Western Kentucky at Marshall - 2016 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, November 26th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -21 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 60 - Marshall: 6  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 46 - 25 (42 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU coming off BYE
MRSH is playing their 12th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ WKU -28)
Projected Score: WKU: 38 - MRSH: 24 (62)
WKU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
WKU Travel: 242 miles, 1 hrs behind
Thundering Herd (3 - 9) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 35 (32 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Western Kentucky vs Rice-14.564.5W 46 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Western Kentucky at Alabama+24.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)-15.064.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-7.549.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-31.5
Thu 10/6 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+1.069.0L 52 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee+2.575.0W 44 - 43OY
Sat 10/22 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion-13.065.0W 59 - 24OY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-18.066.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-25.065.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-30.066.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Marshall-21.062.5W 60 - 6OY
Sat 12/3 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-7.578.5W 58 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Marshall's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/10 Marshall vs Morgan State-41.5
Sat 9/17 Marshall vs Akron-15.555.5L 38 - 65ON
Sat 9/24 Marshall vs Louisville+23.069.0L 28 - 59ON
Sat 10/1 Marshall at Pittsburgh+14.057.0L 27 - 43ON
Sat 10/8 Marshall at North Texas-11.059.5L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/15 Marshall vs Florida Atlantic-12.061.0W 27 - 21UN
Sat 10/22 Marshall vs Charlotte-17.059.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Marshall at Southern Miss+10.067.0L 14 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 Marshall at Old Dominion+7.058.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 11/12 Marshall vs Middle Tennessee+11.560.0W 42 - 17UY
Sat 11/19 Marshall at Florida International-3.053.5L 14 - 31UN
Sat 11/26 Marshall vs Western Kentucky+21.062.5L 6 - 60ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.453%45.554%3.3118651%3374.19.1740%24.636%42%3.3666.51.41.6
MRSH.0639%26.444%2.7910835%2423.42.2947%35.347%46%4.3876.81.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1445.541.553.3%4.191.4255231863375.445%53%54%51%15%.4
MRSH Defense1235.335.647.2%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%48%47%46%15%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1424.628.240.5%3.361.6 - - - - - 39%59%36%42%20%.17
MRSH Offense1226.432.438.7%3.421.3203501082423.339%61%44%35%19%.06

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1428:5024.646%41%6.666.51.41.66.32.4534.5
Marshall1229:5120.134%67%7.576.81.31.75.82.3134.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1445%54%34.8186.45.435.333.3177%9%1.08
MRSH Defense1250%47% - - - - .133.169%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1439%36% - - - - .032.3963%11%1.05
MRSH Offense1239%44%33108.23.312.052.7971%11%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1453%51%21.833.6336.81015.5428.51.729%46%.616%2.1
MRSH Defense1248%46% - - - - - - 8.471.831%36%.426%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1459%42% - - - - - - 14.281.738%32%.369%2.1
MRSH Offense1261%35%2236.5241.86.6112812.071.636%28%.138%2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5  #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Marshall: -3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 15.5   Marshall: -12.7




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -3.85 NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Marshall's 2016 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #109
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #97
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 38
Marshall 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 37
Marshall 20

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 39
Marshall 28

Total Points: 67
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.4
Defense: 35.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.6

Marshall's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/27Marshall21Western Kentucky53Western Kentucky -1Western Kentucky75.5Under
202010/10Western Kentucky14Marshall38Marshall -7.0Marshall43.0Over
201910/26Marshall26Western Kentucky23Marshall -4Western Kentucky44.5Over
201809/29Western Kentucky17Marshall20Marshall -3.5Western Kentucky52.0Under
201711/11Marshall30Western Kentucky23Marshall -10.5Western Kentucky53.0Push
201611/26Marshall6Western Kentucky60Western Kentucky -21Western Kentucky62.5Over
201511/27Western Kentucky49Marshall28Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky64.0Over
201411/28Marshall66Western Kentucky67Marshall -23Western Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall414 Overs
Western Kentucky472 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 61 - 31 - 3
Road Teams5 - 36 - 23 - 13 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) MRSH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUMRSH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #109
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #95 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #103
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Marshall on Offense
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Marshall Run Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Marshall Pass Game
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 42° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Western Kentucky 21.0 (62.5)
Western Kentucky won at Marshall this year (60-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MRSH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD