Wake Forest at Florida State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Florida State Seminoles(#25)

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -25.5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 17 - Wake Forest: 6 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 22 (18 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU is playing their 7th straight game
WAKE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -15 (SP+ FSU -25)
Projected Score: WAKE: 27 - FSU: 30 (57)
FSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
WAKE Travel: 458 miles

Seminoles (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Wake Forest vs Tulane	-16.0	43.0	W 7 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/10	Wake Forest at Duke	+8.5	45.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Wake Forest vs Delaware	-24.0
Sat 9/24	Wake Forest at Indiana	+5.5	47.5	W 33 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wake Forest at NC State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wake Forest vs Syracuse	-3.0	53.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Wake Forest at Florida State	+25.5	51.0	L 6 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Wake Forest vs Army	-8.0	42.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wake Forest vs Virginia	-2.5	45.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Wake Forest at Louisville	+33.0	56.5	L 12 - 44	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+23.5	47.5	L 13 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wake Forest vs Boston College	-2.0	34.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Tue 12/27	Wake Forest vs Temple	+12.5	42.0	W 34 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Florida State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Florida State vs Ole Miss	-5.0	57.5	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida State vs Charleston Southern	-59.5
Sat 9/17	Florida State at Louisville	-4.5	65.0	L 20 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida State at South Florida	-5.5	64.0	W 55 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida State vs North Carolina	-12.0	72.5	L 35 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/8	Florida State at Miami	+1.5	61.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-25.5	51.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida State vs Clemson	+3.0	58.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida State at NC State	-6.5	58.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/11	Florida State vs Boston College	-23.0	47.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida State at Syracuse	-20.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida State vs Florida	-5.0	47.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Florida State vs Michigan	+6.5	51.0	W 33 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.03	37%	20.4	35%	2.72	146	35%	166	3.07	.09	41%	22.2	41%	41%	2.44	38.5	1.5	2.1
FSU	.28	49%	35.1	50%	2.92	202	45%	264	4.14	.11	38%	25	37%	37%	3.2	72.9	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	13	20.4	18.2	36.9%	3.07	1.5	17	311	146	166	3.6	54%	43%	35%	35%	17%	.03
FSU Defense	13	25	18	38.3%	3.2	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	37%	37%	19%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	13	22.2	27.2	41.3%	2.44	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	41%	19%	.09
FSU Offense	13	35.1	35.7	48.7%	4.14	1.5	25	466	202	264	5.1	50%	48%	50%	45%	18%	.28

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	13	30:49	17.3	35%	41%	4.7	38.5	1.5	2.1	7.2	3.2	2	32
Florida State	13	32:55	24.7	44%	60%	7.7	72.9	1.5	1.8	7.1	3.8	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	13	54%	35%	41	145.8	3.6	17	.05	2.72	65%	10%	1.08
FSU Defense	13	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.74	76%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.91	69%	13%	0.89
FSU Offense	13	50%	50%	39.8	202.3	5.1	33	.23	2.92	79%	11%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	13	43%	35%	14.6	27.2	165.7	6.1	11.3	9	13	.03	1.4	36%	28%	.12	7%	1.6
FSU Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.17	1.6	36%	30%	.28	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	13	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	34%	29%	.19	6%	1.7
FSU Offense	13	48%	45%	18.8	32.4	264.1	8.2	14.1	23	8	.35	1.6	31%	43%	.41	7%	1.7

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #67
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #113
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: Florida State: 14.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -0.6 Florida State: 24.0

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 14.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #5
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #17

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Wake Forest's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 30
Wake Forest 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Wake Forest 32
Florida State 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 30
Wake Forest 21

Total Points: 51

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Florida State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Florida State	42	Wake Forest	7	Florida State -12.5	Florida State	50.5	Under
2023	10/28	Wake Forest	16	Florida State	41	Florida State -21	Florida State	53.5	Over
2022	10/01	Florida State	21	Wake Forest	31	Florida State -6	Wake Forest	67.0	Under
2021	09/18	Wake Forest	35	Florida State	14	Wake Forest -4.5	Wake Forest	63.0	Under
2019	10/19	Wake Forest	22	Florida State	20	Florida State -3	Wake Forest	69.0	Under
2018	10/20	Florida State	38	Wake Forest	17	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	57.5	Under
2017	09/30	Wake Forest	19	Florida State	26	Florida State -7.5	Wake Forest	46.5	Under
2016	10/15	Florida State	17	Wake Forest	6	Florida State -25.5	Wake Forest	51.0	Under
2015	10/03	Wake Forest	16	Florida State	24	Florida State -18	Wake Forest	45.5	Under
2014	10/04	Florida State	43	Wake Forest	3	Florida State -38	Florida State	0
2013	11/09	Wake Forest	3	Florida State	59	Florida State -34.5	Florida State	0
2012	09/15	Florida State	52	Wake Forest	0
2011	10/08	Wake Forest	35	Florida State	30
2010	09/25	Florida State	31	Wake Forest	0
2009	11/14	Wake Forest	28	Florida State	41
2008	09/20	Florida State	3	Wake Forest	12
2007	10/11	Wake Forest	24	Florida State	21
2006	11/11	Florida State	0	Wake Forest	30
2005	10/08	Florida State	41	Wake Forest	24
2004	10/23	Wake Forest	17	Florida State	20
2003	10/25	Florida State	48	Wake Forest	24
2002	11/02	Wake Forest	21	Florida State	34
2001	09/29	Florida State	48	Wake Forest	24
2000	11/10	Wake Forest	6	Florida State	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	17	5	1 Overs
Wake Forest	7	6	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 11	7 - 4	4 - 2	3 - 2
Road Teams	11 - 13	4 - 7	2 - 3	2 - 4

(#) WAKE at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#7
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#67	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Florida State -25.5 (51.0)
Florida State won vs Wake Forest this year (17-6)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (41-16)
Wake Forest beat Florida State in 2022 (31-21)

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD