Western Kentucky at Marshall - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Marshall Thundering Herd

Marshall logo
Saturday, November 26th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -21 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 60 - Marshall: 6  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU coming off BYE
MRSH is playing their 12th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ WKU -28)
Projected Score: WKU: 27 - MRSH: 28 (55)
WKU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
WKU Travel: 242 miles, 1 hrs behind
Thundering Herd (3 - 9) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Western Kentucky vs Rice-14.564.5W 46 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Western Kentucky at Alabama+24.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)-15.064.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-7.549.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-31.5
Thu 10/6 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+1.069.0L 52 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee+2.575.0W 44 - 43OY
Sat 10/22 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion-13.065.0W 59 - 24OY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-18.066.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-25.065.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-30.066.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Marshall-21.062.5W 60 - 6OY
Sat 12/3 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-7.578.5W 58 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Marshall's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/10 Marshall vs Morgan State-41.5
Sat 9/17 Marshall vs Akron-15.555.5L 38 - 65ON
Sat 9/24 Marshall vs Louisville+23.069.0L 28 - 59ON
Sat 10/1 Marshall at Pittsburgh+14.057.0L 27 - 43ON
Sat 10/8 Marshall at North Texas-11.059.5L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/15 Marshall vs Florida Atlantic-12.061.0W 27 - 21UN
Sat 10/22 Marshall vs Charlotte-17.059.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Marshall at Southern Miss+10.067.0L 14 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 Marshall at Old Dominion+7.058.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 11/12 Marshall vs Middle Tennessee+11.560.0W 42 - 17UY
Sat 11/19 Marshall at Florida International-3.053.5L 14 - 31UN
Sat 11/26 Marshall vs Western Kentucky+21.062.5L 6 - 60ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3652%29.550%3.0715452%3724.44.1841%22.841%40%3.4157.91.22.2
MRSH.1443%30.841%2.8916944%2313.439%30.343%33%2.466.21.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1429.524.551.8%4.441.2255261543724.640%59%50%52%1%.36
MRSH Defense1330.324.738.7%2.42.2 - - - - - 50%49%43%33%2%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1422.82841.5%3.412.2 - - - - - 50%49%41%40%2%.18
MRSH Offense1330.831.343.5%3.41.8214001692314.447%51%41%44%2%.14

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1430:1124.948%57%5.957.91.22.200231.1
Marshall1330:0521.539%56%766.21.82.200532.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1440%50%33.2154.14.630.153.0781%0%0.9
MRSH Defense1350%43% - - - - .033.0875%0%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1450%41% - - - - .112.8570%0%1.07
MRSH Offense1347%41%38.2168.94.419.072.8976%0%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1459%52%28.439.6372.29.413.1509.521.629%41%.461%1.8
MRSH Defense1349%33% - - - - - - 15-.011.633%30%.122%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1449%40% - - - - - - 17.261.835%33%.422%2.2
MRSH Offense1351%44%21.236.2231.56.410.92513.221.430%36%.332%1.8

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5  #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Marshall: -3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 15.5   Marshall: -12.7




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -3.85 NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Marshall's 2016 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #109
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #97
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 28
Western Kentucky 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Marshall's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/27Marshall21Western Kentucky53Western Kentucky -1Western Kentucky75.5Under
202010/10Western Kentucky14Marshall38Marshall -7.0Marshall43.0Over
201910/26Marshall26Western Kentucky23Marshall -4Western Kentucky44.5Over
201809/29Western Kentucky17Marshall20Marshall -3.5Western Kentucky52.0Under
201711/11Marshall30Western Kentucky23Marshall -10.5Western Kentucky53.0Push
201611/26Marshall6Western Kentucky60Western Kentucky -21Western Kentucky62.5Over
201511/27Western Kentucky49Marshall28Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky64.0Over
201411/28Marshall66Western Kentucky67Marshall -23Western Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall414 Overs
Western Kentucky472 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 61 - 31 - 3
Road Teams5 - 36 - 23 - 13 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) MRSH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUMRSH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #109
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #95 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #103
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Marshall on Offense
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Marshall Run Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Marshall Pass Game
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Western Kentucky 21.0 (62.5)
Western Kentucky won at Marshall this year (60-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC ()
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MRSH's OC ()
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MRSH's DC ()
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