North Texas at Western Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -30 (66.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 45 - North Texas: 7 (Conference USA)

Mean Green (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (21 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WKU 2nd straight Home Game
WKU is playing their 11th straight game
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -17.5 (SP+ WKU -30)
Projected Score: UNT: 24 - WKU: 40 (64)
WKU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
UNT Travel: 658 miles

Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 46 - 25 (48 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Texas vs SMU	+12.0	68.0	L 21 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Texas vs Bethune-Cookman	-13.0
Sat 9/17	North Texas at Florida	+35.0	52.5	L 0 - 32	U	Y
Sat 9/24	North Texas at Rice	+7.5	55.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	North Texas vs Middle Tennessee	+16.0	65.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/8	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	59.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	North Texas at Army	+17.5	48.0	W 35 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/29	North Texas at UTSA	+4.0	51.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/5	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	+21.0	63.5	L 24 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/12	North Texas at Western Kentucky	+30.0	66.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/19	North Texas vs Southern Miss	+5.5	58.5	W 29 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/26	North Texas at UTEP	-3.0	52.5	L 24 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/27	North Texas vs Army	+9.5	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Western Kentucky vs Rice	-14.5	64.5	W 46 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Western Kentucky at Alabama	+24.0	59.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/17	Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)	-15.0	64.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/24	Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	49.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-31.5
Thu 10/6	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	+1.0	69.0	L 52 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	75.0	W 44 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	-13.0	65.0	W 59 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	-18.0	66.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-25.0	65.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Western Kentucky vs North Texas	-30.0	66.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26	Western Kentucky at Marshall	-21.0	62.5	W 60 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-7.5	78.5	W 58 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/20	Western Kentucky vs Memphis	-6.5	79.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.1	41%	24.8	43%	2.59	134	38%	208	3.24	.13	42%	32.6	45%	36%	3.22	68.3	1.6	1.7
WKU	.4	53%	45.5	54%	3.31	186	51%	337	4.19	.17	40%	24.6	36%	42%	3.36	66.5	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	13	24.8	20.8	41%	3.24	1.6	18	342	134	208	4.1	44%	55%	43%	38%	20%	.1
WKU Defense	14	24.6	20.6	40.5%	3.36	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	36%	42%	20%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	13	32.6	35.5	42.3%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	45%	36%	15%	.13
WKU Offense	14	45.5	48.1	53.3%	4.19	1.4	25	523	186	337	5.4	45%	53%	54%	51%	15%	.4

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	13	27:30	18.5	35%	36%	7.5	68.3	1.6	1.7	5.7	2	3	28.9
Western Kentucky	14	28:50	24.6	46%	41%	6.6	66.5	1.4	1.6	6.3	2.4	5	34.5

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	13	44%	43%	32.8	133.5	4.1	24	.12	2.59	70%	13%	1.1
WKU Defense	14	39%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.39	63%	11%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	13	58%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	74%	10%	0.97
WKU Offense	14	45%	54%	34.8	186.4	5.4	35	.33	3.31	77%	9%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	13	55%	38%	20.1	34.5	208.3	6	10.4	15	13	.09	1.4	32%	27%	.17	7%	2
WKU Defense	14	59%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.28	1.7	38%	32%	.36	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	13	40%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.12	1.8	33%	34%	.22	5%	1.8
WKU Offense	14	53%	51%	21.8	33.6	336.8	10	15.5	42	8	.5	1.7	29%	46%	.61	6%	2.1

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #114
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #110
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Western Kentucky: 10.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -14.6 Western Kentucky: 15.5

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 10.25 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5 #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

North Texas's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 40
North Texas 24

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 40
North Texas 25

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 40
North Texas 23

Total Points: 63

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/29	Western Kentucky	13	North Texas	40	Western Kentucky -10	North Texas	70.0	Under
2016	11/12	Western Kentucky	45	North Texas	7	Western Kentucky -30	Western Kentucky	66.5	Under
2015	10/15	North Texas	28	Western Kentucky	55	Western Kentucky -26.5	Western Kentucky	71.5	Over
2012	11/24	Western Kentucky	25	North Texas	24
2011	11/19	North Texas	21	Western Kentucky	31
2010	10/30	Western Kentucky	6	North Texas	33
2009	10/31	North Texas	68	Western Kentucky	49
2008	11/01	Western Kentucky	40	North Texas	51
2007	11/24	North Texas	27	Western Kentucky	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	4	2	1 Overs
North Texas	5	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 5	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 4	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#) UNT at (#) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#113	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Western Kentucky -30.0 (66.5)
Western Kentucky won vs North Texas this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Western Kentucky in 2022 (40-13)

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD