Western Kentucky at Alabama - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Alabama Crimson Tide

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Saturday, September 10th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -24 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 38 - Western Kentucky: 10

 
Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ ALA -16)
Projected Score: WKU: 21 - ALA: 30 (51)
ALA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
WKU Travel: 268 miles
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Western Kentucky vs Rice-14.564.5W 46 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Western Kentucky at Alabama+24.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)-15.064.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-7.549.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-31.5
Thu 10/6 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+1.069.0L 52 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee+2.575.0W 44 - 43OY
Sat 10/22 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion-13.065.0W 59 - 24OY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-18.066.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-25.065.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-30.066.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Marshall-21.062.5W 60 - 6OY
Sat 12/3 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-7.578.5W 58 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs USC-9.051.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 9/10 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-24.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Alabama at Ole Miss-9.553.0W 48 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Kent State-41.549.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama vs Kentucky-32.554.5W 34 - 6UN
Sat 10/8 Alabama at Arkansas-13.048.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.054.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-16.559.0W 33 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-7.046.0W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Alabama vs Mississippi State-28.552.5W 51 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-20.047.0W 30 - 12UN
Sat 12/3 Alabama vs Florida-21.540.5W 54 - 16OY
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7UY
Mon 1/9 Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3652%29.550%3.0715452%3724.44.1841%22.841%40%3.4157.91.22.2
ALA.2146%29.546%3.1320042%2273.56-.0132%19.230%31%2.2255.71.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1429.524.551.8%4.441.2255261543724.640%59%50%52%1%.36
ALA Defense1519.211.431.8%2.221.8 - - - - - 41%57%30%31%2%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1422.82841.5%3.412.2 - - - - - 50%49%41%40%2%.18
ALA Offense1529.539.345.7%3.561.1224272002274.754%44%46%42%2%.21

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1430:1124.948%57%5.957.91.22.200231.1
Alabama1533:3221.937%50%5.955.71.11.8001032.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1440%50%33.2154.14.630.153.0781%0%0.9
ALA Defense1541%30% - - - - -.092.3364%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1450%41% - - - - .112.8570%0%1.07
ALA Offense1554%46%42.8199.94.733.163.1379%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1459%52%28.439.6372.29.413.1509.521.629%41%.461%1.8
ALA Defense1557%31% - - - - - - 19.051.841%27%.162%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1449%40% - - - - - - 17.261.835%33%.422%2.2
ALA Offense1544%42%20.129.7227.17.611.32210.331.632%33%.312%1.8

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5  #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Alabama: 18.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 15.5   Alabama: 31.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.35 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 30
Western Kentucky 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Alabama63Western Kentucky0Alabama -31Alabama60.0Over
201609/10Alabama38Western Kentucky10Alabama -24Alabama59.0Under
201209/08Alabama35Western Kentucky0
200809/13Alabama41Western Kentucky7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama421 Overs
Western Kentucky001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) WKU at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #1
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #95 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -24.0 (59.0)
Alabama won vs Western Kentucky this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Western Kentucky in 2024 (63-0)

  
WKU's OC ()
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WKU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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ALA's DC ()
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