Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee - 2016 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, November 26th 2016 (5:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -12.5 (64.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 77 - Florida Atlantic: 56 (Conference USA)

Owls (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU is playing their 7th straight game
FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ MTSU -12)
Projected Score: FAU: 29 - MTSU: 30 (59)
MTSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
FAU Travel: 752 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (24 - 33 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida Atlantic vs Southern Illinois	-8.0
Sat 9/10	Florida Atlantic at Miami	+23.0	63.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida Atlantic at Kansas State	+19.0	49.5	L 7 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida Atlantic vs Ball State	+3.0	53.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	-5.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Sun 10/9	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-15.0	62.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/15	Florida Atlantic at Marshall	+12.0	61.0	L 21 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	+18.0	66.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 11/5	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+2.0	57.0	W 42 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Florida Atlantic vs UTEP	-2.0	54.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion	+7.5	61.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/26	Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee	+12.5	64.0	L 56 - 77	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M	-47.0
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+5.0	51.0	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green	-3.5	73.0	W 41 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-4.0	69.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/1	Middle Tennessee at North Texas	-16.0	65.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-2.5	75.0	L 43 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+4.0	72.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-17.0	62.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	-19.0	64.0	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	-11.5	60.0	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	-6.0	55.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	-12.5	64.0	W 77 - 56	O	Y
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i	-4.5	70.0	L 35 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.04	41%	29.5	41%	2.91	163	39%	213	2.58	.13	43%	36.3	45%	39%	3.07	56.9	2.1	1.9
MTSU	.2	45%	22.4	45%	2.74	146	44%	312	3.87	.09	43%	30.9	45%	40%	2.71	42.3	2.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.5	21.8	41%	2.58	2.1	21	377	163	213	3.9	52%	45%	41%	39%	2%	.04
MTSU Defense	13	30.9	32.5	43.3%	2.71	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	45%	40%	2%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	36.3	37.2	42.6%	3.07	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	45%	39%	3%	.13
MTSU Offense	13	22.4	24	44.7%	3.87	2.2	23	457	146	312	3.8	46%	53%	45%	44%	1%	.2

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	29:03	20.8	33%	52%	6.3	56.9	2.1	1.9	0	0	3	30.1
Middle Tennessee	13	29:54	23.2	42%	58%	4.8	42.3	2.2	1.9	0	0	3	29.1

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	52%	41%	41.5	163.4	3.9	15	.03	2.91	73%	0%	0.86
MTSU Defense	13	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.92	79%	0%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	80%	0%	0.86
MTSU Offense	13	46%	45%	38.7	145.7	3.8	23	-.03	2.74	68%	0%	0.72

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	45%	39%	17.2	32.7	213.1	6.5	12.4	12	12	.08	1.5	33%	31%	.21	2%	1.8
MTSU Defense	13	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.14	1.5	29%	31%	.17	2%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.18	1.8	30%	30%	.27	3%	2.3
MTSU Offense	13	53%	44%	25.7	38.5	311.7	8.1	12.1	31	10	.41	1.8	29%	39%	.54	1%	2.1

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.1 #112
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #69
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.5 #127

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: Middle Tennessee: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -14.1 Middle Tennessee: -1.9

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 30
Florida Atlantic 29

Projected Total Points: 59

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/19	Middle Tennessee	49	Florida Atlantic	21	Florida Atlantic -5.5	Middle Tennessee	51.0	Over
2021	11/27	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	27	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Middle Tennessee	49.5	Under
2019	10/12	Florida Atlantic	28	Middle Tennessee	13	Florida Atlantic -12	Florida Atlantic	63.5	Under
2018	09/29	Middle Tennessee	25	Florida Atlantic	24	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Middle Tennessee	63.5	Under
2017	09/30	Florida Atlantic	38	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	60.0	Under
2016	11/26	Middle Tennessee	77	Florida Atlantic	56	Middle Tennessee -12.5	Middle Tennessee	64.0	Over
2015	11/14	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	24	Middle Tennessee -6	Middle Tennessee	57.5	Under
2014	11/22	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	34	Middle Tennessee -7	Florida Atlantic	0
2013	09/21	Florida Atlantic	35	Middle Tennessee	42	Middle Tennessee -4	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	09/08	Middle Tennessee	31	Florida Atlantic	17
2011	10/22	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	38
2010	11/27	Middle Tennessee	38	Florida Atlantic	14
2009	10/31	Florida Atlantic	20	Middle Tennessee	27
2008	09/30	Middle Tennessee	14	Florida Atlantic	13
2007	09/01	Florida Atlantic	27	Middle Tennessee	14
2006	11/04	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	14
2005	10/15	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	35
2004	09/18	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic	27
2003	08/28	Middle Tennessee	19	Florida Atlantic	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	14	6	2 Overs
Florida Atlantic	5	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 11	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3

(#) FAU at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#74
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#92	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Middle Tennessee -12.5 (64.0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Florida Atlantic this year (77-56)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD