Northern Illinois at South Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo   Northern Illinois Huskies at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -11.5 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 48 - Northern Illinois: 17

 
Huskies (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (16 - 28 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU 2nd straight Road Game
USF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ USF -12)
Projected Score: NIU: 18 - USF: 36 (54)
USF Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
NIU Travel: 1027 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Illinois's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Northern Illinois at Wyoming-10.554.0L 34 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Northern Illinois at South Florida+11.555.0L 17 - 48ON
Sat 9/17 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State+8.048.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/24 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-7.0
Sat 10/1 Northern Illinois at Ball State+1.057.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/8 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan+19.068.5L 30 - 45OY
Sat 10/15 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan+4.060.0L 28 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-20.061.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green-17.072.0W 45 - 20UY
Wed 11/9 Northern Illinois vs Toledo+7.569.5L 24 - 31UY
Wed 11/16 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-4.063.0W 31 - 24UY
Fri 11/25 Northern Illinois at Kent State-5.045.5W 31 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
South Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 South Florida vs Towson-17.0
Sat 9/10 South Florida vs Northern Illinois-11.555.0W 48 - 17OY
Sat 9/17 South Florida at Syracuse-13.574.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 9/24 South Florida vs Florida State+5.564.0L 35 - 55ON
Sat 10/1 South Florida at Cincinnati-6.064.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 South Florida vs East Carolina-20.068.5W 38 - 22UN
Sat 10/15 South Florida vs UConn-17.053.5W 42 - 27ON
Fri 10/21 South Florida at Temple-6.058.5L 30 - 46ON
Fri 10/28 South Florida vs Navy-9.066.0W 52 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 South Florida at Memphis-3.076.5W 49 - 42OY
Sat 11/19 South Florida at SMU-12.573.0W 35 - 27UN
Sat 11/26 South Florida vs UCF-9.566.0W 48 - 31OY
Thu 12/29 South Florida vs South Carolina-11.058.0W 46 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU.1442%17.141%2.7319041%2083.54.0743%24.341%41%2.9349.61.92.1
USF.2444%40.545%3.1524740%1953.7.0939%23.437%38%2.8954.91.22
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1417.116.341.8%3.541.9203991902084.158%41%41%41%2%.14
USF Defense1323.414.338.7%2.892 - - - - - 50%48%37%38%4%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1424.327.842.7%2.932.1 - - - - - 50%48%41%41%3%.07
USF Offense1340.55144.2%3.71.2204422471955.463%36%45%40%3%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1426:2420.238%52%5.749.61.92.100431.2
South Florida1328:1320.237%58%6.154.91.2200231.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1458%41%45.9190.14.131.082.7372%0%0.98
USF Defense1350%37% - - - - .042.5169%0%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1450%41% - - - - .012.9285%0%0.77
USF Offense1363%45%45.5246.55.428.193.1573%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1441%41%17.128.9208.47.212.22210.241.631%31%.242%1.8
USF Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 18.161.636%29%.194%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1448%41% - - - - - - 22.171.532%31%.183%1.6
USF Offense1336%40%13.823.2195.18.414.2269.331.931%33%.433%2.1

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #77
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #50
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois:    South Florida: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.4   South Florida: 9.8




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #40
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4  #2
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Northern Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 36
Northern Illinois 18

Projected Total Points: 54
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10South Florida48Northern Illinois17South Florida -11.5South Florida55.0Over
200901/02Northern Illinois3South Florida27
200209/07South Florida37Northern Illinois6
200108/30Northern Illinois20South Florida17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida311 Overs
Northern Illinois100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) NIU at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #40
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #94 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
NIU OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffNIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
South Florida -11.5 (55.0)
South Florida won vs Northern Illinois this year (48-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NIU's OC ()
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NIU's DC ()
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USF's OC ()
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USF's DC ()
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