Middle Tennessee at Marshall - 2016 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Marshall Thundering Herd

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -11.5 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Marshall 42 - Middle Tennessee: 17 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 36 (35 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MRSH is playing their 10th straight game
MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ MTSU -11)
Projected Score: MTSU: 36 - MRSH: 32 (68)
MTSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MTSU Travel: 281 miles, 1 hrs behind

Thundering Herd (3 - 9) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 35 (32 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
MRSH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M	-47.0
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+5.0	51.0	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green	-3.5	73.0	W 41 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-4.0	69.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/1	Middle Tennessee at North Texas	-16.0	65.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-2.5	75.0	L 43 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+4.0	72.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-17.0	62.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	-19.0	64.0	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	-11.5	60.0	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	-6.0	55.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	-12.5	64.0	W 77 - 56	O	Y
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i	-4.5	70.0	L 35 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Marshall's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/10	Marshall vs Morgan State	-41.5
Sat 9/17	Marshall vs Akron	-15.5	55.5	L 38 - 65	O	N
Sat 9/24	Marshall vs Louisville	+23.0	69.0	L 28 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/1	Marshall at Pittsburgh	+14.0	57.0	L 27 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/8	Marshall at North Texas	-11.0	59.5	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Marshall vs Florida Atlantic	-12.0	61.0	W 27 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Marshall vs Charlotte	-17.0	59.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Marshall at Southern Miss	+10.0	67.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Marshall at Old Dominion	+7.0	58.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/12	Marshall vs Middle Tennessee	+11.5	60.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Marshall at Florida International	-3.0	53.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	Marshall vs Western Kentucky	+21.0	62.5	L 6 - 60	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.34	47%	39.7	49%	3.37	192	44%	326	4.02	.18	46%	35.8	50%	41%	4.49	56.2	1.6	1.5
MRSH	.06	39%	26.4	44%	2.79	108	35%	242	3.42	.29	47%	35.3	47%	46%	4.38	76.8	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
MRSH	#60 (.21)	43% (66)		45% (47)	3.35 (18)	203	40% (88)	181	3.93 (66)	#47 (.13)	40% (46)		43% (75)	37% (21)	3.87 (79)	42.5	0.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	39.7	34.7	47.2%	4.02	1.6	25	518	192	326	6	40%	58%	49%	44%	15%	.34
MRSH Defense	12	35.3	35.6	47.2%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	47%	46%	15%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	35.8	33.4	46.1%	4.49	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	50%	41%	16%	.18
MRSH Offense	12	26.4	32.4	38.7%	3.42	1.3	20	350	108	242	3.3	39%	61%	44%	35%	19%	.06

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:07	24.8	45%	29%	6	56.2	1.6	1.5	4.9	2.2	2	30.2
Marshall	12	29:51	20.1	34%	67%	7.5	76.8	1.3	1.7	5.8	2.3	1	34.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	49%	32.1	191.8	6	26	.27	3.37	72%	8%	1.08
MRSH Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.1	69%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.18	76%	8%	0.93
MRSH Offense	12	39%	44%	33	108.2	3.3	12	.05	2.79	71%	11%	0.8

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	58%	44%	26.8	42.8	325.8	7.6	12.1	39	15	.41	1.7	32%	38%	.53	7%	2.1
MRSH Defense	12	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.47	1.8	31%	36%	.42	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.16	1.5	28%	30%	.21	8%	1.9
MRSH Offense	12	61%	35%	22	36.5	241.8	6.6	11	28	12	.07	1.6	36%	28%	.13	8%	2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Marshall: -3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -1.9 Marshall: -12.7

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -3.85 NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Marshall's 2016 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #109
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #97
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 36
Marshall 32

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 35
Marshall 32

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 37
Marshall 32

Total Points: 69

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.4
Defense: 35.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.6

Marshall's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Middle Tennessee	28	Marshall	42	Marshall -2.5	Marshall	46.5	Over
2021	10/02	Middle Tennessee	34	Marshall	28	Marshall -11	Middle Tennessee	66.0	Under
2020	11/14	Marshall	42	Middle Tennessee	14	Marshall -23.5	Marshall	55.5	Over
2019	10/05	Middle Tennessee	24	Marshall	13	Marshall -5	Middle Tennessee	53.5	Under
2018	10/05	Marshall	24	Middle Tennessee	34	Marshall -3	Middle Tennessee	50.5	Over
2017	10/20	Middle Tennessee	10	Marshall	38	Marshall -1.5	Marshall	49.0	Under
2016	11/12	Marshall	42	Middle Tennessee	17	Middle Tennessee -11.5	Marshall	60.0	Under
2015	11/07	Middle Tennessee	27	Marshall	24	Middle Tennessee -2	Middle Tennessee	56.0	Under
2014	10/11	Marshall	49	Middle Tennessee	24	Marshall -21.5	Marshall	0
2013	10/24	Middle Tennessee	51	Marshall	49	Marshall -10.5	Middle Tennessee	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Marshall	5	5	3 Overs
Middle Tennessee	5	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 3	7 - 3	3 - 1	4 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 7	3 - 7	2 - 4	1 - 3

(#) MTSU at (#) MRSH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	MRSH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#109
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#85	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Marshall Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	MRSH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#103
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Marshall on Offense


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Marshall Run Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Marshall Pass Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 44°

Rematch from Week 11
Middle Tennessee 11.5 (60.0)
Marshall won vs Middle Tennessee this year (42-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MRSH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD