Middle Tennessee at Missouri - 2016 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Missouri Tigers(#16)Missouri logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (4:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -4 (72.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 51 - Missouri: 45

 
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 36 (35 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -3  (SP+ MIZ -1)
Projected Score: MTSU: 31 - MIZ: 34 (65)
MIZ Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 391 miles
Tigers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (41 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M-47.0
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt+5.051.0L 24 - 47ON
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green-3.573.0W 41 - 21UY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-4.069.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/1 Middle Tennessee at North Texas-16.065.0W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky-2.575.0L 43 - 44ON
Sat 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+4.072.0W 51 - 45OY
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-17.062.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA-19.064.0L 25 - 45ON
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee at Marshall-11.560.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte-6.055.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-12.564.0W 77 - 56OY
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i-4.570.0L 35 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Missouri's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Missouri at West Virginia+11.551.5L 11 - 26UN
Sat 9/10 Missouri vs Eastern Michigan-24.558.5W 61 - 21OY
Sat 9/17 Missouri vs Georgia+6.053.5L 27 - 28OY
Sat 9/24 Missouri vs Delaware State-50.5
Sat 10/1 Missouri at LSU+14.051.0L 7 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Missouri at Florida+13.051.0L 14 - 40ON
Sat 10/22 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-4.072.0L 45 - 51ON
Sat 10/29 Missouri vs Kentucky-4.569.0L 21 - 35UN
Sat 11/5 Missouri at South Carolina+5.056.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-1.053.0W 26 - 17UY
Sat 11/19 Missouri at Tennessee+14.569.5L 37 - 63ON
Fri 11/25 Missouri vs Arkansas+7.572.0W 28 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.3447%39.749%3.3719244%3264.02.1846%35.850%41%4.4956.21.61.5
MIZ.1844%31.447%2.9720541%2953.43.245%31.548%41%3.3554.81.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1339.734.747.2%4.021.625518192326640%58%49%44%15%.34
MIZ Defense1231.525.145.3%3.351.7 - - - - - 53%46%48%41%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1335.833.446.1%4.491.5 - - - - - 52%47%50%41%16%.18
MIZ Offense1231.44144.4%3.431.9245012052954.951%49%47%41%12%.18

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1328:0724.845%29%656.21.61.54.92.2230.2
Missouri1223:2724.343%54%6.754.81.91.762.3326.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1340%49%32.1191.8626.273.3772%8%1.08
MIZ Defense1253%48% - - - - .23.2171%8%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1352%50% - - - - .223.1876%8%0.93
MIZ Offense1251%47%41.7205.14.924.132.9776%7%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1358%44%26.842.8325.87.612.13915.411.732%38%.537%2.1
MIZ Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 15.221.630%36%.377%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1347%41% - - - - - - 11.161.528%30%.218%1.9
MIZ Offense1249%41%20.837.3295.47.914.22510.231.732%30%.176%1.8

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Missouri: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -1.9   Missouri: -1.0




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 2 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2016 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #70
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #53
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 34
Middle Tennessee 31

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 32
Middle Tennessee 29

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 36
Middle Tennessee 33

Total Points: 69
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Missouri's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Missouri23Middle Tennessee19Missouri -21Middle Tennessee47.5Under
201610/22Missouri45Middle Tennessee51Missouri -4Middle Tennessee72.0Over
200309/20Missouri41Middle Tennessee40
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri201 Overs
Middle Tennessee121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #70
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #85 #38
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 71° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Missouri -4.0 (72.0)
Middle Tennessee won at Missouri this year (51-45)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (23-19)

  
MTSU's OC ()
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MTSU's DC ()
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MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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MIZ's DC ()
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