7%	3.74	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	46%	44%	13%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	13	31.6	31	48.7%	3.81	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	49%	46%	13%	.22
SYR Offense	12	25.7	24.3	40.5%	2.3	1.7	22	441	120	321	3.2	42%	57%	34%	45%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	13	26:48	23.1	44%	89%	6.4	58.7	1.3	2	6.1	2.4	3	31.7
Syracuse	12	28:41	22.3	39%	63%	8	60.8	1.7	1.6	4.9	1.4	1	32.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	13	60%	48%	43.8	285.3	6.5	47	.41	3.44	78%	10%	1.38
SYR Defense	12	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.11	72%	9%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	13	50%	49%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.15	71%	9%	0.89
SYR Offense	12	42%	34%	37.4	119.6	3.2	15	-.05	2.57	71%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	13	39%	44%	17.3	27.5	226.2	8.2	13.1	26	8	.34	1.7	30%	36%	.38	3%	1.7
SYR Defense	12	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.34	1.8	30%	39%	.49	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.29	1.5	27%	38%	.23	4%	1.5
SYR Offense	12	57%	45%	27.7	43.5	321.3	7.4	11.6	24	13	.3	1.5	34%	31%	.36	5%	2.1

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #40
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4 #2
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Syracuse: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 9.8 Syracuse: -2.7

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Syracuse's Offense Rating: NR
Syracuse's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Syracuse's 2016 Expected Record: -
Syracuse's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #79
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #66
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #84

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 43.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.8
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

South Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 39
Syracuse 24

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 38
Syracuse 19

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 40
Syracuse 28

Total Points: 68

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.2

Syracuse's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/21	Syracuse	0	South Florida	45	Syracuse -3	South Florida	56.0	Under
2016	09/17	Syracuse	20	South Florida	45	South Florida -13.5	South Florida	74.5	Under
2015	10/10	South Florida	45	Syracuse	24	South Florida -5	South Florida	47.0	Over
2012	10/27	South Florida	36	Syracuse	37
2011	11/11	Syracuse	17	South Florida	37
2010	10/09	South Florida	9	Syracuse	13
2009	10/03	Syracuse	20	South Florida	34
2008	10/18	South Florida	45	Syracuse	13
2007	11/10	Syracuse	10	South Florida	41
2006	11/11	South Florida	27	Syracuse	10
2005	11/12	Syracuse	0	South Florida	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	2	0	1 Overs
South Florida	9	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 8	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#) USF at (#) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	SYR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#79
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#54	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Syracuse Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	SYR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#66	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 3
South Florida 13.5 (74.5)
South Florida won at Syracuse this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Syracuse in 2023 (45-0)

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SYR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD