Middle Tennessee at Florida International - 2016 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Florida International Golden Panthers

Saturday, October 29th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -17 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 42 - Florida International: 35 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
FIU 2nd straight Home Game
FIU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ MTSU -17)
Projected Score: MTSU: 25 - FIU: 30 (55)
MTSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MTSU Travel: 783 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
FIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M	-47.0
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+5.0	51.0	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green	-3.5	73.0	W 41 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-4.0	69.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/1	Middle Tennessee at North Texas	-16.0	65.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-2.5	75.0	L 43 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+4.0	72.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-17.0	62.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	-19.0	64.0	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	-11.5	60.0	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	-6.0	55.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	-12.5	64.0	W 77 - 56	O	Y
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i	-4.5	70.0	L 35 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Florida International's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Florida International vs Indiana	+3.0	64.0	L 13 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Florida International vs Maryland	+7.0	56.5	L 14 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida International at Massachusetts	-1.0	48.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/24	Florida International vs UCF	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida International vs Florida Atlantic	+5.0	52.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Florida International at UTEP	+2.5	49.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida International at Charlotte	-1.5	57.0	W 27 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/22	Florida International vs Louisiana Tech	+16.0	65.5	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/29	Florida International vs Middle Tennessee	+17.0	62.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida International at Western Kentucky	+25.0	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Florida International vs Marshall	+3.0	53.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida International at Old Dominion	+14.0	60.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.2	45%	22.4	45%	2.74	146	44%	312	3.87	.09	43%	30.9	45%	40%	2.71	42.3	2.2	1.9
FIU	.13	42%	28.5	40%	2.71	110	42%	238	3.79	.19	49%	30	50%	46%	3.23	49.5	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	22.4	20.8	44.7%	3.87	2.2	23	457	146	312	3.8	46%	53%	45%	44%	1%	.2
FIU Defense	12	30	28	48.6%	3.23	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	50%	46%	2%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	30.9	29.3	43.3%	2.71	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	45%	40%	2%	.09
FIU Offense	12	28.5	30.5	42.1%	3.79	1.3	19	348	110	238	3.4	40%	58%	40%	42%	1%	.13

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	29:54	23.2	42%	58%	4.8	42.3	2.2	1.9	0	0	3	29.1
Florida International	12	29:47	18.9	42%	43%	5.8	49.5	1.3	1.5	0	0	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	46%	45%	38.7	145.7	3.8	23	-.03	2.74	68%	0%	0.72
FIU Defense	12	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.85	71%	0%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.92	79%	0%	0.9
FIU Offense	12	40%	40%	32.1	109.9	3.4	15	.1	2.71	62%	0%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	53%	44%	25.7	38.5	311.7	8.1	12.1	31	10	.41	1.8	29%	39%	.54	1%	2.1
FIU Defense	12	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.22	1.3	30%	36%	.26	2%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.14	1.5	29%	31%	.17	2%	1.9
FIU Offense	12	58%	42%	22.8	36.7	237.8	6.5	10.4	22	8	.16	1.4	31%	31%	.2	1%	1.8

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Florida International: -7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -1.9 Florida International: -19.0

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -7 NR
Florida International's Offense Rating: NR
Florida International's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida International's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida International's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #124
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #93
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.2 #125

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida International 30
Middle Tennessee 25

Projected Total Points: 55

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Middle Tennessee	30	Florida International	56	Middle Tennessee -1.5	Florida International	50.5	Over
2024	11/30	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	24	Florida International -9.5	Florida International	50.5	Over
2023	11/11	Middle Tennessee	40	Florida International	6	Middle Tennessee -10.5	Middle Tennessee	50.5	Under
2022	11/26	Florida International	28	Middle Tennessee	33	Middle Tennessee -19.5	Florida International	54.5	Over
2021	11/13	Middle Tennessee	50	Florida International	10	Middle Tennessee -10.5	Middle Tennessee	54.0	Over
2020	10/10	Florida International	28	Middle Tennessee	31	Florida International -7.0	Middle Tennessee	57.0	Over
2019	10/26	Middle Tennessee	50	Florida International	17	Florida International -1	Middle Tennessee	58.5	Over
2018	10/13	Florida International	24	Middle Tennessee	21	Florida International -2	Florida International	61.0	Under
2017	10/07	Middle Tennessee	37	Florida International	17	Middle Tennessee -9	Middle Tennessee	53.5	Over
2016	10/29	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	42	Middle Tennessee -17	Florida International	62.5	Over
2015	10/17	Middle Tennessee	42	Florida International	34	Middle Tennessee -7	Middle Tennessee	52.5	Over
2014	11/15	Florida International	38	Middle Tennessee	28	Middle Tennessee -3	Florida International	0
2013	11/09	Middle Tennessee	48	Florida International	0	Middle Tennessee -17	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	10/13	Florida International	30	Middle Tennessee	34
2011	11/26	Middle Tennessee	18	Florida International	31
2010	12/04	Florida International	27	Middle Tennessee	28
2009	11/07	Middle Tennessee	48	Florida International	21
2008	10/11	Florida International	31	Middle Tennessee	21
2007	09/29	Middle Tennessee	47	Florida International	6
2006	08/31	Middle Tennessee	7	Florida International	6
2005	12/03	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida International	7	6	9 Overs
Middle Tennessee	14	7	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 7	11 - 2	7 - 2	4 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 14	2 - 11	0 - 4	2 - 7

(#) MTSU at (#) FIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	FIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#85	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Florida International Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#125
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Middle Tennessee 17.0 (62.5)
Middle Tennessee won at Florida International this year (42-35)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee last year (56-30)
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee in 2024 (35-24)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2023 (40-6)

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FIU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD