UTSA at Middle Tennessee - 2016 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (2:30 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -19 (64.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 45 - Middle Tennessee: 25  (Conference USA)

 
Roadrunners (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (23 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
UTSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ MTSU -9)
Projected Score: UTSA: 32 - MTSU: 34 (66)
MTSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
UTSA Travel: 832 miles
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 36 (48 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UTSA vs Alabama State-28.5
Sat 9/10 UTSA at Colorado State+10.051.5L 14 - 23UY
Fri 9/16 UTSA vs Arizona State+18.558.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 UTSA at Old Dominion+1.549.5L 19 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 UTSA vs Southern Miss+14.553.0W 55 - 32OY
Sat 10/15 UTSA at Rice+1.552.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 UTSA vs UTEP-7.045.0L 49 - 52ON
Sat 10/29 UTSA vs North Texas-4.051.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/5 UTSA at Middle Tennessee+19.064.0W 45 - 25OY
Sat 11/12 UTSA at Louisiana Tech+19.063.0L 35 - 63ON
Sat 11/19 UTSA at Texas A&M+28.056.0L 10 - 23UY
Sat 11/26 UTSA vs Charlotte-7.053.0W 33 - 14UY
Sat 12/17 UTSA vs New Mexico+7.554.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M-47.0
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt+5.051.0L 24 - 47ON
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green-3.573.0W 41 - 21UY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-4.069.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/1 Middle Tennessee at North Texas-16.065.0W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky-2.575.0L 43 - 44ON
Sat 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+4.072.0W 51 - 45OY
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-17.062.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA-19.064.0L 25 - 45ON
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee at Marshall-11.560.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte-6.055.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-12.564.0W 77 - 56OY
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i-4.570.0L 35 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.1741%29.242%2.816238%2143.66.1342%27.945%37%3.0659.81.21.4
MTSU.3447%39.749%3.3719244%3264.02.1846%35.850%41%4.4956.21.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1329.222.841%3.661.220375162214453%46%42%38%19%.17
MTSU Defense1335.835.846.1%4.491.5 - - - - - 52%47%50%41%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1327.93042.3%3.061.4 - - - - - 50%48%45%37%17%.13
MTSU Offense1339.747.647.2%4.021.625518192326640%58%49%44%15%.34

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1331:2619.644%54%7.159.81.21.462.1032
Middle Tennessee1328:0724.845%29%656.21.61.54.92.2230.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1353%42%40.3161.8422.092.872%13%0.89
MTSU Defense1352%50% - - - - .223.1876%8%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1350%45% - - - - .093.0778%11%0.86
MTSU Offense1340%49%32.1191.8626.273.3772%8%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1346%38%16.629.5213.67.312.9288.281.835%35%.426%1.9
MTSU Defense1347%41% - - - - - - 11.161.528%30%.218%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 7.221.834%32%.276%2
MTSU Offense1358%44%26.842.8325.87.612.13915.411.732%38%.537%2.1

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2016 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #105
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #104
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Middle Tennessee: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -11.2   Middle Tennessee: -1.9




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

UTSA's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 34
UTSA 32

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 32
Middle Tennessee 32

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 36
UTSA 31

Total Points: 67
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.6
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/30Middle Tennessee30UTSA45UT San Antonio -4.5UTSA64.0Over
202109/18UTSA27Middle Tennessee13UT San Antonio -11.5UTSA60.0Under
202009/25UTSA37Middle Tennessee35UT San Antonio -6Middle Tennessee59.0Over
201611/05Middle Tennessee25UTSA45Middle Tennessee -19UTSA64.0Over
201511/28UTSA7Middle Tennessee42Middle Tennessee -11Middle Tennessee59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee123 Overs
UTSA432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 24 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSAMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 10
Middle Tennessee -19.0 (64.0)
UTSA won at Middle Tennessee this year (45-25)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (45-30)

  
UTSA's OC ()
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UTSA's DC ()
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MTSU's OC ()
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MTSU's DC ()
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