Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee - 2016 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, October 15th 2016 (2:30 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -2.5 (75.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 44 - Middle Tennessee: 43  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 46 - 25 (42 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU coming off BYE
WKU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ WKU -17.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 38 - MTSU: 35 (73)
MTSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 79 miles
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 36 (48 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Western Kentucky vs Rice-14.564.5W 46 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Western Kentucky at Alabama+24.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)-15.064.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-7.549.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-31.5
Thu 10/6 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+1.069.0L 52 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee+2.575.0W 44 - 43OY
Sat 10/22 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion-13.065.0W 59 - 24OY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-18.066.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-25.065.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-30.066.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Marshall-21.062.5W 60 - 6OY
Sat 12/3 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-7.578.5W 58 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M-47.0
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt+5.051.0L 24 - 47ON
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green-3.573.0W 41 - 21UY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-4.069.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/1 Middle Tennessee at North Texas-16.065.0W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky-2.575.0L 43 - 44ON
Sat 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+4.072.0W 51 - 45OY
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-17.062.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA-19.064.0L 25 - 45ON
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee at Marshall-11.560.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte-6.055.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-12.564.0W 77 - 56OY
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i-4.570.0L 35 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.453%45.554%3.3118651%3374.19.1740%24.636%42%3.3666.51.41.6
MTSU.3447%39.749%3.3719244%3264.02.1846%35.850%41%4.4956.21.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1445.541.553.3%4.191.4255231863375.445%53%54%51%15%.4
MTSU Defense1335.835.846.1%4.491.5 - - - - - 52%47%50%41%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1424.628.240.5%3.361.6 - - - - - 39%59%36%42%20%.17
MTSU Offense1339.747.647.2%4.021.625518192326640%58%49%44%15%.34

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1428:5024.646%41%6.666.51.41.66.32.4534.5
Middle Tennessee1328:0724.845%29%656.21.61.54.92.2230.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1445%54%34.8186.45.435.333.3177%9%1.08
MTSU Defense1352%50% - - - - .223.1876%8%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1439%36% - - - - .032.3963%11%1.05
MTSU Offense1340%49%32.1191.8626.273.3772%8%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1453%51%21.833.6336.81015.5428.51.729%46%.616%2.1
MTSU Defense1347%41% - - - - - - 11.161.528%30%.218%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1459%42% - - - - - - 14.281.738%32%.369%2.1
MTSU Offense1358%44%26.842.8325.87.612.13915.411.732%38%.537%2.1

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5  #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Middle Tennessee: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 15.5   Middle Tennessee: -1.9




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 38
Middle Tennessee 35

Total Points: 73

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 36
Middle Tennessee 35

Total Points: 71

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 40
Middle Tennessee 35

Total Points: 75
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.6
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Western Kentucky42Middle Tennessee26Western Kentucky -13.5Western Kentucky51.5Over
202409/14Middle Tennessee21Western Kentucky49Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky53.5Over
202309/28Western Kentucky31Middle Tennessee10Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky61.0Under
202210/15Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky35Western Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky67.5Under
202111/06Western Kentucky48Middle Tennessee21Western Kentucky -17.5Western Kentucky66.5Over
202010/03Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky20Western Kentucky -7.0Middle Tennessee52.5Under
201911/30Western Kentucky31Middle Tennessee26Western Kentucky -10.5Middle Tennessee46.0Over
201811/02Middle Tennessee29Western Kentucky10Middle Tennessee -13.5Middle Tennessee53.0Under
201711/17Western Kentucky41Middle Tennessee38Middle Tennessee -1Western Kentucky56.0Over
201610/15Middle Tennessee43Western Kentucky44Middle Tennessee -2.5Western Kentucky75.0Over
201510/10Western Kentucky58Middle Tennessee28Western Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky69.5Over
201409/13Middle Tennessee50Western Kentucky47Middle Tennessee -1Middle Tennessee0
201211/01Western Kentucky29Middle Tennessee34
201110/06Middle Tennessee33Western Kentucky36
201011/20Western Kentucky26Middle Tennessee27
200910/24Middle Tennessee62Western Kentucky24
200811/15Western Kentucky10Middle Tennessee21
200709/20Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee647 Overs
Western Kentucky1284 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 98 - 46 - 22 - 2
Road Teams9 - 94 - 82 - 22 - 6

(#) WKU at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #95 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Middle Tennessee -2.5 (75.0)
Western Kentucky won at Middle Tennessee this year (44-43)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee last year (49-21)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (31-10)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (35-17)

  
WKU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MTSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD