Florida at Florida State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, November 26th 2016 (8:00 PM EST)
Florida State -5 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 31 - Florida: 13

Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 2nd straight Road Game
FSU is playing their 5th straight game
FLA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ FSU -9)
Projected Score: FLA: 18 - FSU: 33 (51)
FSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
FLA Travel: 129 miles

Seminoles (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Massachusetts	-37.0	51.5	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-16.5	48.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Florida vs North Texas	-35.0	52.5	W 32 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+8.0	42.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida at Vanderbilt	-8.5	40.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Florida vs Missouri	-13.0	51.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	-7.5	43.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Arkansas	-3.5	44.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-16.0	38.5	W 20 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/19	Florida at LSU	+10.5	38.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida at Florida State	+5.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/3	Florida vs Alabama	+21.5	40.5	L 16 - 54	O	N
Mon 1/2	Florida vs Iowa	-2.0	41.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Florida State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Florida State vs Ole Miss	-5.0	57.5	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida State vs Charleston Southern	-59.5
Sat 9/17	Florida State at Louisville	-4.5	65.0	L 20 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida State at South Florida	-5.5	64.0	W 55 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida State vs North Carolina	-12.0	72.5	L 35 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/8	Florida State at Miami	+1.5	61.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-25.5	51.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida State vs Clemson	+3.0	58.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida State at NC State	-6.5	58.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/11	Florida State vs Boston College	-23.0	47.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida State at Syracuse	-20.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida State vs Florida	-5.0	47.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Florida State vs Michigan	+6.5	51.0	W 33 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.12	39%	21.6	39%	2.76	127	38%	207	3.07	.02	37%	24	37%	34%	2.92	52.6	1.2	1.8
FSU	.21	45%	33	43%	2.84	168	44%	256	3.72	.08	38%	22	39%	35%	2.8	54	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	14	21.6	13	39.3%	3.07	1.2	17	334	127	207	3.5	50%	49%	39%	38%	2%	.12
FSU Defense	13	22	16.1	38%	2.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	39%	35%	2%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	14	24	30.4	36.7%	2.92	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	34%	2%	.02
FSU Offense	13	33	43.3	44.8%	3.72	1.2	21	424	168	256	5.2	45%	52%	43%	44%	4%	.21

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	14	30:58	16.7	36%	52%	6.5	52.6	1.2	1.8	0	0	4	32.9
Florida State	13	29:24	20.6	38%	44%	6.8	54	1.2	1.2	0	0	0	32.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	14	50%	39%	36.4	126.9	3.5	19	.07	2.76	76%	0%	0.96
FSU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.02	78%	0%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	14	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.62	67%	0%	0.89
FSU Offense	13	45%	43%	32.7	168.2	5.2	27	.12	2.84	58%	0%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	14	49%	38%	16.4	28.9	207.1	7.2	12.7	20	10	.17	1.6	34%	25%	.15	2%	1.9
FSU Defense	13	50%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.1	1.5	35%	31%	.22	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.5	37%	26%	.1	2%	1.7
FSU Offense	13	52%	44%	20.3	32.2	255.8	7.9	12.6	22	9	.35	1.6	34%	41%	.43	4%	1.8

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: Florida State: 14.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 15.4 Florida State: 24.0

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 14.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #5
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #17

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 33
Florida 18

Projected Total Points: 51

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Florida	40	Florida State	21	Florida State -1.5	Florida	48.5	Over
2024	11/30	Florida State	11	Florida	31	Florida -17.5	Florida	45.5	Under
2023	11/25	Florida	15	Florida State	24	Florida State -6	Florida State	51.0	Under
2022	11/25	Florida State	45	Florida	38	Florida State -10	Florida	58.5	Over
2021	11/27	Florida	24	Florida State	21	Florida -4	Florida State	58.5	Under
2019	11/30	Florida	40	Florida State	17	Florida -16.5	Florida	55.0	Over
2018	11/24	Florida State	14	Florida	41	Florida -8.5	Florida	52.0	Over
2017	11/25	Florida	22	Florida State	38	Florida State -4.5	Florida State	43.0	Over
2016	11/26	Florida State	31	Florida	13	Florida State -5	Florida State	47.0	Under
2015	11/28	Florida	2	Florida State	27	Florida -3	Florida State	44.0	Under
2014	11/29	Florida State	24	Florida	19	Florida State -10	Florida	0
2013	11/30	Florida	7	Florida State	37	Florida State -26	Florida State	0
2012	11/24	Florida State	26	Florida	37
2011	11/26	Florida	7	Florida State	21
2010	11/27	Florida State	31	Florida	7
2009	11/28	Florida	37	Florida State	10
2008	11/29	Florida State	15	Florida	45
2007	11/24	Florida	45	Florida State	12
2006	11/25	Florida State	14	Florida	21
2005	11/26	Florida	34	Florida State	7
2004	11/20	Florida State	13	Florida	20
2003	11/29	Florida	34	Florida State	38
2001	11/17	Florida	37	Florida State	13
2000	11/17	Florida State	30	Florida	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	11	6	5 Overs
Florida	13	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 12	3 - 9	2 - 4	1 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 12	9 - 3	5 - 1	4 - 2

(#) FLA at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#7
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#16	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Florida State -5.0 (47.0)
Florida State won vs Florida this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Florida State last year (40-21)
Florida beat Florida State in 2024 (31-11)
Florida State beat Florida in 2023 (24-15)

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD