Vanderbilt at Western Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (4:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -7.5 (49.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 31 - Western Kentucky: 30

Commodores (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ WKU -17)
Projected Score: VAN: 28 - WKU: 28 (56)
WKU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 61 miles

Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+4.0	40.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	51.0	W 47 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Georgia Tech	+7.5	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Western Kentucky	+7.5	49.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+8.5	40.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+14.5	42.5	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee State	-27.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+26.0	47.0	L 16 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+1.0	53.0	L 17 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+9.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+10.0	50.0	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Mon 12/26	Vanderbilt vs NC State	+4.0	47.0	L 17 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Western Kentucky vs Rice	-14.5	64.5	W 46 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Western Kentucky at Alabama	+24.0	59.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/17	Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)	-15.0	64.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/24	Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	49.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-31.5
Thu 10/6	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	+1.0	69.0	L 52 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	75.0	W 44 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	-13.0	65.0	W 59 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	-18.0	66.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-25.0	65.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Western Kentucky vs North Texas	-30.0	66.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26	Western Kentucky at Marshall	-21.0	62.5	W 60 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-7.5	78.5	W 58 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/20	Western Kentucky vs Memphis	-6.5	79.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	-.01	37%	38.5	36%	2.63	155	37%	172	2.25	.02	39%	22.8	38%	36%	2.68	47.2	2.1	1.4
WKU	.36	52%	29.5	50%	3.07	154	52%	372	4.44	.18	41%	22.8	41%	40%	3.41	57.9	1.2	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	38.5	33	37.2%	2.25	2.1	18	327	155	172	3.8	54%	45%	36%	37%	4%	-.01
WKU Defense	14	22.8	18.8	41.5%	3.41	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	41%	40%	2%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	22.8	23	38.9%	2.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	38%	36%	1%	.02
WKU Offense	14	29.5	35	51.8%	4.44	1.2	25	526	154	372	4.6	40%	59%	50%	52%	1%	.36

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	32:07	17.6	37%	39%	6.1	47.2	2.1	1.4	0	0	1	29.4
Western Kentucky	14	30:11	24.9	48%	57%	5.9	57.9	1.2	2.2	0	0	2	31.1

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	54%	36%	41.3	154.7	3.8	9		2.63	58%	0%	0.98
WKU Defense	14	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.85	70%	0%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	46%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.36	43%	0%	0.85
WKU Offense	14	40%	50%	33.2	154.1	4.6	30	.15	3.07	81%	0%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	45%	37%	16	31.3	171.8	5.5	10.7	11	16	-.01	1.3	35%	28%	.06	4%	1.6
WKU Defense	14	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.26	1.8	35%	33%	.42	2%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.11	1.4	34%	34%	.21	1%	1.6
WKU Offense	14	59%	52%	28.4	39.6	372.2	9.4	13.1	50	9	.52	1.6	29%	41%	.46	1%	1.8

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2016 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #89
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Western Kentucky: 10.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -1.2 Western Kentucky: 15.5

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 10.25 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5 #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 28
Western Kentucky 28

Projected Total Points: 56

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	11/04	Vanderbilt	31	Western Kentucky	17	Vanderbilt -13	Vanderbilt	54.5	Under
2016	09/24	Western Kentucky	30	Vanderbilt	31	Western Kentucky -7.5	Vanderbilt	49.0	Over
2015	09/03	Vanderbilt	12	Western Kentucky	14	Vanderbilt -17.5	Western Kentucky	60.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	1	1	1 Overs
Vanderbilt	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#) VAN at (#) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#41	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Western Kentucky -7.5 (49.0)
Vanderbilt won at Western Kentucky this year (31-30)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

VAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD