Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt - 2016 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Vanderbilt Commodores

Saturday, September 10th 2016 (4:00 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt -5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 47 - Middle Tennessee: 24

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 36 (35 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 91.2° (44% Hum)
Thunderstorm Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPH
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ VAN -1)
Projected Score: MTSU: 32 - VAN: 20 (52)
VAN Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MTSU Travel: 32 miles

Commodores (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M	-47.0
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+5.0	51.0	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green	-3.5	73.0	W 41 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-4.0	69.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/1	Middle Tennessee at North Texas	-16.0	65.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-2.5	75.0	L 43 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+4.0	72.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-17.0	62.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	-19.0	64.0	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	-11.5	60.0	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	-6.0	55.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	-12.5	64.0	W 77 - 56	O	Y
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i	-4.5	70.0	L 35 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+4.0	40.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	51.0	W 47 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Georgia Tech	+7.5	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Western Kentucky	+7.5	49.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+8.5	40.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+14.5	42.5	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee State	-27.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+26.0	47.0	L 16 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+1.0	53.0	L 17 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+9.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+10.0	50.0	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Mon 12/26	Vanderbilt vs NC State	+4.0	47.0	L 17 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.34	47%	39.7	49%	3.37	192	44%	326	4.02	.18	46%	35.8	50%	41%	4.49	56.2	1.6	1.5
VAN	.11	42%	23	44%	3.03	164	37%	191	3.59	.13	44%	24	43%	42%	2.59	44.2	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	39.7	34.7	47.2%	4.02	1.6	25	518	192	326	6	40%	58%	49%	44%	15%	.34
VAN Defense	13	24	19.7	43.5%	2.59	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	43%	42%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	35.8	33.4	46.1%	4.49	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	50%	41%	16%	.18
VAN Offense	13	23	30.2	41.6%	3.59	1.2	19	356	164	191	4.3	52%	46%	44%	37%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:07	24.8	45%	29%	6	56.2	1.6	1.5	4.9	2.2	2	30.2
Vanderbilt	13	31:48	19.5	36%	33%	5.2	44.2	1.2	1.5	5.3	1.2	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	49%	32.1	191.8	6	26	.27	3.37	72%	8%	1.08
VAN Defense	13	48%	43%	-	-	-	-		2.99	63%	10%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.18	76%	8%	0.93
VAN Offense	13	52%	44%	38.2	164.5	4.3	26	.13	3.03	65%	10%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	58%	44%	26.8	42.8	325.8	7.6	12.1	39	15	.41	1.7	32%	38%	.53	7%	2.1
VAN Defense	13	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.26	1.5	33%	34%	.35	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.16	1.5	28%	30%	.21	8%	1.9
VAN Offense	13	46%	37%	16.2	30.3	191.2	6.3	11.8	9	11	.12	1.5	34%	30%	.16	7%	1.7

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Vanderbilt: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -1.9 Vanderbilt: -1.2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Vanderbilt's 2016 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #89
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 32
Vanderbilt 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 34
Vanderbilt 11

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 30
Vanderbilt 30

Total Points: 60

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.2
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Vanderbilt's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/01	Vanderbilt	35	Middle Tennessee	7	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	57.5	Under
2017	09/02	Middle Tennessee	6	Vanderbilt	28	Vanderbilt -2.5	Vanderbilt	58.0	Under
2016	09/10	Vanderbilt	47	Middle Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt -5	Vanderbilt	51.0	Over
2015	10/03	Middle Tennessee	13	Vanderbilt	17	Middle Tennessee -4.5	Vanderbilt	49.5	Under
2005	10/01	Vanderbilt	15	Middle Tennessee	17
2002	10/12	Vanderbilt	20	Middle Tennessee	21
2001	08/30	Vanderbilt	28	Middle Tennessee	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	4	4	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	3	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2

(#) MTSU at (#) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#71
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#85	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Thunderstorm
Temp: 91° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Vanderbilt -5.0 (51.0)
Vanderbilt won vs Middle Tennessee this year (47-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD