UTSA at Middle Tennessee - 2016 Matchup Preview
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UTSA Roadrunners at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Middle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (2:30 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -19 (64.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 45 - Middle Tennessee: 25  (Conference USA)

 
Roadrunners (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
UTSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ MTSU -9)
Projected Score: UTSA: 30 - MTSU: 27 (57)
MTSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
UTSA Travel: 832 miles
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (24 - 33 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UTSA vs Alabama State-28.5
Sat 9/10 UTSA at Colorado State+10.051.5L 14 - 23UY
Fri 9/16 UTSA vs Arizona State+18.558.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 UTSA at Old Dominion+1.549.5L 19 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 UTSA vs Southern Miss+14.553.0W 55 - 32OY
Sat 10/15 UTSA at Rice+1.552.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 UTSA vs UTEP-7.045.0L 49 - 52ON
Sat 10/29 UTSA vs North Texas-4.051.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/5 UTSA at Middle Tennessee+19.064.0W 45 - 25OY
Sat 11/12 UTSA at Louisiana Tech+19.063.0L 35 - 63ON
Sat 11/19 UTSA at Texas A&M+28.056.0L 10 - 23UY
Sat 11/26 UTSA vs Charlotte-7.053.0W 33 - 14UY
Sat 12/17 UTSA vs New Mexico+7.554.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M-47.0
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt+5.051.0L 24 - 47ON
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green-3.573.0W 41 - 21UY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-4.069.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/1 Middle Tennessee at North Texas-16.065.0W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky-2.575.0L 43 - 44ON
Sat 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+4.072.0W 51 - 45OY
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-17.062.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA-19.064.0L 25 - 45ON
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee at Marshall-11.560.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte-6.055.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-12.564.0W 77 - 56OY
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i-4.570.0L 35 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.0640%35.541%2.8916937%1933.12.1645%28.843%45%3.465.71.91.8
MTSU.245%22.445%2.7414644%3123.87.0943%30.945%40%2.7142.32.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1235.521.739.8%3.121.920362169193452%46%41%37%3%.06
MTSU Defense1330.932.543.3%2.711.9 - - - - - 45%53%45%40%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1228.833.744.9%3.41.8 - - - - - 50%48%43%45%3%.16
MTSU Offense1322.42444.7%3.872.2234571463123.846%53%45%44%1%.2

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1228:3320.340%21%765.71.91.800228.2
Middle Tennessee1329:5423.242%58%4.842.32.21.900329.1
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1252%41%42.5168.8416.052.8976%0%0.89
MTSU Defense1345%45% - - - - .082.9279%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1250%43% - - - - .093.173%0%0.85
MTSU Offense1346%45%38.7145.73.823-.032.7468%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1246%37%17.630193.46.5111711.091.535%27%.193%1.8
MTSU Defense1353%40% - - - - - - 17.141.529%31%.172%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1248%45% - - - - - - 14.251.630%36%.353%1.9
MTSU Offense1353%44%25.738.5311.78.112.13110.411.829%39%.541%2.1

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2016 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #105
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #104
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Middle Tennessee: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -11.2   Middle Tennessee: -1.9




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 30
Middle Tennessee 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/30Middle Tennessee30UTSA45UT San Antonio -4.5UTSA64.0Over
202109/18UTSA27Middle Tennessee13UT San Antonio -11.5UTSA60.0Under
202009/25UTSA37Middle Tennessee35UT San Antonio -6Middle Tennessee59.0Over
201611/05Middle Tennessee25UTSA45Middle Tennessee -19UTSA64.0Over
201511/28UTSA7Middle Tennessee42Middle Tennessee -11Middle Tennessee59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee123 Overs
UTSA432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 24 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSAMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Middle Tennessee -19.0 (64.0)
UTSA won at Middle Tennessee this year (45-25)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC ()
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MTSU's OC ()
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MTSU's DC ()
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