East Carolina at South Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview

East Carolina Pirates at South Florida Bulls

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -20 (68.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Florida 38 - East Carolina: 22 (American Athletic)

Pirates (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (18 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
USF is playing their 6th straight game
ECU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ USF -19)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - USF: 40 (66)
USF Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
ECU Travel: 607 miles

Bulls (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 44 - 32 (46 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	East Carolina vs Western Carolina	-17.0
Sat 9/10	East Carolina vs NC State	+3.5	59.0	W 33 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	East Carolina at South Carolina	+6.0	51.5	L 15 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	East Carolina at Virginia Tech	+9.5	57.0	L 17 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/1	East Carolina vs UCF	-5.5	61.0	L 29 - 47	O	N
Sat 10/8	East Carolina at South Florida	+20.0	68.5	L 22 - 38	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+2.0	63.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/29	East Carolina vs UConn	-7.5	54.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/5	East Carolina at Tulsa	+10.0	76.5	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/12	East Carolina vs SMU	-5.0	63.0	L 31 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/19	East Carolina vs Navy	+8.0	64.0	L 31 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/26	East Carolina at Temple	+19.0	58.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

South Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs Towson	-17.0
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	55.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Syracuse	-13.5	74.5	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida vs Florida State	+5.5	64.0	L 35 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida at Cincinnati	-6.0	64.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/8	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.0	68.5	W 38 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs UConn	-17.0	53.5	W 42 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/21	South Florida at Temple	-6.0	58.5	L 30 - 46	O	N
Fri 10/28	South Florida vs Navy	-9.0	66.0	W 52 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	South Florida at Memphis	-3.0	76.5	W 49 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/19	South Florida at SMU	-12.5	73.0	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	-9.5	66.0	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/29	South Florida vs South Carolina	-11.0	58.0	W 46 - 39	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.16	43%	27	43%	3.06	132	42%	335	3.27	.27	46%	36.1	46%	44%	3.77	43.4	2	0.7
USF	.37	47%	43.8	48%	3.44	285	44%	226	4.45	.22	49%	31.6	49%	46%	3.81	58.7	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	27	17.8	43.1%	3.27	2	24	467	132	335	3.9	37%	61%	43%	42%	17%	.16
USF Defense	13	31.6	31	48.7%	3.81	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	49%	46%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	36.1	37.5	46.3%	3.77	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	46%	44%	12%	.27
USF Offense	13	43.8	45.6	46.9%	4.45	1.3	23	512	285	226	6.5	60%	39%	48%	44%	13%	.37

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	30:08	23.8	39%	60%	5	43.4	2	0.7	4.5	0.7	0	26.7
South Florida	13	26:48	23.1	44%	89%	6.4	58.7	1.3	2	6.1	2.4	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	37%	43%	33.7	132.4	3.9	13	.07	3.06	76%	12%	0.79
USF Defense	13	50%	49%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.15	71%	9%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	57%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.42	74%	7%	1.08
USF Offense	13	60%	48%	43.8	285.3	6.5	47	.41	3.44	78%	10%	1.38

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	61%	42%	29.9	46.2	334.7	7.3	11.2	26	12	.23	1.6	35%	35%	.32	6%	1.8
USF Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.29	1.5	27%	38%	.23	4%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.7	29%	34%	.31	5%	1.8
USF Offense	13	39%	44%	17.3	27.5	226.2	8.2	13.1	26	8	.34	1.7	30%	36%	.38	3%	1.7

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0 #99
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #100

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: South Florida: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -9.0 South Florida: 9.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #40
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.4 #2
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 36.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

East Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 40
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 40
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 41
East Carolina 27

Total Points: 68

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 43.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.6
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

South Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	South Florida	28	East Carolina	48	East Carolina -10	East Carolina	55.5	Over
2021	10/28	East Carolina	29	South Florida	14	East Carolina -9.5	East Carolina	55.5	Under
2020	10/10	South Florida	24	East Carolina	44	South Florida -5.5	East Carolina	58.5	Over
2019	10/26	East Carolina	20	South Florida	45	South Florida -1	South Florida	51.0	Over
2018	09/22	South Florida	20	East Carolina	13	South Florida -20.5	East Carolina	67.5	Under
2017	09/30	East Carolina	31	South Florida	61	South Florida -22.5	South Florida	73.0	Over
2016	10/08	South Florida	38	East Carolina	22	South Florida -20	East Carolina	68.5	Under
2015	11/07	East Carolina	17	South Florida	22	East Carolina -3	South Florida	55.0	Under
2014	10/11	South Florida	17	East Carolina	28	East Carolina -14.5	South Florida	0
2006	12/23	East Carolina	7	South Florida	24
2004	11/13	South Florida	41	East Carolina	17
2003	11/08	East Carolina	37	South Florida	38
2002	10/19	East Carolina	30	South Florida	46

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	9	4	4 Overs
East Carolina	4	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 9	2 - 7	1 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 4	7 - 2	3 - 1	4 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#40
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#82	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 85° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 6
South Florida -20.0 (68.5)
South Florida won vs East Carolina this year (38-22)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat South Florida in 2022 (48-28)

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD