Middle Tennessee at North Texas - 2016 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, October 1st 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -16 (65.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 30 - North Texas: 13 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 36 (35 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT is playing their 5th straight game
MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MTSU -12.5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 32 - UNT: 33 (65)
MTSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 641 miles

Mean Green (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M	-47.0
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+5.0	51.0	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green	-3.5	73.0	W 41 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-4.0	69.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/1	Middle Tennessee at North Texas	-16.0	65.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	-2.5	75.0	L 43 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+4.0	72.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-17.0	62.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	-19.0	64.0	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	-11.5	60.0	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	-6.0	55.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	-12.5	64.0	W 77 - 56	O	Y
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i	-4.5	70.0	L 35 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

North Texas's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Texas vs SMU	+12.0	68.0	L 21 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Texas vs Bethune-Cookman	-13.0
Sat 9/17	North Texas at Florida	+35.0	52.5	L 0 - 32	U	Y
Sat 9/24	North Texas at Rice	+7.5	55.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	North Texas vs Middle Tennessee	+16.0	65.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/8	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	59.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	North Texas at Army	+17.5	48.0	W 35 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/29	North Texas at UTSA	+4.0	51.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/5	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	+21.0	63.5	L 24 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/12	North Texas at Western Kentucky	+30.0	66.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/19	North Texas vs Southern Miss	+5.5	58.5	W 29 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/26	North Texas at UTEP	-3.0	52.5	L 24 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/27	North Texas vs Army	+9.5	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.34	47%	39.7	49%	3.37	192	44%	326	4.02	.18	46%	35.8	50%	41%	4.49	56.2	1.6	1.5
UNT	.1	41%	24.8	43%	2.59	134	38%	208	3.24	.13	42%	32.6	45%	36%	3.22	68.3	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	39.7	34.7	47.2%	4.02	1.6	25	518	192	326	6	40%	58%	49%	44%	15%	.34
UNT Defense	13	32.6	28.8	42.3%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	45%	36%	15%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	35.8	33.4	46.1%	4.49	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	50%	41%	16%	.18
UNT Offense	13	24.8	27.7	41%	3.24	1.6	18	342	134	208	4.1	44%	55%	43%	38%	20%	.1

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:07	24.8	45%	29%	6	56.2	1.6	1.5	4.9	2.2	2	30.2
North Texas	13	27:30	18.5	35%	36%	7.5	68.3	1.6	1.7	5.7	2	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	49%	32.1	191.8	6	26	.27	3.37	72%	8%	1.08
UNT Defense	13	58%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	74%	10%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.18	76%	8%	0.93
UNT Offense	13	44%	43%	32.8	133.5	4.1	24	.12	2.59	70%	13%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	58%	44%	26.8	42.8	325.8	7.6	12.1	39	15	.41	1.7	32%	38%	.53	7%	2.1
UNT Defense	13	40%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.12	1.8	33%	34%	.22	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.16	1.5	28%	30%	.21	8%	1.9
UNT Offense	13	55%	38%	20.1	34.5	208.3	6	10.4	15	13	.09	1.4	32%	27%	.17	7%	2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: North Texas: -4.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -1.9 North Texas: -14.6

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -4.8 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #114
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #110
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 33
Middle Tennessee 32

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
North Texas 36
Middle Tennessee 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 34
North Texas 30

Total Points: 64

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

North Texas's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	10/17	Middle Tennessee	35	North Texas	52	Middle Tennessee -3.5	North Texas	70.5	Over
2019	10/19	North Texas	33	Middle Tennessee	30	North Texas -7	Middle Tennessee	59.5	Over
2016	10/01	North Texas	13	Middle Tennessee	30	Middle Tennessee -16	Middle Tennessee	65.0	Under
2015	11/21	Middle Tennessee	41	North Texas	7	Middle Tennessee -24	Middle Tennessee	63.0	Under
2013	10/12	North Texas	34	Middle Tennessee	7	North Texas -4.5	North Texas	0
2012	10/27	Middle Tennessee	38	North Texas	21
2011	12/03	North Texas	59	Middle Tennessee	7
2010	11/13	Middle Tennessee	17	North Texas	23
2009	09/26	North Texas	21	Middle Tennessee	37
2008	11/22	Middle Tennessee	52	North Texas	13
2007	10/27	North Texas	28	Middle Tennessee	48
2006	09/30	North Texas	0	Middle Tennessee	35
2005	09/10	Middle Tennessee	7	North Texas	14
2004	10/02	North Texas	30	Middle Tennessee	21
2003	10/25	Middle Tennessee	28	North Texas	33
2001	10/13	North Texas	24	Middle Tennessee	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	9	2	2 Overs
Middle Tennessee	7	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 8	2 - 3	2 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 8	3 - 2	1 - 0	2 - 2

(#) MTSU at (#) UNT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	UNT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#114
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#85	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

North Texas Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UNT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80°

Rematch from Week 5
Middle Tennessee 16.0 (65.0)
Middle Tennessee won at North Texas this year (30-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MTSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD