Vanderbilt at Western Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo (#20)Vanderbilt Commodores at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (4:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -7.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 31 - Western Kentucky: 30

 
Commodores (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (17 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN 2nd straight Road Game
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ WKU -17)
Projected Score: VAN: 19 - WKU: 36 (55)
WKU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 61 miles
Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 46 - 25 (48 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+4.040.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 9/10 Vanderbilt vs Middle Tennessee-5.051.0W 47 - 24OY
Sat 9/17 Vanderbilt at Georgia Tech+7.545.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/24 Vanderbilt at Western Kentucky+7.549.0W 31 - 30OY
Sat 10/1 Vanderbilt vs Florida+8.540.5L 6 - 13UY
Sat 10/8 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+2.048.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Vanderbilt at Georgia+14.542.5W 17 - 16UY
Sat 10/22 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee State-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Vanderbilt at Auburn+26.047.0L 16 - 23UY
Sat 11/12 Vanderbilt at Missouri+1.053.0L 17 - 26UN
Sat 11/19 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss+9.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/26 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+10.050.0W 45 - 34OY
Mon 12/26 Vanderbilt vs NC State+4.047.0L 17 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Western Kentucky vs Rice-14.564.5W 46 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Western Kentucky at Alabama+24.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)-15.064.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-7.549.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-31.5
Thu 10/6 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+1.069.0L 52 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee+2.575.0W 44 - 43OY
Sat 10/22 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion-13.065.0W 59 - 24OY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-18.066.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-25.065.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-30.066.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Marshall-21.062.5W 60 - 6OY
Sat 12/3 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-7.578.5W 58 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.1142%2344%3.0316437%1913.59.1344%2443%42%2.5944.21.21.5
WKU.453%45.554%3.3118651%3374.19.1740%24.636%42%3.3666.51.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense132316.841.6%3.591.2193561641914.352%46%44%37%18%.11
WKU Defense1424.620.640.5%3.361.6 - - - - - 39%59%36%42%20%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense132425.543.5%2.591.5 - - - - - 48%50%43%42%17%.13
WKU Offense1445.548.153.3%4.191.4255231863375.445%53%54%51%15%.4

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1331:4819.536%33%5.244.21.21.55.31.2028.8
Western Kentucky1428:5024.646%41%6.666.51.41.66.32.4534.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1352%44%38.2164.54.326.133.0365%10%0.95
WKU Defense1439%36% - - - - .032.3963%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1348%43% - - - - 2.9963%10%0.87
WKU Offense1445%54%34.8186.45.435.333.3177%9%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1346%37%16.230.3191.26.311.8911.121.534%30%.167%1.7
WKU Defense1459%42% - - - - - - 14.281.738%32%.369%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1350%42% - - - - - - 5.261.533%34%.357%1.8
WKU Offense1453%51%21.833.6336.81015.5428.51.729%46%.616%2.1

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2016 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #71
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #89
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt:    Western Kentucky: 10.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -1.2   Western Kentucky: 15.5




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 10.25 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5  #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Vanderbilt's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 36
Vanderbilt 19

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 37
Vanderbilt 17

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 36
Vanderbilt 21

Total Points: 57
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201711/04Vanderbilt31Western Kentucky17Vanderbilt -13Vanderbilt54.5Under
201609/24Western Kentucky30Vanderbilt31Western Kentucky -7.5Vanderbilt49.0Over
201509/03Vanderbilt12Western Kentucky14Vanderbilt -17.5Western Kentucky60.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky111 Overs
Vanderbilt222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#) VAN at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #19
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #41 #95
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCat
VAN OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 89°
Rematch from Week 4
Western Kentucky -7.5 (49.0)
Vanderbilt won at Western Kentucky this year (31-30)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
VAN's OC ()
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VAN's DC ()
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WKU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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WKU's DC ()
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